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Redd Vencher

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Everything posted by Redd Vencher

  1. Unfortunately, Chourio isn't eligible for the PPI pick.
  2. The Astros farm system is one of the worst systems in baseball.
  3. My guess is he's mixing up a componenet that is above and below average with above and below replacement level. A 99 and a 96 wRC+ are not below replacement level offensive prosuction.
  4. Herrera was signed in August 17, 2019, so he would have been Rule V eligible this offseason.
  5. Dom Cotreneo took a dive into some of the reason why a few weeks ago.
  6. They were in on IKF in the offseason, so I could see that if the Blue Jays are willing to move a non rental.
  7. Drafting wise, the Brewers are a top 5-7 org (They're 4th of the 15 teams I've gotten through, and only the Orioles are the surefire team to be better amongst the teams left) in results during the Stearns/Arnold era, so far. The 2023 draft looks like it could be an all timer, and the 2022 draft will be one of the better ones if Mis is what the Brewers think he is. We still have another 10 years before we have a nearly complete picture of how well Stearns/Arnold drafted 2016-2023, but to reiterate they're off to a good start.
  8. Sure, but Brown was viewed as a player roughly close to where the Brewers selected him. They weren't trying to throw away the pick. Wilken was ranked right around where we drafted him, and he was willing to sign underslot. They took guys they liked where they're generally viewed by the industry should go, and the fact they were willing to sign for less is a big factor in why they drafted them.
  9. If Misiorowski turns into the ace the Brewers think he can be, it's not a bad pick. The Brewers under Stearns are a top 7 drafting org with the current results from his drafts against the rest of the drafts during his tenure. Nearly half of that is just Burnes' 20+ fWAR. With Turang, Ashby, Fry, and Olson, his 2018 draft could end up overtaking the 2016 draft with Burnes. Sucks half of the producers are in other orgs.
  10. Slot value for pick number 53 is $1.72 M while pick 17 is $4.53 M. If he's willing to sign for 53rd type money that's $2.81 M to spread across the rest of the draft. Maybe he was willing to go for $1.5 M then you have $3 M to spread across the rest of the draft.
  11. Eric Brown was underslot, so the Brewers could go way overslot on Misiorowski.
  12. The Winker trade didn't decrease payroll as the Brewers sent the difference in salary to the Mariners.
  13. LA, Philly, and New York are all up against the next luxury tax level, which poses issues. Baltimore may look for SP with more control at the deadline with Burnes gone in the offseason.
  14. Scherzer waived his no trade clause to go to a contender last year. I see no reason why he wouldn't waive it to go to the Brewers. Salary isn't going to deter Milwaukee as the Mets are paying a good portion of it already. The only thing that would be out of the price range is if the Rangers demand way more than what he's worth at this point because of his name.
  15. Michael Lorenzen has a 5.05 FIP 4.85 xFIP. He'd be cheap to acquire, but he's not an improvement over the current crop. Scherzer, Eovaldi, Heaney, and Gray are all better options. Eovaldi might cost more than the Brewers are comfortable with, and I doubt the Rangers consider moving him or Gray who are under control for next year anyways. We're down to rentals of Scherzer or Heaney. Neither should be that much to acquire.
  16. Brewers have been good with RISP under the last few years under Counsell.
  17. Bauer had a FIP north of 4 and an xFIP in a full run worse than his ERA in 2021. He wasn't a top 25 pitcher in the 2nd best professional baseball league last year, (Foster Griffin put similar numbers) and bragging about the success in a sub AA quality league for a former major leaguer isn't impressive.
  18. Who's available that is still in their prime? The one you're vaguely referring to certainly isn't.
  19. If there's no innings limit, you're risking injury and ineffectiveness for 2025/2026, so you're paying a king's ransom for liekly far less production.
  20. The odds are against any team to go far in the playoffs no matter how good they are.
  21. That and the price to get Fedde should be much more reasonable than Crochet.
  22. Wong was always a soft platoon guy throughout his career. I don't know how you can suggest 989 PA of 113 wRC+ and 4.9 fWAR 6.4 bWAR underwhelming at $9 M AAV. That's an overwhelming success of a signing.
  23. The Brewers have a 117 wRC+ so far. Should that hold all season it will be T-2nd in franchise history with the 78 team just behind Harvey's Wallbangers. (120 wRC+) I don't get thinking we need more to be a feared lineup, assuming current production holds.
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