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splitterpfj

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Everything posted by splitterpfj

  1. splitterpfj
    Top Ten Picks Awards... Player Most Likely to Sneak In - Matt Manning If the Brewers Surprise Everyone Here - Joshua Lowe, 3B If a College Guy Sneaks In - Zack Collins If I Had to Pick a Longshot to Sneak In - Jordan Sheffield My Favorite Guy Who Won't Make It In - Gavin Lux, SS, Kenosha, WI
  2. splitterpfj
    Forgive me everyone, but I've got a ton going on in my personal life, I'm sure to miss a bunch of days, and I love the draft, so I'm going to post this now. My top ten .... 1. Phillies - AJ Puk, LHP, Florida 2. Reds - Kyle Lewis, OF, Mercer 3. Braves - Riley Pint, RHP, Overland Park, KS 4. Rockies - Mickey Moniak, OF, Carlsbad, CA 5. Brewers - Jason Groome, LHP, Barnegat, NJ 6. A's - Corey Ray, OF, Louisville 7. Marlins - Nick Senzel, 3B, Tennessee 8. Padres - Blake Rutherford, OF, Canoga Park, CA 9. Tigers - Delvin Perez, SS, Ceiba, PR 10. White Sox - Dakota Hudson, RHP, Mississippi State EDIT: There are seven additional players I could see grabbing a spot in the first ten. I'd call Moniak to the Rockies my strongest opinion.
  3. splitterpfj
    Austin, Corey Ray will be among the first ten picks in this draft, and may very well be picked ahead of the Brewers' pick. You referred to him as a "middling guy" .... perhaps a bit harsh? Your "what if" is perfectly valid, but if Ray is a perennial all-star while Puk takes the ball for the Yakult Swallows and Pint headlines for the Newark Bears, the Brewers are no better off. I'm not in love with Corey Ray, I'd rather have Delvin Perez or Blake Rutherford, but you're all but dismissing a kid who has a heck of a lot of scouts recommending him right now.
  4. splitterpfj
    For those who haven't listened to it yet, Rosenthal said what a lot of you are thinking - typically a rebuilding team wouldn't deal a piece of its future, but this might be a good year to listen. What he's getting at is, the free agent crop for next winter is not exciting, so even teams with money can't count on that to patch a hole this time around. If a team is wiling to listen on a young, controllable talent, a contending team that happens to be deep in prospects at the moment, may be willing to give more than they typically would right now. He said a team doesn't trade a piece of its future, unless it gets back two pieces. That's exactly right. Jimmy Nelson is absolutely part of the future right now, and you'd have to really be sold on the kids you're getting back, but if the Brewers could turn Nelson into two guys like him, (not specifically pitchers, but two guys they firmly believe would become real contributors), then they should consider the possibility.
  5. splitterpfj
    In my opinion, Texas just doesn't want to meet the price for Lucroy. I think they know what he is, and they know that they need him, but they just don't seem to be in love in this case. I could be wrong, but that's what it looks like to me. I like Boston as a trade partner, but the way they're scoring runs, they may decide to spend prospects on pitching. I like Washington, they have a need, even with Wilson Ramos hitting well so far this season, but if the Brewers stick to a demand for pitching in a Lucroy deal, you inevitably come to Lucas Giolito, and my guess there is that he can't be had. One team I'd like to throw into the mix is the New York Mets. The Mets are getting nothing from the catcher position this year, and they don't even know when Travis D'Arnaud will be allowed to throw a ball again. They're built around pitching, and that's all good, but their lineup could certainly use a boost. The Mets have some young guys I'm sure the Brewers would want, but at the moment, they don't have a lot of pitchers among their top prospects, so it may come down to Mr Wheeler again.
  6. splitterpfj
    Listen to this, from Ken Rosenthal - he touches on the Brewers' relationship with Jeremy Jeffress, then he mentions Nelson, and why it might actually make some sense for a rebuilding team to trade an arm like that this year. http://www.foxsports.com/mlb/video?vid=681374787980
  7. splitterpfj
    I'll do it.
  8. splitterpfj
    Keep an eye on Dakota Hudson - he may actually pitch his way ahead of the Brewers' pick, with a hot streak, but he's a guy who has a shot to be right in the Brewers' range. https://www.google.com/search?client=safari&rls=en&q=dakota+hudson&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8#q=dakota+hudson&tbm=nws
  9. splitterpfj
    My first thought on a Braun-to-Washington deal was to offer to take Jayson Werth, and the 21 million he is owed next season, as the way to kick in some money without, "kicking in some money", but Werth has a full no-trade clause.
  10. splitterpfj
    The years of control are the big difference, that's a major consideration, and the Phillies included a prospect with Giles as well. I don't think anyone should ever get caught dreaming of a 5 for 2 trade involving Jeffress, but he's got plenty of value.
  11. splitterpfj
    Groome is so talented, I wouldn't want the Brewers to pass on him, but immaturity issues very often get worse for these kids once they leave home, not better. It's a growing process, and they're kids .... once they're on the road, especially if they got a big signing bonus, now you've added major temptation to the mix. It's a real concern, and teams don't play around with it. If this is a real issue, it'll be about weighing the potential of his talent vs the potential for disaster .... one will win out over the other on someone's draft board.
  12. splitterpfj
    Gomez' complete collapse with Houston has been remarkable, there's no way I believe anyone could have predicted THIS. I don't know if he's done, or if he's just made things worse for himself by pressing, which I could absolutely imagine with Carlos. I can't see Houston cutting him right now, they need him to perform, and I think they'll give him as much leash as they possibly can. I just can't see the Brewers bringing him back here, but it would make for one heck of a story.
  13. splitterpfj
    Reilly, I agree, as far as the PED stuff goes, the press conference is the real problem here. Even so, Braun can really hit, there is no doubt he would help a team, so I expect somebody to take a good long look at him. I think it will be about the money - the Brewers will be able to find a taker, but the return will be tightly linked to the dollars. I could be wrong, but the way Braun is hitting, I just don't believe contending teams won't show up at the auction.
  14. splitterpfj
    My pick for the Brewers is in, I select .... Blake Rutherford, OF, Chaminade College Preparatory There are plenty of players I'd be happy with, the Brewers are in a great spot, but Rutherford has superstar potential, I wouldn't be able to pass him up.
  15. splitterpfj
    There's nothing to feel bad about with this draft class, the Brewers absolutely should come out with a future stud with their first pick. If you're feeling negative, because you were sure the Brewers would grab a big arm, and now you're not so sure .... relax. What's wrong with getting one of the top 2 hitters in the entire draft, for instance?
  16. splitterpfj
    W - Tyler Badamo L- Touki Toussaint http://www.astrometsmind.com/2016/04/Tyler-Badamo-Columbia-Fireflies-debut.html?m=1
  17. splitterpfj
    "Old, crippled, and expensive" .... come on man. Braun has a big contract, but he doesn't have a ridiculous, Albert Pujols contract. Braun is at the point of coming out of his prime, but he is not nearing retirement for gosh sakes, and crippled .... you're kidding me. Braun just put up a season with 25 home runs and 24 steals, I doubt he'll be applying for disability payments. Plush, you have a very negative view on Braun, and that's fine, but I really think you're undervaluing what he still is as a player, especially at a time when pitching is dominating the game. I really don't believe Braun's contract will be an impediment to trading him, as long as he is productive this season. I also don't believe the PED thing will stop everybody .... some teams maybe, but not everybody. It's funny how St Louis fans shredded Braun, as their team signed Jhonny Peralta. The biggest thing is the back surgery, teams will wait and see how Braun looks, and who can blame anyone for that? On the Brewers' side, it's kind of the same thing, they need him to show the back is ok, so they can properly value him as well. If Braun is the player he was just last season, there literally isn't a team in the big leagues that wouldn't benefit by having him in their lineup. Watch the back, that will determine his value, and then watch how much the no-trade comes in to play - those things will determine what the return can be.
  18. splitterpfj
    Plush, we're not close on this one. No, Braun won't bring back a franchise-building prospect, but he should net a solid return, in my opinion, better than what the Orioles would likely be able to put together with the talent they currently possess. Looking at what free agent players are getting, I don't think Braun's contract is as hefty as it once seemed. None of it will matter unless Braun looks good this season, but I believe he will, then we'll see.
  19. splitterpfj
    Do you think their is a substantial offer on the table right now for Braun? First of all, no, I do not think there is a substantial offer for Braun right now. He'll have to prove he's healthy before interest would reach a level the Brewers would want. If a team does wind up matching up for Braun, I really don't think it will be Baltimore, because their farm system is one of the weakest in the business right now. They've been trading prospects for veterans for a few years now, and of course, as their wins went up, their draft position went down.
  20. splitterpfj
    There's no reason to grab Nolin, to take a look. It won't take long to know if the velocity drop was from the injury he had, or whether it's permanent. If he's stuck throwing in the mid 80s, this won't work, but it would be easy enough to let him go if that's what he shows up with.
  21. splitterpfj
    The best move .... leaving David Sterns alone to do what he thinks is best. Whether it ultimately works or not, he was hired to do what he is doing, after an extensive search to fill the job. All we can do is watch and learn, he's either right, or he's not. Worst move - none of them have disappointed me so far. Best move/worst move, the answer is essentially the same - all we're doing is guessing right now, with far too little information. The Brewers aren't dealing for known quantities, they're dealing for potential, so the correct answer on any of the returns is, "Incomplete." The guys who have been traded away - no problem at all. Milwaukee hasn't given up anyone worth getting worked up over, they've traded a couple of prospects out, but added a lot more of them, and they've traded some MLB talent that will not help by the time they reach a competitive level.
  22. splitterpfj
    When I heard Anderson was part of the Segura trade, my first thought was, "One of the starting pitchers will be traded." It's not likely to be Jungmann or Nelson, and there's no reason for someone to come after Garza right now, so I'm led to Anderson or Peralta. I still like the chances of a deal. If Texas wants a starting pitcher, I would think Lucroy plus one would get the same level return Gomez/Fiers brought. If it's a bullpen arm, the Brewers have multiple options they could deal there too. I still like the Rangers' farm system the best among the teams we believe are interested in Lucroy. Using the rankings from MLB.com, and not knowing how either front office actually ranks these players, I would think a comparable deal would be: Lucroy/Anderson, or Lucroy/Jeffress FOR Dillon Tate or Lewis Brinson Luis Ortiz Brett Martin or Patrick Kivlehan (depending on whether player one was the pitcher) Ti'Quan Forbes
  23. splitterpfj
    Right now, I'd say Braun is untradeable for any return you'd even want to post here. That's because he hasn't played since the back surgery yet .... why would anyone give anything of value for a player with some health concerns, and a longterm contract? If Braun plays well, he may have a market at the trade deadline, and if he gets through the season ok, he will have a market next winter. His contract isn't all that bad in the current market, and if the Brewers have paid one more season of it by having him here for 2016, I would think he's very moveable next winter.
  24. splitterpfj
    The Brewers were just plain lucky to get Clark where they were picking. I'd written him off as a possibility because several teams picking ahead of the Brewers had been watching him closely, I just figured he'd moved too far up the board. He's very young, but the talent is obvious.
  25. splitterpfj
    Bubba Derby's legal name is Bowdien Derby - I'm not sure which name I like best. Might this be the next poll question?
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