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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I love new metrics and somehow I’ve gotten this far being unacquainted with SaSLG. I’ll have to dig into that a little more.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Dunno, the evidence Tim presents here is pretty convincing. To have such a low swing percentage on balls in the zone and be negative value on the most hittable pitches is something that should absolutely be addressed.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    That's my hope.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    To be fair, 2022 baseball was the least entertaining baseball I've seen in my lifetime.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    That’s a fair point given we’re discussing the NL Central. A loss of a couple of games does outsized damage to any Central team (in either league) seeing an easy path to the postseason that isn’t winning the division.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I just don't see this impacting more than a couple of games. Instead of facing good/bad teams, the aggregate opponent will be .500. When we're talking about changing about 20 games of the schedule, the net gain/loss there just won't be substantial most of the time. Instead of going 11-9, a team goes 9-11. That sort of thing.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree about the Diamondbacks. I think they have a really good shot at being a disruptive force in the NL Wild Card race. I don't have a real problem with an 83 win projection - as a 50th percentile projection, it's fine - but I'm surprised ZiPS likes the Cardinals that much more. While they're obviously a formidable team, I fee like a drop-off from Arenado and Goldschmidt is pretty likely and the Cards derived a ton of value from them last season while they still "only" won 93 games.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree but I'm not sure Wong was the right player to do that. Frankly, I would have been fine going in either direction with the Wong trade. I can see arguments for picking up someone like Winker or trading for prospects and don't feel particularly committed on the subject.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't really consider Winker an outfield option at this point in his career and would rather see the Brewers mix and match their OF prospects over giving him significant time in the field.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I like the Winker deal primarily because it was buying low on a formerly consistent player but yeah, I see your point here.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Honestly, the potential outfield in the second half of 2023 is a compelling x-factor. What combination of Chourio, Wiemer, Frelick, and Mitchell will we see by that time? It has the potential to turn the Brewers into a really compelling outfield both defensively and offensively or it could crash down around our heads. The variance on it is massive, as it usually is with a bunch of rookies in the mix.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    NO YOU MUST COMMIT TO A GRADE NOW AND NEVER CHANGE YOUR OPINION EVER 😃
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    To me, success over the next 10-ish months is two-fold: 1. Not only make the postseason but advance at least one round. I don't consider one-and-done a success at this point. 2. Next offseason, trade Burnes while one of Woodruff or Adames should be extended by that time (preferably this spring). I'm fine with letting one of the big three walk to free agency with a QO attached but only one. And that one should not be Corbin Burnes so trade him.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree with all of this. I think Wong will rebound a bit defensively but the offensive environment will help Winker and hurt Wong.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh yeah, he can definitely provide value, which is why I generally like the deal, he's just working from a pretty severe disadvantage given his defensive limitations. And it's not as if Wong was a slouch himself. The bar for Winker to hit even an equilibrium with Wong is relatively high. To me, the most interesting part of the deal that can swing value way toward the Brewers is what happens with Toro over the next couple of seasons.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, I’m just having fun about the fact we all know you hated that deal.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    I think we'll learn a lot more about that in the next seven months. The Brewers had several enticing arms in the lower minors but that's a long road to MLB, much less success in MLB. My biggest question about the team over the past two-ish years has ultimately been "okay, they created a pitching goliath once, now can they do it again?" The Magic Eight Ball says "Reply Hazy, Try Again Later".
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    When we saw the author and title of the piece, we all knew the Suter grade going in, right? 😄
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    I think the B- is a pretty fair grade on the Winker deal. The thing about the Winker deal is that he will have to rake to post big value due to his defensive limitations being to such an extent he'll see most of his time at DH. And giving up Wong is a considerable loss of value. Again, I like the deal but Winker would have to post a monster OPS to make it an A+ deal, like top-of-the-league hitting.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Okay, so this is wayyyyy beyond my knowledge of the human body. Do you work in the field?
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't dislike their supporting deals around Contreras, they just weren't very inspiring to me. I think Renfroe would still be a pretty good fit on this roster. The Contreras deal on its own was A+++ territory. One of the best baseball deals I've seen recently from any team. The failure to make any movement on the extension front is a big reason why I'm giving them a B- right now.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd also be curious about this, in no way was I trying to silence Jopal. I was speaking more directly to bickering than any specific opinion.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    What a strange way to induce opposite-handed swing-and-misses. Another great piece, Matt, a lot to chew on here.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Let's calm down a little, everyone. I did not take the slightest offense to Jopal's response to me, no one need be offended on my behalf. Let's stay on topic, please!
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    I mean, maybe, but generally I find WPA a good metric for relievers, particularly late-inning relievers. You can use pretty much any metric of your choice to gauge the value of Fingers in 81.
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