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brewerfan82

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Everything posted by brewerfan82

  1. brewerfan82
    Oh boy, facing a Major League debut? [sarcasm]This is always fun.[/sarcasm]
  2. brewerfan82
    After a slow start Thames has gotten his Spring numbers up to a respectable, on-base heavy .275/.387/.412/.799. Gotta believe the power will come, so loving the patience at the plate.
  3. brewerfan82
    I think he's just a really interesting player considering the extreme views people have on him. People bring him up in part because the Rangers seem to de-value him just as much as some of the posters on this board do, so you would think that would make him actually available as a trade target. While his strikeout numbers are a concern, it's not often a player with his ceiling is available at his age. If the Rangers also think a player who has 133 Major League at bats as a 21-22 year old "has proven that he is incapable of being anything other than a career minor leaguer", then I'm happy to buy low on the guy. That doesn't mean the concerns aren't warranted, but if the Rangers aren't going to give him a shot and you can get a guy for less than his potential value, why not consider it? That said, I think the Rangers are still looking for "top prospect value" in return and not whatever it is they think he actually is worth to them. In the meantime they'll continue to bounce him between AAA and the majors without giving him a real opportunity. It's just a really strange/interesting scenario.
  4. brewerfan82
    can't you say the same thing about Gallo? Ha, I was thinking the same thing. However, the big difference between the two is Peralta's 5 years older and has had 647 big league innings to figure it out since coming up as a 23 year old. Gallo's just entering his age 23 season and has only had 133 big league at bats spread out over two age 21 and 22 seasons so far. I understand people's concerns about his strikeouts, but he's mashed at every level while being 3-5 years younger than the competition, he's controllable, and hasn't been given a consistent chance at the big league level yet. Not to mention we're still a bit light in the organization at first base. I'd take him in a second for Peralta if available. But I highly doubt the offer's on the table.
  5. brewerfan82
    Haudricourt seems pretty certain something is in the works (or at least that there are some possibilities out there that they're waiting on) and has a nice quote from Stearns backing up that possibility:
  6. brewerfan82
  7. brewerfan82
    I don't see the Rangers or anyone else trading for any of our pitchers right now. Everyone's either coming off a mediocre season (Peralta, Nelson, Anderson, Garza), doesn't have a long enough track record (Guerra), or is named Zach Davies (no chance). Other teams are going to want to see them perform well for at least a couple months this year before they're willing to part with anything Stearns should deem a worthwhile return. Until then I think teams are either just doing their due diligence or are going to try to low-ball us. That said, I just listed off 6 pitchers for 5 spots. I think the ideal situation right now would be to find a suitor for Anderson as he actually performed close to what I think his value is (4.39 ERA, 1.37 WHIP) and I don't really see him upping his value at this point. Guerra needs to prove last year wasn't a fluke, Peralta and Nelson could over-perform for a couple months, and Garza... if you can get something for Anderson now, I'd still give Garza a couple months to look like his old self in case a team wants a veteran presence and flips us a flyer for him. Otherwise, I'm getting closer to joining the just let'em go now crowd on him.
  8. brewerfan82
    In 40 spring training at bats? I'm not concerned. He's pretty consistently walked more than once every ten at bats and held an OBP 100 points higher than his batting average throughout his career. His 40 at bats this spring is a very small sample and he's a guy with a locked down starting spot, so he may be taking an approach he normally wouldn't during the regular season in order to get into the swing of things (ie. maybe he feels getting as many swings in and making as much contact as he can while results don't matter prepares his bat better than taking walks, etc.).
  9. brewerfan82
    Nice start by Wily Peralta for the Dominicans today: 4.0 IP, 2 H, 1 BB, 1 ER, 6 Ks
  10. brewerfan82
    Another good game going on in Tokyo right now: 6 - 6 between Japan and the Netherlands going into the 11th where each team will begin their innings with runners on 1st and 2nd (first time this format will be instituted in WBC history). I was hesitant when talks of something like this happening in MLB were going on, but I think it could be great for this, where you're avoiding overworking players, and exhibitions like the All-Star game.
  11. brewerfan82
    I agree, it's been really fun to watch and I love the energy in March.
  12. brewerfan82
    If the offer really was just to buy out his arbitration years, then I'm very glad he turned it down. There is very little upside from the Brewers standpoint to him taking that. Here are some of the higher arbitration numbers for infielders the past couple seasons: Manny Machado - $5m (1st yr), $11.5m (2nd yr) Neil Walker - $3.3m (1st yr), $5.75m (2nd yr), $8m (3rd yr) Todd Frazier - $3m (1st yr), $7.5m (2nd yr), $12m (3rd yr) Even if he stays healthy and produces at elite levels (and he's no Manny Machado), he's only likely to get at most a few million more than the $20m we were going to guarantee him, which puts all the risk on us. If he doesn't produce at the same level or he gets hurt, it's a bad deal for the team. It really only makes sense if we're trying to buy out some of his more expensive free agent years as well.
  13. brewerfan82
    I think people are misinterpreting how the "or cash" part of the transaction works. I don't think it's likely it's within Boston's rights to demand we take the cash instead of a player at this point. As others have noted, most times the player (or group of players to decide between) is already decided at this point, the cash part is just a technicality in case of some extreme situation like all the players involved have career ending injuries. The way it was stated it seems like they're required to include some sort of cash value in the PTBNL transaction (anyone know if this is correct?). I don't expect the prospect to be anything major, considering we got a pretty good haul regardless, but I don't think you can read anything into the cash value amount.
  14. brewerfan82
    If it's the equivalent worth of $100 cash, I wouldn't get too excited. I don't think it's the equivalent worth of $100: http://nesn.com/2016/12/red-sox-send-brewers-100-as-final-piece-of-tyler-thornburg-deal/
  15. brewerfan82
    Seems more like Perez is a Gosselin-lite (albeit Perez also has CF on his resume): Career numbers: Gosselin: .283/.331/.385/.716 (93 OPS+) Perez: .255/.279/.373/.652 (74 OPS+) Regardless, they could easily co-exist if needed as they're both the versatile-types Stearns likes. Gosselin's a Pirate now. But no, Perez isn't Gosselin-lite if you just take into consideration Perez' numbers as a Brewer: .271/.295/.405/.700 (86 OPS+) plus Perez has 40 major league steals to Gosselin's 7. You just cherry picked his numbers and, outside the steals, they're still worse than Gosselin's... still they're pretty similar, probably more apt to just call them both Zobrist-lite
  16. brewerfan82
    Does anyone know what his WAR would have been last year had he been a full time DH?
  17. brewerfan82
    I'm borderline on adding Wieters, but probably fine either way depending on his price. We have a couple interesting catcher options in house, but they're not blue chip prospects and I don't think having them share duties for up to a year or delaying their service clocks a bit hurts much. So to me it's more about how good of a deal you can get for him. At what contract are you comfortable thinking you could get a nice prospect back for him if he proves to be productive? Here's what MLBTR had to say about him in their Free Agent Prediction post earlier this offseason: I would hate to give him a contract like 3/$39m in our position, but has he fallen to taking something like 1/$10m? Is that even too pricey to make it worth it? If he's productive, paying $5m for his second half for a contender probably isn't too bad and, if he stays, eating $10m for one year isn't the end of the world. Like others have mentioned, he possibly provides a little veteran leadership for the staff and young catchers, not to mention he might be some insurance at 1st if Thames flames out. I think somewhere around there is the threshold for me anyways.
  18. brewerfan82
    Seems more like Perez is a Gosselin-lite (albeit Perez also has CF on his resume): Career numbers: Gosselin: .283/.331/.385/.716 (93 OPS+) Perez: .255/.279/.373/.652 (74 OPS+) Regardless, they could easily co-exist if needed as they're both the versatile-types Stearns likes.
  19. brewerfan82
    If we could find a taker for Gennett, he does seem like he'd be a nicer option for the bench as a right handed backup for Villar, Shaw and Thames.
  20. brewerfan82
    Just for fun, check out this combined Thames/Park KBO line from 2015: [pre]Year AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG OPS 2015 1000 259 361 75 6 100 286 50 181 .361 .466 .750 1.216[/pre] I'll take 100 HRs at 1B this year
  21. brewerfan82
    If his previous extension went through his age 31 season, wouldn't that have meant he would have been a free agent after 2015? Meaning he would have had to have been traded by the 2015 season/trading deadline when he was coming off the 2013 PED suspension/lying debacle and a declining, post-PED .777 OPS 2014 season? I'm not sure he was very tradeable at that point. On the flipside, the extension occurred pre-PED scandal when he was on pace to be a HOF player, which if you take out all the mess that occurred after the extension, it seems pretty reasonable. I think it's quite safe to say that Braun's 2014 season was quite injury-affected, as his performance since would corroborate. If by "declining" you meant "trending downward," that's simply not accurate. One other thread-related comment from a different angle: Obviously there's no shortage of theories -- as this astoundingly nearly-60 page thread proves -- but whether or not Braun's tradeable ultimately is still merely speculation because we don't know what other GMs actually think or what offers Stearns has received. My point was that it didn't look good having a "less than normal" season after getting busted for PEDs. Injury or otherwise, he needed to prove that his performance up to that point in his career wasn't due to his cheating and having an off year didn't allow him to prove otherwise, which would have left a lot of question marks for other teams considering trading for him.
  22. brewerfan82
    If his previous extension went through his age 31 season, wouldn't that have meant he would have been a free agent after 2015? Meaning he would have had to have been traded by the 2015 season/trading deadline when he was coming off the 2013 PED suspension/lying debacle and a declining, post-PED .777 OPS 2014 season? I'm not sure he was very tradeable at that point. On the flipside, the extension occurred pre-PED scandal when he was on pace to be a HOF player, which if you take out all the mess that occurred after the extension, it seems pretty reasonable.
  23. brewerfan82
    True, but that's why all these proposed trades involving Braun include the Brewers taking back $40m+ in McCarthy and Puig. Throw someone like Guerra in there from the Brewer's side of things and having Braun + Guerra for a net $10m more per year for the next 4 years compared to Forsythe for about $8m more per year for the next two years, seems like it should be somewhat valuable.
  24. brewerfan82
    According to BR.com he has just over 3 years of service time (http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/grayso01.shtml) and according to Spotrac he is arbitration eligible through 2019 before becoming a FA (http://www.spotrac.com/mlb/oakland-athletics/sonny-gray-14331/). Perhaps you were confusing him with Jon Gray? (http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/grayjo02.shtml) Yes that is who I said to which the reply. Jonathon Gray or I guess should put Jon. As my example using a crystal ball how to get the #3 that can pitch low end #1 possibility next year. Predicting Colorado could use 1 of our premium OF prospects in the deal. Vs. the idea of a FA sign after the next season. Reread the original posting. Ah, didn't see your reference to Jon Gray earlier. That said, I think MKE81's comment was in response to A Swing and A Drive's earlier comment that "Sonny Gray has a higher talent ceiling than ANY pitcher currently in the Brewers system".
  25. brewerfan82
    Gray has barely over 1 year of service. At the moment he's not to be a free agent until after 2022. I'm going to guess based on his time he would need just 45days roughly to gain a year of control but become a Super 2. According to BR.com he has just over 3 years of service time (http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/grayso01.shtml) and according to Spotrac he is arbitration eligible through 2019 before becoming a FA (http://www.spotrac.com/mlb/oakland-athletics/sonny-gray-14331/). Perhaps you were confusing him with Jon Gray? (http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/g/grayjo02.shtml)
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