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True Blue Brew Crew

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Everything posted by True Blue Brew Crew

  1. True Blue Brew Crew
    For the moment.
  2. True Blue Brew Crew
    I only have a few thoughts, not a list of predictions on all of these items... - Brandon Woodruff looks to be a disappointment based on what I'm seeing here. I see a lot of people tabbing him as their starting pitcher of the year. I think he's the first starter removed from the rotation, non-injury related. I think he once again provides tremendous value to the team pitching in relief as the season winds on. - I've said it elsewhere but since this looks like an official prediction thread, I'll put it here. Freddy Peralta is going to be looked on as this team's ACE by year's end. Way too much misunderstanding here of just how good he is. Not a day goes by where someone doesn't post something completely inaccurate about him. Thankfully they get to play the games and this will bear itself out on the field. - Continuing the theme of consolidating predictions into this space, I believe Keston Hiura will be the Brewers 2nd best hitter, behind only Yelich, from the day he's called up. By season's end he'll be a fixture in the lineup and the playing time juggling will be between Shaw, Moose, and Aguilar. Those 3 will occupy 1st and 3rd based on splits and career success against the opposing pitcher.
  3. True Blue Brew Crew
    With his ridiculous extension, his release point was already 2 feet closer to home plate than average, making the 92 on the gun, the equivalent of 95. If he's now throwing 95, the equivalent is let's just say "scary".
  4. True Blue Brew Crew
    You're right, there's no middle ground. His elbow must be clean or we would have heard by now. Look, I'm not even saying definitely that the holdup is the medicals. I'm just trying to lay out the many possibilities that could be the reason Kimbrel has yet to sign with the Brewers or anyone. For people to resurrect the "Stearns is drawing a hard line" or "Attanasio is cheap" narratives is ridiculous. It could be those things, it could be some concern over Kimbrel's arm, it could be a combination of all of these things. For anyone to make a definitive statement, as we're seeing some people do, is senseless.
  5. True Blue Brew Crew
    There are varying levels of damage that show on every MRI. There are varying degrees of flexibility and range of motion that show from a simple exam. Different teams have different levels of risk they're willing to take. It also depends on the medical staff and what concerns them and what doesn't. It's not as simple as you're suggesting.
  6. True Blue Brew Crew
    A reminder that we don't know how that elbow looked upon examination. The very fact it was a concern should stop people from making assumptions about the financials. And the fact that apparently only two teams are kicking tires on him should tell you something as well.
  7. True Blue Brew Crew
    Not sure if referring to me. All I've said about Nelson is that I believe they'll put him in the rotation when he's ready. I haven't been saying anything with regard to when he'll be ready or if he'll be back to 2017 form. If you are referring to me, I think you got me mixed up with someone else. No sir, true as in Correct. If I refer to you it be TBBC. By the way,great user name > Jealous Ah, sorry about that. I should have been able to figure that out. And thank you.
  8. True Blue Brew Crew
    Not sure if referring to me. All I've said about Nelson is that I believe they'll put him in the rotation when he's ready. I haven't been saying anything with regard to when he'll be ready or if he'll be back to 2017 form. If you are referring to me, I think you got me mixed up with someone else.
  9. True Blue Brew Crew
    I don't think Kimbrel would have been in Arizona getting his elbow examined if terms weren't essentially agreed upon or very far along. If he was closer to a deal with the Braves, wouldn't he be in Florida? Every day that passes without Kimbrel becoming a Brewer makes me think they're not sold on the health of his arm. Just my opinion.
  10. True Blue Brew Crew
    Their terms (the Brewers) not mine. They're not hiding the fact that they're going to deploy pitchers in a different way. They're literally telling you every day. Your continual dismissal and deflecting towards me isn't going to make me look foolish.
  11. True Blue Brew Crew
    I don't think they're going to use Nelson out of the pen when he's ready. He'll bump someone else out of the rotation which will only add to the depth of multiple inning guys.
  12. True Blue Brew Crew
    Have you seen the results of leaning too heavily on relievers? Knebel's elbow is probably toast, Jeffress was not 100% in the playoffs last year and is having shoulder issues. If you want an example that isn't Brewers, the Cubs entire bullpen was basically trash the last month and a half of the season. The only good reliever they had was Chavez, who was traded for in July/August and therefore not yet ruined by Maddon. Everyone else was either bad or hurt. Overusing the bullpen has consequences. And thus why the Brewers have two long men in the pen that weren't there last year. And why they will always shuttle pitchers back and forth between San Antonio and Milwaukee. They're geared to expose initial out getters less, not more.
  13. True Blue Brew Crew
    This year's pitching staff is even more equipped to supplement SHORTER outings from initial out getters. Not sure why people think the average outing is going to be longer in '19 than it was last year. This years OD bullpen is going to include two long-time MLB starters (Anderson, Guerra) with Jimmy Nelson waiting in the wings. Last years bullpen began with nothing but short-stint relievers. The 2018 OD roster had only 11 pitchers with 5 stretched as starters: Anderson, Chacin, Davies, Suter, Woodruff and 6 conditioned to relieve: Albers, Barnes, Drake, Hader, Jeffress, Knebel. From day one, the Brewers are better equipped to cover MORE innings from the pen.
  14. True Blue Brew Crew
    If it was as simple as throwing two different grips on his fastball and having different action, I'd concede it's not a recipe for success. Just as I'd concede that elite extension and spin rate alone don't guarantee success. It's the combo of those things that make Peralta somewhat incomparable and why he's so damn hard to hit.
  15. True Blue Brew Crew
    That's the other misconception, that his arsenal is limited. It's due to grouping two very different acting fastballs into one pitch. I don't care if people want to call his traditional 4-seamer a "whirly-whirl" and his cutter a "whoopsie-woo", the reality is they're two dramatically different pitches that get tracked statistically as one pitch. And thus why he's so misunderstood, even here. Someday.
  16. True Blue Brew Crew
    Pointing to Peralta's arsenal of pitches as why it's hard to project consistent success is completely missing his extreme extension and spin rate. This shouldn't be something that Brewers' fans need to reminded of but here we are. https://www.mlb.com/news/freddy-peralta-succeeds-without-elite-velocity-c283480888
  17. True Blue Brew Crew
    I hear ya, he’s still elite even with late season slight loss of command. 98 mph FB devastating CB. Guessing demands reduced cause of lack of offers. Some have speculated he’d sign high pillow deal or high aav 2 year. I’d go 3 for 56. We have the money. Worried bout the extortion that’s going to take place at the trade deadline in NL. If we don’t sign him hope it’s because of our analytics and not $. Wouldn't surprise me in the least if the Brewers jump in should Kimbrel shift to a short deal. And I'd be excited to add him for sure. I'd love to be privy to the data the Brewers are looking at but I'm not. Thus I can't scream and yell either way, whether they sign him or not. What gives me the most comfort is knowing they'll add without hesitation when and if they need to.
  18. True Blue Brew Crew
    I'd love to see the team improved even more myself. That could come at the trade deadline though. Today's perceived needs could be polar opposite those that are apparent 4 months from now. Two things to consider with Kimbrel in general - 1) Have his salary demands come down? The Brewers aren't giving him 6 years, $100 million. 2) Do the Brewers like his trajectory? He showed some chinks in the armor last year. Stearns and Co. might not even like the analytics on him. Btw, every fanbase is having this same discussion about Kimbrel.
  19. True Blue Brew Crew
    Thirded, fourthed, or fifthed, whatever we're up to in agreeing on this idea.
  20. True Blue Brew Crew
    They have split squads remember. If you're at a game in Maryvale, any member of the organization can be at a game in Tempe at the same time. They had a front office exec deliver the lineup card to home plate the other day. There's nothing to be read into the presence or absence of anyone in Spring Training. So if you don't see Counsell managing the club on a given day, don't start worrying he decided that the gig just wasn't for him anymore.
  21. True Blue Brew Crew
    Parris Campbell. Hoping he makes it to pick 30. Worried that he'll run a ridiculous 40 time and shoot up to the mid 1st.
  22. True Blue Brew Crew
    Thank you. Like clockwork every year we see conclusions drawn without proper context. This early in ST players are working on things that are in no way reflective of the approach they'd have in a game that counted. Pitchers working on specific pitches, batters working on getting deeper into counts or going the other way, etc. Spring training numbers have ZERO correlation to the regular season. How often do we see Spring MVPs flame out come April? And how many players suffer from March slumber only to awaken the moment the calendar flips. The answer is: each and every year. Players fighting for a roster spot are usually not experimenting, they're trying to post numbers. The problem is they're facing competition that might not be worried about performance. The only people with a true sense of whether a player is struggling or sacrificing results in the name of fine tuning, are the teams themselves.
  23. True Blue Brew Crew
    It must be invigorating for players with the end of their careers staring them in the face. Learning that you had an untapped ability that not only could significantly extend your career, but potentially lead to some of your best years.
  24. True Blue Brew Crew
    Thanks for sharing. It makes sense that technology is making it easier to mine talent from JCs or even more obscure sources. Level of competition has always made it difficult to assess what you have in a player who is competing versus lesser regarded talent. But things like spin rate and exit velocity can be now measured anywhere. Via video and data collection, a hidden gem or a prospect with an elite characteristic can now be found anywhere. Previously a scout might write off a player due to the competition. It paints the picture as to how the Brewers prospects might perform better than where presently ranked by traditional scouting metrics. Human scouts shunning data or at minimum not embracing it are going to be outclassed by technology. And I say that as someone related to a long time MLB scout. It's not easy to say but it's true.
  25. True Blue Brew Crew
    Did a little digging and saw that recent minor league pitching coach hire Cameron Castro was hired away from Driveline.
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