rickh150
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Everything posted by rickh150
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Payamps has been really good.
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I thought you were joking at first. But I 100% agree if they are rolling come late July.
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Brewers (Burnes) vs Pirates (Oviedo): 7/1/23, 3:05pm
rickh150 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
So mid August at the earliest, I reckon. -
Brewers (Burnes) vs Pirates (Oviedo): 7/1/23, 3:05pm
rickh150 replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Yep -
I say the Cards are not zero percent out of the playoff …9 or 10 percent chance yet, in that ballpark. Mathematically, everyone agrees Cards are still in it, even though a couple/few think the Cards have no shot. Fine and normal. I’m not sure where I go with this when everyone mathematically agrees with me. It’s like I’m supposed to say the Cards are out of it when they simply are not. Odds are really against them, though. Showing a recent Cardinal season (2011) of overcoming incredible odds to not just make the playoffs but win the World Series is seemingly too difficult for some to parallel.
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The percentages are all encompassing. Obviously.
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Had more blown saves than anyone in baseball in August and September…picking a scab here. The guys we traded for were the ringleaders. I am glad we backwards ourselves into five years of Contreras with this trade. Great job by Arnold. Stearns arguably could have still got us to the playoffs by simply keeping Lamet on the team, rather than preferring EVERY bullpen guy over him. Weirdly, DS and CC both talked him up the day before cutting him. Lamet then was throwing well for Colorado in 22. Scab picking.
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Thus the low percentage. It’s 8.5 out of 100, not 10. I agree with what you are saying. Great points. Low percentage. It seems like you want it to be even lower….4 or 5 %? I could see that too.
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The guy is a pop up from a save… quarter of an inch. He gets a save and everybody attaboys him. Not his fault for throwing him in the 9th either. And on MLB.com most of his fastballs were still 95…. Maybe straight as a string idk. And yes, I am the President of the Cards have about a 10% shot to make the playoffs, dare I say not zero (which you agree with if you actually take good ol mathematics and book learning’ into the equation).
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95 were most of his fastballs…
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I actually think he should still be on the team in an obviously different role than tonight. He still throws hard, and has some positive experience too in MLB, unlike most of our pitchers,
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Not ok with our what, our 12th best pitcher blowing this….our 13th best pitcher in high leverage in 7th and 8th. No other usual 7th or 8th guy could suck it up for an inning? Then give him 3 days off. Maddening.
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Is an outfielder coming in to close? Weird 8th.
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What is going on here?
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Fangraphs has them at 8.5% now… I think this is about right. I disagree with the zero %.
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Way worse odds for Cards on Sept. 1 in 2011 than now to make playoffs… that team won the WS. So not zero percent now for Cards to make playoffs.
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https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-articles/social-media/st-louis-cardinals-2011-world-series/5kcjsch2ylrjby4r#:~:text=On September 1%2C the Cardinals,of going all the way.
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So you have two months to make up three games… your argument is getting stranger. Cards have much better odds now than then…about 10 times more likely now. Yet, yes it is against huge odds. Just not zero.
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We are talking Sept. 1, 2011 compared to now…..you are so off that you change the date to June 30, 2011?
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So you are a zero % guy too? That is what you are saying?
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Waaaay tougher in 2011 on Sept. 1 for them to get in than now. I agree. Completely different. And now there are 3 Wild Cards.
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Again, it happened for them in 2011, and the odds were way more dire. Not even the All Star Break. It’s likely over for them, yes. But way to early to eliminate them. Remaining holdouts? You are looking to build a consensus that it is zero percent likely that the Cards make the playoffs? I think your lone call of zero % is the first.
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Good ol Fangraphs still have Cards at 9.1% to make playoffs STILL…. I’m Not convinced yet, especially with who is ahead of them. The division winner could realistically be 83-85 wins with NL Central playing less games in division this year, getting beat up by East and West. I won’t be calling them done before the break either. Still too early.
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Hiura Slighted and Demoted; Adames hitting #2 with a .289 OBP
rickh150 replied to rickh150's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
2-4 with a walk On Wed. And Thurs. -
Great to see what he is doing lately… Will be interesting to see if he goes to 1B next year with the amount of milb OF who should be getting time in 24 and especially 25.
