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True Blue Brew Crew

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Everything posted by True Blue Brew Crew

  1. True Blue Brew Crew
    I know, right? I'm sure it's not lost on him that he uses one of the longest, heaviest bats in the majors. It would seem logical to make an adjustment there with that as he reaches his twilight. Who knows, maybe a lighter, shorter bat will be part of this tweak.
  2. True Blue Brew Crew
    Per Adam McCalvy... Personally, I think this is a mistake. Hitting the ball hard is the most important thing. Bad luck shouldn't be a reason to make changes. Hopefully this doesn't backfire like it did for Harper.
  3. True Blue Brew Crew
    Seems low. I cant say I know anything about the 19 guys ahead of him, though. It is low if the standard is likelihood of being a successful major leaguer. 19 is a product of the position he plays. More value placed on starting pitching and shortstops especially. There are few ranked ahead of him I'd bet on having more success.
  4. True Blue Brew Crew
    Looking forward to 15 years from now when the name changes from American Family Field to Northwestern Mutual Park and everybody laments that American Family Field is the perfect name and should never be changed.
  5. True Blue Brew Crew
    I'm not sure about mid-April, but I've been saying all along that Hiura would be up as soon as they lock up that extra year of control. I did expect them to sign a versatile infielder to man 2B until his call-up, that would then be a super-sub thereafter. But now I think you might be right about getting by with the P/S platoon to bridge the gap.
  6. True Blue Brew Crew
    Wouldn't naming rights have already been hashed out when the funding bill was signed? If the lawmakers granted that to the Brewers when the stadium bill was passed, then NO, the 5 county taxpayers wouldn't have any say in the naming of the stadium. That would seem like something specifically spelled out at the outset. I could be wrong.
  7. True Blue Brew Crew
    There's another factor that shouldn't be overlooked. Since the offseason began and the Brewers charted their many different courses and options, their #1 prospect at one of the big club's weakest positions went out and tore up the Arizona Fall League. They're the only ones who can attest to how much that raised his 2019 MLB feasibility in their minds, but it sure didn't hurt him. We've seen his scouting profile jump considerably since season's end, especially his power. So that's changed since October and the Grandal signing changes dollar allocation as well. The 2Bs they checked on could very easily be less appealing now than they were earlier in the offseason given those 2 developments.
  8. True Blue Brew Crew
    Right. A few offseasons and trade deadlines with Stearns has taught us by now that the Brewers are in the mix on just about everything. They're looking for bargains, value, and upside everywhere. That's how you end up trading for a 3B when the spot is already filled. Looking at all angles, including free agent 2B, does not rule out turning the position over to your #1 prospect once his Super 2 date passes. And the Grandal signing had to have some impact on the remaining paths they're exploring.
  9. True Blue Brew Crew
    It is clear that the Brewers having been working over the FA 2B market very hard this offseason. If Keston is the plan it's Plan Z. The Brewers work every angle hard. They don't marry themselves to one course. The big move to improve and spend at C might now mean status quo at 2B and Keston now being Plan A. And if Grandal hadn't been added, doing something bigger at 2B could have been the route they went. The bottom line is the Brewers explore all options and never lock themselves into one way of improving the club. My guess now is that it's either go BIG at 2B or simply go KESTON. In between doesn't make sense when someone like Cabrera signs for 3.5 million and its not with Milwaukee. The bargain guys available in FA might also see the writing on the wall at 2B and see their opportunity in Milwaukee plummeting by midseason. If the money is equal, go where one of the best hitting prospects in the game won't be knocking on the door to take your job.
  10. True Blue Brew Crew
    Of course the shortest line could simply be drawn to Keston Hiura taking over for good June 1 and internal options manning 2b in April / May. It could be that simple now that they spent $18.5 million on Grandal.
  11. True Blue Brew Crew
    Suggests to me they're aiming higher. That's a bargain for a guy whose OPS would likely push .800 and could play as passable 2B. Could be they're after someone whose splits aren't so dramatic. (.824 vs RHP and .646 vs LHP in 2018)
  12. True Blue Brew Crew
    Thanks for the reply homer. I don't regret going public about this. It's good to have clarification on the difference between shutting down topics versus dealing with offenders. I received that from you and another helpful moderator via PM. I have a lot of knowledge to share here but I don't post often. When I see something being discussed where that knowledge can shed light or correct a falsehood, I'd hope I'd be able to do so without those who the info contradicts taking such offense. I'll continue to improve my delivery. I've already stopped quoting others or addressing anyone specifically yet 2 different people took my statistical posts personally. Occasionally it is really is as simple as one side being wrong. That doesn't give that side the right to turn to personal attacks to get the topic shut down. And when I'm wrong I know full well I can't just start throwing insults either.
  13. True Blue Brew Crew
    The recent trend of locking threads rather than dealing with the rules abusers is concerning. In addition to other things, I get this posted towards me... ...in response to showing statistically how fielding percentage shows very little correlation in a team's ability to prevent runs from scoring. I called no one any names, and didn't respond negatively to the attacks made against me. And rather than admonish the abusers, the moderator instead locks the discussion. Not really fair to the 2 people who raised the notion that fielding percentage was an insignificant measure. Turns out they were shown to be correct and not even allowed to further discuss. I think we know why the tone here is going south.
  14. True Blue Brew Crew
    I'm pretty sure my magic 8 ball is more likely to be right about something baseball related than you... I think anyone who just read page 2 of this topic would see that's not true. It's also not a very nice thing to say.
  15. True Blue Brew Crew
    I'm glad I could help, Keith. That's one of the best things this place can offer. Amirite?
  16. True Blue Brew Crew
    I decided to go the stream of consciousness route. Sorry.
  17. True Blue Brew Crew
    Pretty much, yep.
  18. True Blue Brew Crew
    The inverse was the Washington Nationals. They tied for the major league lead in fielding percentage (.989) yet finished 25th in defensive runs saved at -55. All that tremendous glove work and yet they were one of the worst defenses at run prevention.
  19. True Blue Brew Crew
    The Toronto Blue Jays (.983) ranked just ahead of the Brewers (.982) in fielding percentage last year. Yet the Brewers ranked 2nd in defensive runs saved (116) while the Blue Jays were ranked 2nd last in DRS (-100). That's a 216 run swing even though the Blue Jays had a better fielding percentage. Is this beginning to make some sense?
  20. True Blue Brew Crew
    Another factor ranking much higher is terms of importance towards preventing runs from scoring rather than fielding percentage is the ability to strike batters out. If a team's pitching staff can't strike anybody out and has their defenders positioned poorly, they could have a 1.000 fielding percentage and still do a worse job at saving runs defensively than the Brewers did last year. A stellar fielding percentage but a negative rating in DRS means the opponent is hitting the ball where the defense isn't.
  21. True Blue Brew Crew
    If fielding percentage was detrimental to a team's ability to prevent runs from scoring the Brewers 24th ranked percentage (.982) would have disallowed them from saving the 2nd most runs defensively in all of baseball. But it's not. Positioning is vastly more important.
  22. True Blue Brew Crew
    I guess its teaching time. What those numbers tell baseball people is that unless you're a Ryan Braun at 3B-like butcher at a given position, what's most important to run prevention is positioning. The best fielding team (Houston .989) was separated by the worst (StL .978) by just over 1% of balls in play. That means 1 error per 100 chances. Defensive positioning (or being where the ball is hit) has far greater impact than 1 in 100 chances. So in essence, given the fact that the vast majority of major league baseball players play a position that they can competently field, Yes - the most important aspect of preventing runs from scoring on defense is having your defenders in the right spots. And it certainly isn't a player's fielding percentage. If teams were throwing .750 fielding percentage players out there it would have an impact but they're not.
  23. True Blue Brew Crew
    You might want to take another crack at thinking that one through. Those 2 statistics say exactly what the numbers indicate. And that is that fielding percentage plays very little role in the ability to prevent runs from scoring. I can't dictate where the Brewers rank on either. I can point out that they rank well on the one that carries a direct correlation to the scoreboard though.
  24. True Blue Brew Crew
    The Brewers were 24th in fielding percentage yet 2nd in defensive runs saved last season. That should tell everyone what they need to know about the usefulness of fielding percentage as a statistic. The Brewers excel at looking at the data that matters. The ability to play Shaw at 2B and not fall off a cliff defensively illustrated that proper placement is the most important aspect of fielding. Teams and individuals who cling to fielding percentage offer a clear competitive advantage for Milwaukee.
  25. True Blue Brew Crew
    The Brewers don't have a 2B problem. They have a "what are we going to do at the position for 2 months problem".
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