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Matt Breen

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Everything posted by Matt Breen

  1. Matt Breen
    I'm surprised at the Kershaw deal. I thought he's get a 6-7 year deal with the Dodgers. Getting the biggest deal obviously wasn't his primary concern. Still, I think he could have done 6 years with an opt out in 3 years - $30M+. Dodgers should be thrilled they aren't on the hook for such big money on a guy who goes into his mid/late 30s.
  2. Matt Breen
    Damn straight. I hit .406 this year. Almost won the battling title. I've still got it, my friends. Show me some love. http://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/headshots/mlb/players/full/6218.png&w=350&h=254
  3. Matt Breen
    Rangers are still on the hook for $6M of the salary. The Cubs essentially get Hamels for one year at $14M.
  4. Matt Breen
    Olczak was outstanding at Biloxi last season, and he's pitched pretty well since getting drafted in 2015. However, as a college arm, you would expect him do well in the lower levels of the minors. No matter, it was a bit of an eye-opener when he dominated at AA last year. He only gave up one HR in 58 innings - which is amazing (and probably unsustainable). It really got him on a lot of people's radar. I have read that he has a good fastball/slider combo - but don't know that much about his repertoire. Perhaps others in the know could add some info. Olczak turns 25 in less than two weeks, so he's not that young - but he's also not some 30 year old veteran using his guile to get the kids out. If he keeps things up at AAA, a visit to Milwaukee won't be far behind. Personally, I think the development of relief pitchers has really been overlooked in the past by Milwaukee, so it's great to see a new generation of arms coming up through the system (Barnes, T. Williams, etc.). Sure, many of these guys will flame out. But others will succeed, and give us some quality bullpen arms for several years (and at a decent price).
  5. Matt Breen
    Another note regarding the idea of trading for Realmuto. If he left after two years, we could give him a qualifying offer and get a comp pick in the next draft. That's assuming he keeps playing well and isn't hurt or anything like that. It's not a huge deal - but it should probably be considered when talking about any such trade.
  6. Matt Breen
    I saw McCovey in the waning years of his career - late 70s. I remember looking at his baseball card and marveling at his 1969 season. 45 HR, 126 RBI, .320 BA. If we had had advanced stats his 1.108 OPS and 121 walks would have been eye-catching. I do remember watching him on occasion in this later years. The guy could still hit - 28 HRs, .280 BA at age 39. I just remember him hitting a home run and it seemed so effortless. Just an easy swing and he crushed it. Just an immensely strong guy.
  7. Matt Breen
    The thing about Realmuto that is scary is that - like Christian Yelich - his offense has been suppressed by his home park. Career OPS Home: .678 Career OPS Away: .848 Realmuto could be a .300 BA, 25 HR, .850 OPS hitter playing half his games at Miller Park.
  8. Matt Breen
    Johnson was the pitching coach at Vanderbilt - in Nashville - for 11 years. He and his wife have two kids - one in grade school and and one in high school. The family continues to live in Nashville. A big part of the move may simply be about being a little closer to family and home. Milwaukee is more than twice as far from Nashville as Cincinnati.
  9. Matt Breen
    Do I really care? No. But it's the start of the Hot Stove season. So it's exciting. Long time Yankee Gardner has his $12.5M option declined ($2M buyout), then resigns with the Yankees. So he essentially gets $9.5M for 2019. The Yankees save $3M. After last season's FA disappointments, I'm betting you'll see a lot of second-tier players sign quickly - taking the best deal they can find instead of hoping something emerges later. http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/25136729/brett-gardner-new-york-yankees-agree-one-year-contract
  10. Matt Breen
    One thing about LeMahieu is that he is a very good defender. If you can get even average offense from the guy, he's a nice player. Not great, but good. However, in addition to the home/road splits, I'd also be worried about his left/right splits. The last couple of years, DJ has punished lefties while struggling against right handers. This can be a warning sign of things to come as players lose a little bat speed and pitch recognition ability as they get a little older (LeMahieu is 30).
  11. Matt Breen
    People have probably seen this on the news, and while McCovey has no ties to the Brewers, here's a nod to the Hall of Famer, who died yesterday at the age of 80. For those who don't remember McCovey - the man was a beast at the plate. In his prime, he was one of the best sluggers in the game. Over and eight-year period, he averaged 36 HRs a year (and that included a year he struggled with an injury and only hit 18 HR). He led the league in HRs three times, RBIs twice, and OPS three times. He won the NL MVP in 1969. He was so feared, he lead the league in intentional walks four different times - including one year where he was given 45 intentional free passes. http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/25138329/willie-mccovey-san-francisco-giants-legend-dies-80 https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/mccovwi01.shtml
  12. Matt Breen
    I love it when people can come up with ideas like this. I had never really heard of Maile. Interesting player. He would be under team control for four years.
  13. Matt Breen
    It is pretty close to a guarantee....that we are not going to offer him a QO. That is a $18mil payday...ain't no way. He'd have to put together an All-Star-level season for it to even be a consideration. He'd have to hit .290+ with 30+ HR and play above average defense and get named to the all-star game. Hey, just like 2017!
  14. Matt Breen
    Fringe guys like Lyles aren't worth $3.5M. He might not even get a major league deal this off season. Better off signing someone to a minor league deal and letting them fight for a roster spot.
  15. Matt Breen
    I'm disappointed, but it is what it is. Did Johnson not get along with CC or others? Did the Brewers low-balled him on salary? Maybe and maybe and whatever. But it's just as likely that Johnson wanted to be in Cincy. Maybe he wanted to be closer to his family (have no clue where they live), or maybe he is a friend of the new Cincy skipper. It's part of the game. In the end, I'm disappointed Johnson is leaving, and greatly appreciate what he has done. But now let's look at this as an opportunity and add someone who can help us going forward.
  16. Matt Breen
    I think Marwin Gonzalez is going to be a hot commodity this offseason. Only 30, versatile, switch hitter (without big splits), solid defender. He's only a year removed from a .907 OPS. There's a lot to like. And because of his versatility, he can fit in with a lot of teams. I think he'll get rewarded quite nicely this off season.
  17. Matt Breen
    I'm going to guess that we keep Schoop, but it's just a gut guess. The front office obviously liked him to start with - so they probably are going to look at him and feel like they can get him to have a rebound season. Just a guess. Perhaps they will try and work him a bit -- get him to agree to a lower contract - say $8M - and tell him it's that, or get released. And I highly doubt he gets $8M+ on the open market. Maybe $5-6M and incentives. So he'll be amenable to the deal. The team then tries to get him back on track and produce like he did in 2017. Now, we could go after a free agent, and there's quite a few guys that could be had for $10M or less. But most of these guys have their own warts. Asdrubal Cabrera (bad fielder, aging), Josh Harrison (injuries, mediocre 2018), Brian Dozier (mediocre 2018), Ian Kinsler (aging, mediocre), Daniel Murphy (poor fielder, aging, injuries), DJ LeMahieu (production outside of Coors is limited), Jed Lowrie (age, price tag might be too high), Marwin Gonzalez (years and price tag might be too much). The good thing is that the Crew isn't being backed in a corner by Schoop. If the price isn't right and/or they just aren't confident in him - there are a lot of other options.
  18. Matt Breen
    Really? That doesn't seem right to me...but I'm no expert. A player working on a non-guaranteed contract (arbitration awards are NOT guaranteed) can be cut on or before the 16th day of Spring Training are owed 30 days' termination pay. So if Schoop got awarded $10M in arbitration, he could be cut and we'd owe him 30 day (or 1/6 or one month - all are basically accurate) of his salary - $1.67M. http://m.mlb.com/glossary/transactions/non-guaranteed-contract
  19. Matt Breen
    $18M for Wade Miley is an insanely high salary for the guy. I'm thinking $18M over two years is pushing it.
  20. Matt Breen
    The market for relievers was hot last year. Pretty much everyone bought early and was signing anyone decent to a 2/16. I'd be surprised if Soria didn't get at least that. Yeah, this is my thought. Relievers made bank last year. At age 34, this may be his last chance for a really good payday. Plus, Soria may be looking for a closing opportunity. Still, $10M is a lot to pass up. I had thought the Brewers had the option on Soria - didn't realize it was mutual. I guess this takes things out of our hands.
  21. Matt Breen
    Kershaw will opt out if he isn't given a new contract. Otherwise, he's leaving $150M or more on the table if he doesn't. I'm guessing that right now Kershaw is looking at the Dodgers and saying, "Want to keep me off the market? $35M per year, 7 years." The Dodgers are probably trying to get it down to six years instead of seven. Or maybe shave off a few million bucks here and there. If the Dodgers let him hit FA, then someone will give him a monster deal. Maybe it won't be $35M and 7 years - but it will still be $200M+.
  22. Matt Breen
    Also the problem with that is that Moustakas is not as good as Shaw nor as versatile. And a lot more expensive. All things considered Shaw >> Moose Totally agree. That's why trading Shaw - in my opinion - is a no go.
  23. Matt Breen
    Depth is always nice to have. Considering Orf, Saladino, Miller, Schoop, Villar, and Sogard all got playing time last season - you can always use depth. Also, remember, Hernan Perez is due for his second year of arbitration in 2019. He's going to get expensive (relative to his production), and a guy like Hager may have a chance to make the team in 2020.
  24. Matt Breen
    Tyrone Taylor. Who would have thought he'd get to this point. He's mostly been forgotten. We'll see how he does this year outside of Colorado. 2018 Home OPS: 1.016 2018 Road OPS: .635 Count me skeptical - but hey, the club knows more than I do. He's only 25, so perhaps he can be a late bloomer. No matter - good for Tyrone. I hope he rakes and makes us take notice.
  25. Matt Breen
    I think the idea is that if you trade Shaw, you sign Moustakas to play 3B. The problem with that is that a team could just sign Moustakas and save their assets. I guess Moose will cost more - but otherwise, why spend your other assets when you can just sign a 3B?
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