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Ron Robinsons Beard

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Everything posted by Ron Robinsons Beard

  1. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Are we talking about the same Broxton? https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=9253&position=OF Yes we are.
  2. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I also feel that Broxton is worth more than some are thinking. I think at least Top 30 prospect and another high upside guy would be coming back. Broxton is cheap, provides good power and defense, and has an option. That's worth more than a couple of 17 year old DSL kids.
  3. Ron Robinsons Beard
    If he makes it over a guy like Taylor Williams, just .... ugh!
  4. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I wouldn't say that until these players sign. They could easily bump there price up tomorrow and Cobb will be a Brewer. Or Cobb could just as easily decide to get this crap over with, and accept the decent offer that I suspect the Brewers have already made to him and be a Brewer.
  5. Ron Robinsons Beard
    You put way more stipulations on it than I did. To me, a lottery ticket is a young low floor/high ceiling player. Not a sure thing guy, but a toolsy guy. That's why I named those two.
  6. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I know, and that's disappointing, because his defense in RF would so, so much better than Santana's. But it's still early.
  7. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I don't think anyone is suggesting that he should "panic". As much as it pains me to justify Briggs's longtime argument, look at the Scooter Gennett situation last year. I would say the team overplayed it hand there, and ended up dumping a useful player that ended up getting snapped up by a division rival and having a career year. I think fans are worried that the situation may play out again this year with the glut of OF and 1B candidates. No one is against looking past 2018, but none of us want to see them give away assets again due to roster mismanagement, either.
  8. Ron Robinsons Beard
    More than likely you weren't going to replace Nelson's 2017 innings with Nelson's 2018 innings anyways (I believe he pitched over his head). And if there is such a dearth of starting pitching then they better hold off on wasting money on Cobb/Arrieta because it wouldn't make much of a difference then anyways. I still see a strong chance they get Cobb. I'm just arguing back that this roster is not in shambles as many try to make it out to be. We are in a very good place as an organization. It is a great time to be a Brewers fan which cannot always be said. Just the fact that the biggest arguments are whether to sign another talent pitcher to add to a talented rotation, or how we are going to clear the roster of too many talented players for the positions available is a wonderful position to be in. Not too many years ago, guys like Rafael Roque were making Opening Day starts for this team. It's come a long long way, and the future looks bright. But we are all baseball fans, and this is the kind of crap that baseball fans argue about in March
  9. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Pretty much any pitcher is an injury risk, Arrieta, Cobb and Lynn included. And looking at most of Chacin's career, including last year, indicates that he is better than "mediocre at best". It's likely that the team is going to use 9-10 starters at least this year, so building depth is not a bad thing. Unfortunately the Brewers are likely never going to be in the position to have a big-money starter in every spot in the rotation. But if they could sign Arrieta or Cobb, I feel that their 1-4 of Arrieta/Cobb, Anderson, Davies and Chacin has the potential to match up with pretty well with any other team's 1-4. But I mean, if this is the realistic expectation you have for the current rotation, signing Cobb or Arrieta isn't going to make too much difference, because what you are saying is they'd be surrounding Arrieta or Cobb with injury-prone crap.
  10. Ron Robinsons Beard
    What did you say a year ago when they entered the 2017 season with: 1. Guerra 2. Peralta 3. Nelson 4. Davies 5. Anderson DL- Garza I understand your point but the Brewers in 2017 hadn't just traded 3 top ten prospects for Christian Yelich, nor had they invested $80 million in Lorenzo Cain. Those moves, combined with the success of 2017, have drastically changed fans expectations and smart fans recognize a glut of talented OF and a dearth of talented SP. This roster is oddly constructed and while I trust Stearns and think he has done an amazing job as GM, I think he may have misplayed his hand in regard to the OF and SP. Bingo. Expectations were not that high last year, and they were exceeded immensely. However, because of that, they are much higher this year. I'm willing to give Stearns the benefit of the doubt that he can get the roster sorted out and squared away, but time is beginning to run out. I already fear its too late to trade Santana, which was the move I was hoping for. Now it's going to have to be minor moves and shrewd free agent signings to figure out the opening day roster.
  11. Ron Robinsons Beard
    You wouldn't have said that about Nelson a year ago most likely. Nelson's career numbers are very close to what Chacin's numbers are for his career as well. We most likely won't have an "ace" pitcher on our team (and we wouldn't with signing Cobb or Arrieta either) but we can have a bunch of guys pitch pretty well and we can be successful. I expect guys like Anderson, Davies, Chacin to have an ERA below 4 and I think the Brewers do as well. If they can do that, we will have similar output from our starters that we did a year ago. With adding Jimmy back in the mix as well towards June-July and possibly getting more out of Guerra, Woodruff, Miley, etc... it is not all doom and gloom to me. Me too. I really like the pitching staff they've manage to assemble. Getting Anderson from the D-Backs and Davies from the Orioles was genius. I think Chacin is likely to have an ERA below 4 as well. I mean, if he could do it in Colorado, he should be able to do it in Miller Park. He may end up being the shrewdest move Stearns made this offseason. I also really like Woodruff as a potential "lite" version of Nelson. What worries me is that the rotation's success is just based on too many "ifs" right now to feel super comfortable. I'm not advocating to blow the budget out of the water to fortify it, but I truly believe at this point that Cobb can be signed to a deal that wouldn't do that.
  12. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Jhoulys Chacin was added. I think Chacin is more of a Garza replacement than a Nelson replacement. I know, a rotation spot is a rotation spot, but a healthy Nelson is a #1-#2 guy, while I'd consider a good Chacin more of a #3-#4 in a good rotation. Of course, Chacin could be holding down the #2 spot, depending on how this works out: Yes, they say only a couple days, but oblique issues are scary for pitchers, especially when you look at how much time Anderson missed with one last year. If this lingers, I wonder if it may be the impetus to getting Cobb's agent on the phone? I have a feeling he's still the team's top choice of the big 3, when value and projected contracts are taken into account.
  13. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Yes, they say only a couple days, but I hate any time an oblique is mentioned after how much time Anderson missed last year. If this lingers, I wonder if it may be the impetus to getting Alex Cobb's agent on the phone?
  14. Ron Robinsons Beard
    The issue I see with that plan, though, is that it theoretically leaves the bullpen more vulnerable should one of your other starters get hurt or start getting shelled early in a start. Say for instance Davies only gets through two innings the day after a Woodruff/Suter piggyback start. That means that Suter wouldn't be available to soak up innings. And if Chacin pitches the next day and only makes it through 4 innings, the bullpen is even further depleted. I'm just remembering back to those bullpen games the team had in August/September of last year, and the bullpen was gassed due in part to having to take up those extra innings. I'm not dismissing this idea completely out of hand, but there is a reason why other MLB teams haven't adopted it, and I imagine its due to the risk of depleting your bullpen depth, and the fact that historically a team's best pitchers have been in the starting rotation, so logically you'd want those guys throwing the most innings.
  15. Ron Robinsons Beard
    It appears he's a decent receiver, but isn't a great thrower. Kind of seems like a younger, cheaper Vogt without the track record. He came up through the Rangers system as a 1B, and I remember him being a pretty highly ranked prospect at one time.
  16. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Nicholas was DFA'd by the Rangers today to make room for Lincecum. While he hasn't been a world-beater, he has shown to be a decent hitter with solid power in the high minors. Would he be an upgrade on Bandy if Vogt can't make it back on time for the start of the season? https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2018/03/rangers-designate-brett-nicholas-announce-signing-of-tim-lincecum.html
  17. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I think it is more of a case of the impatience of being a baseball fan in March. But it appears that the free agent market is playing into Stearns's hands perfectly. Three of the top four FA pitchers are still on the market as we head into the third week of spring training. All that needs to happen is an AL contender developing an obvious need for either a power hitting corner outfielder or a 1B for all the dominos to be set up perfectly for a terrific Brewers offseason. Moves that could still very well happen that would make this a terrific offseason: 1. Sign Cobb or Arrieta to a multi-year deal that is fair for both sides (i.e. 3 years/45-49 million or 4 years/60 million for Cobb and 2 years/49 million for Arrieta) 2. Trade Santana to an AL club for either a young MLB-ready starter or a package of high-upside prospects. 3. Trade Broxton for a solid bullpen piece (Cotton comes to mind) or a couple high-upside young minor leaguers. 4. Trade Aguilar for a similar return to what they get for Broxton. 5. Sign Jeremy Hellickson or Trevor Cahill to a minor league deal, because you can't have enough starting pitching depth, and I'd prefer to see veterans in the rotation at Colorado Springs than guys like Woodruff, Burnes and Peralta.
  18. Ron Robinsons Beard
    At this point, Cobb turning down the Cubs' reported 3 year/$42 million deal looks like a bad decision. I wonder if that deal would get it done for the Brewers now?
  19. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I still have a lot of faith in him, but I'm not going to lie and say I'm totally confident in this roster and the way it's constructed. Now if this is what they go into the 2018 season with, I'll accept it and be Gallardo's and Miley's biggest supporters. I'll never be on board with the idea of making guys like Santana, Braun and Thames part-time players, though. I've been advocating for Santana to be dealt ever since Yelich and cain were acquired, and if they go into the season with him as the primary RF instead of Phillips, I'll be disappointed.
  20. Ron Robinsons Beard
    If the deal is with the Indians, how about for a couple lottery-ticket types like LHP Sam Hentges and RHP Elijah Morgan?
  21. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I totally get that sentiment. At this point, he's betting on his coaching staff to be able to pull several "career year"-type performances out of guys that either have never been effective, or are several seasons removed from being effective. I think when "Brewers Christmas" happened on January 25, the majority of fans, myself included, expected the team to follow up the fortification of the outfield with additional moves that would fortify them with contender status. However, other than a few depth moves like Albers, it hasn't happened. And they sit now with a logjam in the outfield and at 1B, with arguably poor starting pitching depth. I get that it takes two to tango regarding trades to clear the logjam, but to go into what should be a contending season banking on guys like Guerra, Miley and Gallardo to rebound, while obvious upgrades like Arrieta, Cobb and Lynn, and even marginal upgrades like Lackey and Cahill are still sitting on the open market, would appear irresponsible. As a Packer fan that has dealt with 12 years of Ted Thompson running the Packers that way, it is very frustrating. At this point I'm hoping that is just GM talk, and there are still a couple FA signings and trades to be made. But if he is serious about going into the season with the roster the way it's constructed, with way too much OF depth, guys like Broxton and Phillips at AAA that shouldn't be there just because you have too much depth, and crap reclamation projects rounding out the rotation, doubts are going to start creeping into my head.
  22. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Yup ... I'm all for throwing ideas out there, but this one is way out there.
  23. Ron Robinsons Beard
    It's semantics, I know, but I'm 99.9% sure that I read that the top pitchers are not at the IMG Academy training camp. That includes Arrieta, Cobb and Lynn.
  24. Ron Robinsons Beard
    So, on Cobb. Obviously Miley began to show his true colors today. Any chance that hastens a signing? I would think at this point he could be signed to a 2-3 year deal with a reasonable per year average.
  25. Ron Robinsons Beard
    He gave up 3 runs in the 4th and got pulled with two down. He's been impressive regardless, but I still think his ultimate upside is replacement-level.
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