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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    One thing I would have liked to read in this piece is what to expect from Lara in 2023. Will he move to rookie ball to open the season?
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I suspect Varland has the inside track, given his Rule 5 pickup status. The Brewers will give him every opportunity to make their draft selection worthwhile.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm kinda behind the curve on Areinamo so thanks for the informative write-up!
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    I used to follow the Angels extensively, as I lived in Long Beach for eight years and worked right next to the stadium during the 2002 run (and worked in Anaheim for 4-5 years). I borderline loathe the franchise at this point because of how much they've deprived Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani from October baseball.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Your Angels write-up is perfect.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Hahahah, this was a really fun read @sveumrules. Well done!
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't see that outfield alignment working at all, especially the way the Red Sox deployed it. It's really risky to move your left fielder to center and essentially immobilize your center fielder in short right field. If you keep the CF in place, do you want your left fielder sprinting back and forth to short RF on a regular basis? Looking at Tellez's batting ball graph, I hope teams try to deploy that alignment against Rowdy because those balls to left field suddenly become doubles. Which is why teams won't do it. You're stopping several low-impact singles and replacing them with the occasional extra-base hit that could completely turn the tide of a game. I was skeptical when MLB didn't impose any kind of OF shift restrictions but after seeing it play out, I like this balance. They can still shift you but now it's a damned risky proposition for the pitcher and defense. And when something is that risky, it will encourage hitters to start exploring how to exploit that gap in coverage because the reward will be much better than a station-to-station single.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I've been kinda down on Mitchell, maybe unfairly. First, his defense gives him a high floor and it's easy to see him becoming, at worst, a fourth/fifth outfielder that can play center very well. That's valuable in itself. Second, I was recently listening to MKE Tailgate's minor league report and the guest mentioned that Mitchell's swing decision peripherals aren't aligned with his results (ie. he looks worse than he has been). He's not chasing a ridiculous number of pitches and he's not missing a ton of pitches, the sequencing is just killing him. I haven't had a chance to dig into this yet but plan to do so.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Considering what the Brewers gave up for Contreras, if they can improve his framing a bit and get anything over a 110 wRC+ for several years, that's a big win for them. It turns catcher from a problematic roster spot to a well above average roster spot.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I find it interesting that Arnold seems very much in charge of the organization's baseball operations but he's still the general manager and not POBO. I suspect this will get sorted out at some point but honestly, I thought it'd already be sorted by now. It's bloody hard to run an MLB organization and losing one executive official (POBO and GM versus only a GM right now) seems like it'd be a strain on an organization over the long term.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I used Burnes in BTV because I think their value for Woodruff is pretty broken. It's fair value based on BTV but I just don't see the Twins doing this for logistical reasons. First, they'd lose Miranda - a staple of the lineup going forward - and I'm not sure they're ready to trade Lee. Which is a good illustration of how difficult it is to make a trade in MLB. Both teams could improve in the short-term (Twins) and mid-term (Brewers) but I don't see either team being willing to make the trade for personnel reasons. Woodruff makes the Twins better but not a lot better. The floor they'd be replacing with Woodruff might already be something around a 1.5-2 WAR starter.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree that I'd target Woodruff first and foremost but ultimately, it comes down to dollars and performance. While slightly favoring a Woody extension, I'd ultimately extend the player who is willing to sign for the dollars and years that most closely align with their projected performance.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Willy's on-base skills are really the only thing that scares me about him but they're pretty damned scary. I tend to be of the camp "don't care what's on the farm" when it comes to shortstops and centerfielders. You can literally never have too many of either and the failure rate on both is exceptional. Many become decent players but MLB tends to expose enough chinks in a player's armor that they easily become unplayable at a premium position. Maybe they don't hit enough. Their routes are a little sloppy. Their arm isn't strong enough. We've all seen it a hundred times, a guy rockets through the system as a SS only to play 40 MLB games there and moving to second base or a utility role. It's easy to fall down the defensive ladder and incredibly hard to climb up it. If I can reasonably keep what I know is a proven MLB starter at short or center, I'm usually not going to let pieces on the farm influence my attempts to keep that player. You can always move one of those players to second/third and make your defensive alignment even better should both prove to be capable at the more premium position. I'm not saying they need to keep Adames at all costs but it'd be a big mistake not to legitimately try.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't see how the two actions are related, though. If Chourio signs a deal, he'll be paid - at most - a few millions bucks a year for 3-ish years and then increasing from there. By the time Chourio is making real money, Yelich is off the books or close to it.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    BTW just want to tag @Smichaelis9 so he can see the glory of Frelick's slide in photo form.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Let's be real here, though. The Brewers gain an entire year of prime service time by keeping him down for three weeks. Baseball needs to change its rules about service time but I absolutely understand why teams do what they do under the current rules.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    It's probably fine if you run him out once a week in RF if he's hitting. More than twice a week and you're asking for trouble.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Really nice first entry! I can't wait to see what you have in store for us next. Do you plan to mainly tackle MiLB or will you examine the big league club as well? Oh, and you can embed tables on this site. It's faster to do and displays more nicely. Here's a primer on it:
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    I find the catching situation in baseball really interesting as a whole. Did the Cards downgrade from Molina to Contreras in hopes of some form of robotic umpiring taking over during that contract? Does Milwaukee have the same hopes for his younger brother? Or do the Brewers think they can shore up William's defense? With the future of catching kinda up in the air right now, how teams are approaching the situation is really interesting to follow.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    That trade was pure black magic and elevated my opinion of Arnold significantly.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Hah! We actually just bought the site. I'm def not a Cubs fan. I'll manage the community but we purchased it because Matt Trueblood is a Cubs fan and we wanted to give him a platform. We purchased this site because I'm a Brewers fan, we're purchasing that site because Matt's a Cubs fan. Right now I'm just getting acquainted with that group. They're a wild bunch, for sure.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd like to address this. As a fan of multiple teams and a member of multiple communities, I hear this said about literally every manager in baseball. Which kinda makes the statement impossible. As for Hiura, that's a pretty big complaint I have about both the front office and Counsell. I don't know who is responsible for throwing Hiura out there against LHP but it's super aggravating.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh man, I disagree. I think Counsell is a very good manager who manages the team as is required over 162. He runs a tight clubhouse, And baseball is a game where you can argue 55/45 decisions all day long with neither side being satisfied at the end because process doesn't correlate well with results over that data sample.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Thank you! I posted all of these back-to-back and that was lost in the shuffle of posting several pieces at once.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    So my deep dive analysis is:
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