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brewerfan82

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Everything posted by brewerfan82

  1. brewerfan82
    I vote for this too, for a couple reasons: 1.) I'd prefer not to give Phillies a preview of Miz this close to a potential playoff matchup with them (or of Logan for that matter, but I'm not sure they'll get around that one), and 2.) I'll be at the game Sunday! :)
  2. brewerfan82
    I don't know if I can think of a more satisfying World Series run than knocking off the Cubs, Dodgers, and Yankees to get a championship 😍
  3. brewerfan82
    I live in Baltimore and it at least allowed me to sign up for the free Brewers.tv trial. We'll see tomorrow if it blocks me from watching the doc. I'm hoping they only blackout the actual games being out of market 🤞
  4. brewerfan82
    Rooting for a looooong, bullpen destroying, extra inning game loss for the Cubbies here.
  5. brewerfan82
    Obviously everything that happens in the next couple days needs to be taken as a whole before some individual moves can be fully evaluated, but I think it makes sense on a few fronts: Perkins will be replaced by Lockridge shortly Heuer vs. Yoho ROS ZiPS: Heuer: 11 IP, 8.86 K/9, 3.66 BB/9, 1.01 HR/9, 3.73 ERA, 4.03 FIP, 0.1 WAR (Arb 3 in '27) Yoho: 14 IP, 9.72 K/9, 4.08 BB/9, 1.12 HR/9, 4.31 ERA, 4.21 FIP, 0.0 WAR (Pre-arb in '27) Naylor vs. Sanchez vs. Quero ROS ZiPS: Naylor: 105 PAs, 10.3% BB%, 23.7% K%, .208/.292/.382, 90 wRC+, 0.4 WAR (Arb 1 in '27) Sanchez: 91 PAs, 11.8% BB%, 25.1% K%, .213/.319/.413, 104 wRC+, 0.2 WAR (FA in '27) Quero: 78 PAs, 7.6% BB%, 19.8% K%, .230/.293/.373, 85 wRC+, 0.3 WAR (Pre-arb in '27) Nothing earth shattering, but mainly sets them up for some flexibility to trade Sanchez and/or Quero while also setting up Naylor as the backup C for next year, where he should have similar expectations as Sanchez or Quero, at least for that first season.
  6. brewerfan82
    I guess he's saying they're not trading Skubal then, because that is the most insane trade package I've ever heard of, lol.
  7. brewerfan82
    Just out of curiosity, I wanted to see how often we score at least x runs per game compared to other teams (and especially the Dodgers). Here's some results: Score at least 1 run (95.37% of the time, T-6th in MLB w/ STL, behind LAD w/ 98.15%) 2+ runs (91.67%, 1st, ahead of LAD w/ 87.04%) 3+ runs (71.30%, T-9th w/ LAD and TEX) 4+ runs (59.26%, T-8th w/ NYY, just behind LAD w/ 60.19%) 5+ runs (50%, T-4th w/ ATL, ahead of LAD w/ 43.52%) 6+ runs (39.81%, 4th, ahead of LAD w/ 36.11%) 7+ runs (28.70%, 5th, just behind LAD w/ 29.63%) 8+ runs (23.15%, 4th, just behind LAD w/ 25.93%) Totally game for improving the offense, but they've been pretty consistently good at scoring runs compared to other teams and very comparable to the Dodgers on that front.
  8. brewerfan82
    Nice inning. Now I just need a Sanchez homer to tie/take the lead and it'll be one of my favorite 10 minutes in the game threads this year, lol.
  9. brewerfan82
    A lot can happen in the next couple years before he even comes up to the big leagues, but I suspect if both Pratt and Made cement themselves on the team, and Pena is showing he's legit too, you cash in on Turang and move him into his spot. But again, a lot can happen, players don't pan out, trades and injuries happen, etc., quality depth is always a great thing.
  10. brewerfan82
    IF we think we can get this team to the playoffs without Miz's and Harrison's arms falling off... I'm starting to come around to the idea of going all in on Skubal. The one thing that can close the gap between the Brewers and anyone else in the league (including the Dodgers) is starting pitching. The thought of possibly having Miz, Skubal, and Harrison available to pitch 6 games in a 7 games series, with Henderson taking the other game, makes me feel like this team could actually beat anyone.
  11. brewerfan82
    2026 Catchers w/ at least 150 PAs: 2026 Catchers w/ at least 30 PAs in the last 30 days: 🤷‍♂️ lol
  12. brewerfan82
    Here's the issue with adding someone specifically to take you from a playoff team to a World Series champion, it means that player needs to carry your team specifically through the playoffs and the postseason is such a small sample, any good player could be bad and any bad player could be good for that stretch. Clearly the odds are better of a good player having a hot stretch, but it is far from guaranteed, which makes mortgaging your future a huge gamble when betting on a guy to be hot for a 2-3 week stretch. For a recent example, since July 1st (in about as many at bats as you may see in a postseason run), Joey Ortiz, our number 9 hitter and worst offensive starter over the past two seasons, has been one of our best hitters (along with a defensive first rookie in Pratt): Meanwhile Jake Bauers who carried this team offensively during the first half of the year has an 89 wRC+, Vaughn who many continue to complain about not getting enough playing time has a 76 wRC+, and arguably our two best offensive players, Chourio and Contreras, have 67 and 31 wRC+ respectively: So while it'd be great to add a known bat or two (and/or pitcher or two), you're probably almost as likely to get Chourio and Contreras' recent production as you are to get Mitchell and Turang's recent production over that small amount of time.
  13. brewerfan82
    Brewers 2026 P rankings in MLB: 3.56 xFIP (2nd in MLB, better than LAD's 3.85) .218 AVG (2nd, LAD: .214) 1.17 WHIP (T-2nd, LAD: 1.13) Brewers past 30 days P rankings in MLB: 3.64 xFIP (3rd in MLB, better than LAD's 4.03) .214 AVG (4th, LAD: .225) 1/11 WHIP (T-3rd, LAD: 1.24) Brewers 2026 P vs. above .500 teams rankings in MLB: 3.72 xFIP (1st in MLB, better than LAD's 3.92) .197 AVG (1st, LAD: .222) 1.10 WHIP (1st, LAD: 1.15) I'm not too worried about how yesterday's game went in the grand scheme of things. I also don't think they're "unlikely to make a trade". I think they may be "unlikely to make a blockbuster trade despite looking into them", but they always make some sort of bolstering moves. The biggest key to the offseason is getting everyone there healthy and with as much stamina left as possible. If they do that, they can play with anyone in a short series (and unfortunately vice versa, but that's how the postseason goes).
  14. brewerfan82
    If the last year and a half are down/awful years/the floor for Henderson (25 years old, FA in 2029) and Holliday (22 years old, FA in 2031 or 32?), then sign me up. 2025-26: I think it'd probably cost more than it's worth for us considering all the infield talent we already have, but I would be pretty confident in them providing a boost the rest of the season and beyond if they were acquired. And at only 25 years old, I suspect Gunnar has a good chance of finding his 2023-24 success again:
  15. brewerfan82
    For anyone curious what BTV thinks may be a fair trade, I found this just now. Not saying it's a good deal, a bad deal, or an accurate portrayal of values, just throwing it out there to add to the discussion ;)
  16. brewerfan82
    I guess the question now is how much cash are people hoping comes back our way to make this deal make sense. If the Astros are eating half of that ~$6.7M, I'll feel a lot better about the deal.
  17. brewerfan82
    It's kind of a head scratcher at this point. He's been injured or very bad for 4 years and is owed $6.672M. Feels like there's gotta be something more to it, like we're getting someone else as well but had to take on McCullers to get the deal done. Otherwise it'd be weird for us to 1.) take on the money for someone that's been so bad recently, or 2.) for the Astros to pick up a bunch of the money and still not get much for him since he's been so bad.
  18. brewerfan82
    The closest I can find on FanGraphs is team batting stats with runners in scoring position and less than two outs: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/splits-leaderboards?splitArr=54,55,59&splitArrPitch=&autoPt=false&splitTeams=false&statType=team&statgroup=2&startDate=2026-03-01&endDate=2026-11-01&players=&filter=&groupBy=season&wxTemperature=&wxPressure=&wxAirDensity=&wxElevation=&wxWindSpeed=&position=B&sort=15,1 They're 7th in the MLB in wRC+ in that situation, 8th in AVG, 3rd in OBP, 13th in SLG, 9th in OPS Over the last month stats: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/splits-leaderboards?splitArr=54,55,59&splitArrPitch=&autoPt=false&splitTeams=false&statType=team&statgroup=2&startDate=2026-05-07&endDate=2026-11-01&players=&filter=&groupBy=season&wxTemperature=&wxPressure=&wxAirDensity=&wxElevation=&wxWindSpeed=&position=B&sort=9,1 Over the last month they're 7th in the MLB in wRC+ in that situation, 7th in AVG, 4th in OBP, 15th in SLG, 9th in OPS
  19. brewerfan82
    That's pretty amazing considering they started out 184 games below .500 from 1998-2006.
  20. brewerfan82
    Not good enough.
  21. brewerfan82
    It's really amazing how this team can just keep trading away their stars and keep chugging along. Here's how the outgoing pitchers (Peralta, Myers, Quintana) have faired vs. the incoming pitchers (Harrison, Drohan, Sproat) this year: And the comparison is even more favorable since May 1st:
  22. brewerfan82
    It might help if people stop using "MA" when both Mark Attanasio and Matt Arnold are being discussed... 😉
  23. brewerfan82
    I'm guessing the same thing may very well be said with a post-30 year old Contreras as well. It sucks because we grew up with players sticking with teams for their whole career and we still like the idea of that, but with the finances of the game, it's just better to have players on pre-FA contracts and team friendly extensions up until their age 30 season while they're still in their prime and then let someone else overpay for them as the decline in their post-30 years.
  24. brewerfan82
    That's an interesting take and makes sense to me! For me, Christmas is about traditions. Whether or not the film was intended to be, or is or isn't semantically, a "Christmas movie" is irrelevant to me. If you personally (or along with your friends and/or family) have adopted it as a tradition to watch Die Hard during the Christmas season, then for you it is a Christmas movie. No need to decide as a whole if it is or isn't. Of course, I also understand that takes all the fun out of the discussion 😉
  25. brewerfan82
    This is pretty much how I remember this going, lol
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