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wiguy94

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Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. wiguy94
    Those arm strength numbers are the average of top 5% of his hardest throws though. I feel like that does a decent job of factoring out the easy throws. The naked eye could see the difference between Urias and Wong's double play turns at 2B.
  2. wiguy94
    Ah yes just so much crime near Fiserv Forum which is probably in the general area where a downtown baseball stadium would be put.
  3. wiguy94
    No his 2021 isn't as good as Sheets 2004. 2004 Sheets - 237 IP, 62 ERA-, 59 FIP-, 7.0 RA9-WAR, 8.0 fWAR respective ranks in MLB that year 4th, 4th, 2nd, 4th, 2nd 2021 Woodruff - 179 IP, 61 ERA-, 69 FIP-, 6.3 RA9-WAR, 4.7 fWAR respective ranks in MLB that year 20th, 4th, 6th, 5th, 9th
  4. wiguy94
    I never argued Sheets over Woodruff careers. I'm saying Woodruff doesn't have any season that touches Sheets 2004 because you said Woodruff has 4 seasons at least as good or better than anything Sheets did.
  5. wiguy94
    This is seriously underrated Sheets 2004 which is the 2nd best season in Brewers history behind Burnes 2021 season (could even have a valid argument Sheets 2004 was better because he pitched significantly more innings than Burnes 2021)
  6. wiguy94
    After putting Burnitz ahead of Yelich in RF, I am confused with your logic of Woodruff and Burnes over Sheets and Higuera. Yelich like Woodruff and Burnes has much better numbers than Burnitz like Sheets and Higuera, but you chose the longevity of Burnitz and are doing the opposite for the SP.
  7. wiguy94
    Feel like this probably makes it harder for Frelick to break into the team out of camp, but it will be better practice for Frelick playing against pitchers who are trying to win and not trying to work on their stuff.
  8. wiguy94
    I came to the same conclusion last season after the deadline when Burnes said there wasn’t much extension talks. There’s just not many pitchers who sign extensions with 2 years left in arb. From my research it seemed like you either extend them before they hit arb or when they hit their last year of arb.
  9. wiguy94
    It certainly looks and moves like a screwball, but doesn't he use a changeup grip which is why it is called a changeup?
  10. wiguy94
    So they determine OF arm strength by the average of their top 10% throws. More sample could make it go down, but his max is still really good. Renfroe - 98.4 max, 93.8 overall Mitchell - 96.8 max, 93.5 overall
  11. wiguy94
    Unrelated to who is starting in CF, but can't believe Longenhagen has Mitchell at 70 speed and 55 arm strength. The 55 arm strength is especially ridiculous when Mitchell was 96th percentile arm strength in his short MLB stint. I think the opening day job is Mitchell's to lose. If he struggles in spring training and Frelick plays well I could see Frelick being the opening day CF.
  12. wiguy94
    https://twitter.com/Wcontreras42/status/1620116740427632642?s=20
  13. wiguy94
    Yelich’s 18 and 19 were the 3rd and 4th best seasons in franchise history by position player fWAR. Only behind 2014 Lucroy and 1982 Robin Yount.
  14. wiguy94
    I think Yelich has to be number 1 in RF or number 2 in LF. I don’t think it’s fair to him to put him at HM in LF and 2 at RF. Even if you just want to use 18/19 as Yelich as a RF and 20-22 as a LF I would still put him over Burnitz in RF. Yelich in 18/19: 277 G, .327/.415/.631 for a 171 OPS+. He had 80 HR, 207 RBI, and 52 SB. He accumulated 14.2 bWAR. He won MVP and had an MVP-runner up. Burnitz had 15.7 bWAR in 782 games. Nearly 3 times as many games for 1.5 bWAR than those two years of Yelich.
  15. wiguy94
    He cleared waivers and was outrighted to AAA
  16. wiguy94
    He cleared waivers and was outrighted to AAA
  17. wiguy94
    I totally forgot about Cameron. He absolutely should be above Podsednik as well. Cameron as a Brewer: 269 G, .247/.337/.464 for a 111 wRC+. He had 3 DRS and 8.1 fWAR.
  18. wiguy94
    Yeah I don’t see any reason for Podsednik to be above Cain. Podsednik’s as a Brewer: 308 G, .276/.344/.401 for a 95 wRC+. He had -11 DRS and finished with 5.1 fWAR. Cain as a Brewer: 415 G, .270/.344/.380 for a 96 wRC+. He had 49 DRS and finished with 8.5 fWAR. Cain’s 2018 was worth more fWAR than Podsednik’s two years in Milwaukee combined.
  19. wiguy94
    Arraez won the batting title in the AL last year and didn’t even end the season with an .800 OPS.
  20. wiguy94
    In 2021 between AA and AAA, Kwan had a 154 wRC+ with a 10.6% BB-rate, 9.1% K-rate, .199 ISO, and a .335 BABIP. In 2022 between A+ and AAA, Frelick had a 137 wRC+ with a 9.3% BB-rate, 11.2% K-rate, .148 ISO, and a .361 BABIP. Kwan was a better version of Frelick in the minors and didn’t reach an .880 OPS as a rookie despite over performing his xwOBA by 29 points. Not to mention the Brewers also play in one of the least ball in play friendly parks in the MLB because of its small dimensions. In statcast’s 3-year rolling park factors, AmFam is 6% below average in singles, 8% below average in doubles, and 4% below average in triples.
  21. wiguy94
    OBP is included in OPS so not sure why them walking more matters. That’s factored into the OPS number. You’re taking minor league stats for Frelick and comparing them to major league stats with Taylor and acting like Frelick will maintain an .880 OPS in the MLB with a .361 BABIP and virtually no power. You know how many qualified hitters in the MLB had an .880 OPS last year? 7 and 6 of the 7 had 30+ HR. Frelick isn’t maintaining an .880 OPS in the MLB if he only hits 10 HR. You know how many qualified hitters had a BABIP over .361? 3. If you think Frelick can maintain his minor league numbers you’re essentially saying you think Frelick is a top 10 hitter in all of the MLB next year and a batting champion.
  22. wiguy94
    If you take out Hunter Renfroe's HR last year he had a .550 OPS. If you take out Rowdy Tellez's HR last year he had a .472 OPS. If you take out Willy Adames' HR last year he had a .513 OPS. Here I'll just take one of the best hitters in baseball last season Pete Alonso. He was 12th in wRC+. If you take out his HR he only had a .597 OPS and he was one of the best hitters in all of baseball. HR are significantly more valuable than any other hit in baseball. If you take them away from any hitter who is power over hit tool then they will look bad because you are taking away a crap ton of value.
  23. wiguy94
    HR are also a lot more valuable than singles which you’re completely ignoring. Maybe Frelick is more valuable 4 days a week but that value won’t compare to the value Taylor has in the game he homers.
  24. wiguy94
    Mitchell had a .548 BABIP and an xwOBA of .266 (which he overperformed by 99 points). It’s reading a lot into small sample noise to say he didn’t do too shabby. Winker’s xwOBA last year was .345 which was 34th in the MLB among qualified hitters and second among Brewers hitters. He woefully underperformed that number but he’s moving from Seattle (one of the least friendly parks in baseball) to Milwaukee (a neutral hitter/pitcher friendly parks). Of the 41 rookies with 250 PA last year only 2 had a better xwOBA than Winker. The likelihood of any of our rookies being better hitters than Winker next year is incredibly low. The likelihood of all of them being better hitters than Winker is basically nonexistent.
  25. wiguy94
    How good do you think the rookies will be for them to all be starting? Like if one of them is good enough to start next year it will be a success. 3 of them good enough to start is incredibly unlikely and even then. Winker’s bat will likely be much better than what any of them will offer so trading him makes our offense worse.
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