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joshjs

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Everything posted by joshjs

  1. joshjs
    My money's on one of the first two. They have spectacularly weak rotations at the moment.
  2. joshjs
    Aside from perception, how is TGJ in any way a bubble guy? I'm sorry, I thought this thread was about perception. I am not a fan of the guy. But there are Brewer fans who are. My point is that, because of those fans, it's not appropriate to say he is a "bad guy" to most Brewer fans.
  3. joshjs
    TGJ is a polarizing guy, just like Branyan (though to a lesser extent, of course). So I think his place on the "bubble" list is appropriate to what you're doing. However, I think a different approach to describing the data may be in order. While there are clearly some players that are widely admired and clearly a few that are widely reviled, most of them have supporters and detractors. Assigning a net value for popularity (say -10 to 10) and a variance would better describe how the fans feel about a particular player. I'd take a shot at doing so, but I don't have enough time left in my lunch break. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif
  4. joshjs
    It's really hard to feel bad for a guy who's complaining that he's only making $670,000.
  5. joshjs
    This is real, though: http://www.twitter.com/nedyost
  6. joshjs
    Sentimentally: Bill Hall. It has become an impulse for me to get excited at the mere mention of his name, and that was really not appropriate last year. Otherwise: Ben Sheets. If we see 2004-style Ben Sheets this year, this team will rock my life.
  7. joshjs
    I like Yahoo, too. It's free, very easy to set up and manage, and they save data over the years, so you can look back on your glory days. (I won 3 out of 3 leagues last year. That'll never happen again.)
  8. joshjs
    I want the rotation to be Sheets, Gallardo,Capuano, Bush, Parra. I expect it to be Sheets, Suppan, Gallardo, Capuano, Bush.
  9. joshjs
    Oop. Looks like he is. Nice.
  10. joshjs
    Mark DiFelice's projection is surprising and intriguing: 3.85 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 2.5 WARP. What's this guy's story? Is he gonna be invited to camp?
  11. joshjs
    If I have to choose between watching a random AL game and a random NL game, I'm going to pick the NL game. The style of play is better and there's a better competitive balance across the entire league. I couldn't care less whether the average team in the AL is better than the average team in the NL. It's sort of like how college basketball is better than NBA basketball. It's more interesting.
  12. joshjs
    (Fixed the original post to be more specific.)
  13. joshjs
    Honest question - are you sure about this one? I ranked 'em by OPS and took the top 15. If you want to rank 'em differently, have at it. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif
  14. joshjs
    Just looked it up, and noted that Estrada ranked 20th in VORP, as well -- 3 runs better than Torrealba, and only 1.5 worse than Lo Duca (who's the only name I've heard mentioned that ranked higher than Johnny).
  15. joshjs
    Laird would be the one player I'd want as an upgrade at catcher. I thought that, too, but looking at the numbers, I just saw that in 2007, Laird had a crap season. Worse than Estrada's, and in a hitter's park. He did have a much better walk rate, though. He had a good year in '06, but never otherwise.
  16. joshjs
    Estrada's low walk rate is a problem. His slugging percentage was average for a catcher (slightly below average, technically), but his isolated on-base percentage was almost nonexistent. (Not only that, but he (admittedly, even) had a tendency to swing at nearly anything, which hurt as well (albeit less measurably), by keeping opposing pitchers' pitch counts down.) He's not an above-average starting catcher. Or at least he wasn't in 2007. The top-half major league catchers (by OPS, at least) last season were these guys: Jorge Posada Victor Martinez Russell Martin Joe Mauer Jason Varitek Chris Snyder Brian McCann Josh Bard Kenji Johjima Gregg Zaun John Buck Carlos Ruiz Bengie Molina Ramon Hernandez Ivan Rodriguez I suppose he's top-half if you include backup catchers, though. (BTW, If you want to believe he's better than his 2007 season showed, I applaud your optimism, and apologize for my relentless cynicism.)
  17. joshjs
    Just a little more info, to back up my previous statement - here's how Estrada ranked among MLB catchers w/ 350+ plate appearances (28 players): OPS: 20th On-base Percentage: 23rd Slugging Percentage: 15th Batting Average: 8th RBI: 13th Runs Scored: 21st So while his batting average is great, his important stats are sub-par. I'm not so good at evaluating defense, so I'll refrain. People around here seem to think he's a poor defender, though, and they'd probably point to the fact that he threw out only 11 of the 84 guys who tried to steal on him as some evidence of that.
  18. joshjs
    I agree with Brett. I was the opposite of psyched when we got Estrada. His production was bad, even for a catcher. He's definitely overrated, and I wouldn't mind replacing him. Here are some other names I've heard bandied about (some free agents, some trade targets): Laird, Barrett, Lo Duca, LaRue, Kendall.
  19. joshjs
    "Free Luke Scott," huh? Well, I expected to have to pay more, but "free" is a good price. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif
  20. joshjs
    Ah, another reason Scott might be a good idea: Not a lot of tough lefties in the NL Central, IIRC.
  21. joshjs
    Just chiming in to say I, too, have a good feeling about Rickie Weeks in 2008.
  22. joshjs
    My wallpaper is currently a fuzzy image of Pujols' infamous home run off Lidge. Pujols looks like god's gift to baseball, and Lidge is crouched down, watching the ball leave the park. It's pretty poor quality, though. Anybody got a better one?
  23. joshjs
    Just ending my week of at-home vacation. Tomorrow it's back to the grind. :-/
  24. joshjs
    I guess I'm not trying to predict the future here. I'm saying what I think is a good idea for the team, and that's Scott, more than anyone else, because he's young, he's cheap, he's been hitting for power, and he's been pretty patient. He looks like a slightly below-average defender (based on 2006 PECOTA projections of FRAA, at least), though, and there's clearly some question as to whether he's athletic. So maybe it's a no-go. (Then again, my recollection is that LaPorta doesn't project as a great defender in LF, either. Melvin seems to have defense low on his list of priorities, what with Weeks, Braun and Fielder (who few expected to be a good defender, but who's surprised).)
  25. joshjs
    Does "athletic" = "speedy" in your mind, Al? I'm more of an OBP proponent, myself, and Scott has power, too boot. And, heck, he's got a fair number of triples, too, so he may be somewhat speedy (although he certainly hasn't stolen many bases). Can you point to where Melvin said he was looking for an "athletic" guy? Maybe more context will help me understand what you mean.
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