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Ron Robinsons Beard

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Everything posted by Ron Robinsons Beard

  1. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Looking back through his posts, they seem legit. Of course, he could be one of those guys that throws a bunch of posts against a wall to see what sticks, and quickly deletes the ones that don't happen. It does seem oddly specific to be completely made-up, though.
  2. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Mostly an NCAA writer. Kind of an odd guy to be breaking MLB news. But he seems pretty legit. I'd be surprised if the money was that high, but I like that it's a shorter-term deal.
  3. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Well, so would Cobb and Lynn, and probably Arrieta as well. The "on-paper" difference in talent between the Brewers' staff and those of the Nationals and Dodgers is significant. Adding Cobb or Arrieta moves the needle some, but those teams still have a big edge. The Brewers are closer to the Cubs if they grab one of those guys, though. Lester is getting old and showed significant decline last year, while Kyle Hendricks compares pretty equally to Chase Anderson. Obviously if they get good Darvish, he's better than anything the Brewers have. I think Davies can put up similar numbers to what Quintana is going to give you. Chatwood on paper is better than Woodruff/Suter as of right now.
  4. Ron Robinsons Beard
    You are not factoring in any offensive improvement. This is a team that was in playoff contention until the 161st game of the 2017 season, and took steps to improve an offense that, while streaky, proved to be prolific last year. Yes, losing Nelson sucks, and it downgrades the rotation significantly, but not even close to being a bottom-dweller or deadline seller.
  5. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I get your frustration, but you're probably overstating how dire the pitching situation is. Because if it is that bad, adding Arrieta or Cobb isn't going to make that much of a difference. I think the reality right now is, given the "on-paper" offensive improvement and the current pitching staff, the Brewers are a fringe playoff contender. The theoretical offensive improvement and slotting Chacin into the rotation should come close to equalling out the loss of Nelson for half the year. BUT ... that is assuming we don't see multiple core players regress significantly. Adding Cobb or Arrieta solidifies them as a firm playoff contender.
  6. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Guerra Gallardo Miley Wilkerson Burnes Derby Peralta Lopez Quantity isn't the problem. This team is flush with #4-5-types, which Suter and Woodruff are until they prove otherwise. What they could use is another #2/high-end #3, which even with his regression, Arrieta fits into. Is he worth the contract he's looking for at this point in his career? Well, I'm glad that isn't my decision. I just know that having him in the rotation would make this team a solid playoff contender, instead of the fringe contender they are now.
  7. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I think that's exactly why Bethancourt was signed to a minor league deal. He certainly isn't going to set the world on fire offensively, but he is a solid all-around defender who is still young enough to theoretically be in his prime. Otherwise, there are always Susac-types out there that are either available via waivers or minor trades. This is more of a long shot, but if the coverage is true and Nottingham has improved defensively, and starts swinging the bat better, he'd be another possibility. At least he has age on his side.
  8. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I get a strange feeling that your heart is going to be broken. To invest so much money and collateral in the outfield, and largely ignore the glaring need for starting pitching (save Chacin) would be an odd choice, to say the least. But you're right ... besides the repeated insistence from HighHeat19 that Cobb is/was very much on the Brewers' radar, there has been next to nothing from media and insiders linking the two. There's actually been much more scuttlebutt linking the Brewers to Arrieta. Could a rotation of Anderson, Davies, Chacin, Woodruff and Suter/Guerra/Gallardo/Wilkerson/Miley (ugh!) keep the team in contention? Well, yeah, if Anderson and Davies prove that last year wasn't a fluke, if Chacin proves to be a solid innings-eater and if Woodruff lives up to his potential. I think that's too many "ifs" to throw at the wall, though. At this point, Arrieta isn't a world beater, and Cobb probably never will be, either, but what those guys provide is a more proven consistency if one or several of those "ifs" don't happen.
  9. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Yeesh! Another instance of a Cub fan feeling that it is the player's honor to play for their team. Knock me over with a feather! For a team with one title in a century, there sure is a sense of entitlement. If Cobb really wanted to be there, he would have accepted the 3-year deal they offered him back in December.
  10. Ron Robinsons Beard
    What news? This is Haudricourt's speculative quote: "The Brewers haven't announced when they expect Nelson to return to the rotation but somewhere around the all-star break in mid-July would appear to be a good possibility." I get that you are trying to make a pessimistic point, but you're still making a bit of a jump. I do agree that they need another pitcher, though.
  11. Ron Robinsons Beard
    These guys just need to sign somewhere already! *beating head against wall
  12. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Good .... good. He just needs to sign that contract that Stearns likely offered him two months ago. His leverage is slowly dwindling.
  13. Ron Robinsons Beard
    That would be a very "uber-Brewers" move. And I would say something like that is very likely.
  14. Ron Robinsons Beard
    "Don't you ... forget about me." - Jett Bandy
  15. Ron Robinsons Beard
    More likely they just roll with Jett Bandy.
  16. Ron Robinsons Beard
    By God, is that Jett Bandy's music? In all seriousness, I imagine Bandy's chance of making the team just went from about 15% to roughly 90%. There is really not much left on the free agent market for catchers (sans Lucroy), and with Bethancourt and Nottingham likely slated for AAA duty, he doesn't have a ton of competition.
  17. Ron Robinsons Beard
    At least Santana does have a strong arm in RF. It isn't Phillips-strong, but he does have that ability ... fielding the ball, on the other hand ... Santana is a good athlete, and he is young enough to potentially improve in the OF, as long as he doesn't bulk up too much. Having terrific defensive outfielders in Yelich and Cain out there would mask some of Santana's shortcomings as well. While I'm still in favor of trading him if the return is there, I am warming to the idea of seeing if he can stay healthy and replicate what he did last year. I am still waiting to see how they are going to clear up this positional traffic jam, though. How much faster does Yelich get to a ball versus Santana. It isn't all about arm strength although that is a plus. If Yelich gets to a ball quicker and gets rid of it quicker, he would be fine in RF. If he doesn't, then Santana's arm strength is a plus over there. But he is slow to just about every ball and a lot of the times he ends up misplaying them. So what good does arm strength do for you then? I would rather have the sure fielder. The idea is moot, as Counsell has already gone on record saying that while Yelich will work a bit at RF in Spring Training, he'll be the team's primary LF.
  18. Ron Robinsons Beard
    You made so much sense ... up until this last part. Bruan to 3B again is never, ever going to happen.
  19. Ron Robinsons Beard
    At least Santana does have a strong arm in RF. It isn't Phillips-strong, but he does have that ability ... fielding the ball, on the other hand ... Santana is a good athlete, and he is young enough to potentially improve in the OF, as long as he doesn't bulk up too much. Having terrific defensive outfielders in Yelich and Cain out there would mask some of Santana's shortcomings as well. While I'm still in favor of trading him if the return is there, I am warming to the idea of seeing if he can stay healthy and replicate what he did last year. I am still waiting to see how they are going to clear up this positional traffic jam, though.
  20. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Well, he's the only other middle infielder on the 40-man, so it would stand to reason he'd be called up. If they had to add a guy, I imagine it would probably be Orf. Nick Franklin is kicking around again too.
  21. Ron Robinsons Beard
    That would clear up a lot of the roster issues this team is facing. I do wonder if they would just dump Kemp outright after that deal, though? I would hate to see them turn around and have to surrender prospects to get out from under that contract. Is there another high-salary player out there at more of a position of need for the Brewers that they might be able to flip Kemp for? Kipnis maybe? The Brewers would be doing the Dodgers a huge favor by taking on Kemp's contract as well. The Dodgers would have to add some pretty substantial value to make it work. Not Bellinger or Seager, obviously, but maybe a higher end pitching prospect or something along those lines.
  22. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I totally get where your coming from, and we want the same things. I think we just have a different idea on how to get there. I have to say, if Stearns does follow your train of thought, it would be a novel approach, and he'd be betting a lot on himself and his player personnel department to know which players to sell high on, and which players are building blocks. He'd also have to be extremely thick-skinned, because the majority of the fanbase isn't going to take too kindly to trading off young pre-arb talent that can currently help the team. The typical fan doesn't care about whether a player is in arbitration or not. All they see is your contending team just traded its proven closer for a package of young prospects. Perhaps the "Brewers Way" can become the MLB's version of the "Patriots Way", but they sure as heck aren't there yet.
  23. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I see many of those young fringe prospects packaged in deals for upgrades at positions of need. Sure, they will keep some, but I'd bet they aren't going to trade a bunch of MLB assets who are pre-arb to fit them in, unless they no longer fit the roster plan. Got it, farm sucks... puke value for glue guys. 3-4 year window and off to another rebuild... stearns is lying to us. So it's better to sell off MLB assets regularly, and aspire to consistent 83-win seasons? Again, no team operates like that. I mean, name one smaller media market contending team that has regularly sold off pre-arb players? It's an idea that perhaps makes sense in theory, but unless you have Nostradamus running your team, the risk just doesn't justify it.
  24. Ron Robinsons Beard
    Speaking in absolutes like that isn't helping your argument. Santana had a good year overall, but was extremely streaky. As were Shaw, Thames and even Arcia. That was the story of the 2017 team. The idea of trading Santana is also a search for more consistency. The question is whether Phillips can provide enough production to justify trading Santana. Denying the truth is ridiculous. How is it not absolute? He was the best bat we had last year. BA OBP SLG OPS all at or a few points off the top. No one else did that. We shopped him prior to yelich. It takes a yelich to get those numbers with better consistency. That's not a win now trade. Thats a HR hitter is going to spike his contract in arby and kill his trade value. Sell high. Knebel will do the same with saves this year. No, it's a "we have a surplus at this position, and this guy has value" trade. Or its a "this guy had a good year, and isn't likely to repeat it" trade. Or its a "this guy has a ton of value, so lets see if we can flip him for an asset where we need depth" trade. Perhaps you are jaded by the previous regime's philosophy of selling off studs, but I refuse to go down that pessimistic road. Comparing dealing Santana to dealing Davies or Knebel is apples and oranges.
  25. Ron Robinsons Beard
    I see many of those young fringe prospects packaged in deals for upgrades at positions of need. Sure, they will keep some, but I'd bet they aren't going to trade a bunch of MLB assets who are pre-arb to fit them in, unless they no longer fit the roster plan.
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