PeaveyFury
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Everything posted by PeaveyFury
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Since that was clearly meant as a response to my post, I'll note that it was used in this context to easily identify which variant is of concern in that respect in a conversational way. From a scientific standpoint, homer has identified the actual naming convention being used. Until there's a universally understood identifier ala COVID19 to identify each strain, I find it easier to identify which strain I was referring to by origin. Clearly, no offense intended to the fine folks in the British Isles. Which I'm not sure is entirely accurate in your comparative.
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I think there's additional concern regarding the significant increase in transmission to children from the British variant. Even if the death rate remains the same, numerically there will be additional children's deaths vs. the original strain.
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That's basically what's happening and going to happen further. They'll wait a reasonable amount of time now that everyone has the ability to receive the vaccine, then they'll continue to loosen guidelines and restrictions beyond that.
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Yes, that I'd do for sure. In my completely unqualified opinion as a talent evaluator, I'd think a first or second would be enough motivation for GB to consider moving him. A mid-first? Yep. -
Love has one of those weird contracts where his dead cap if TRADED is different than if he's released. If he's traded, it's only like $2m extra in cap for 2021.
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I think this is the larger justification that will keep a lot of the restrictions in place into the summer. Especially on the business/workplace-type restrictions.
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Plus, how smart would it be for the Packers to trade their backup QB with no other QBs on the roster? I am convinced that part of the appeal of drafting Love was to have a young, talented backup QB at their disposal should their veteran late-30s QB get dinged. I think that's the heart of my logic- I get doing that if you feel you get good value for Love. But here? You're essentially trading 2 players away (Love and the 4th) just to move up, with nothing to backfill. If you get a straight-up pick for him, you can use it either directly to draft his replacement or it allows you to use other draft capital to do so. I guess I'd buy this more if it put the Packers in a position to get a top-10 pick or something that allowed them to get an 'impact guy' on their board. But just to move from the late 1st to the middle? Meh. Maybe the type of trade you make on draft night if a talent unexpectedly falls to that range, but not in advance.
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It just seems too much like fanboy stuff to me on the New England side. It's like someone took the draft value chart and added 29's value+ GB's 4th rounder value and the difference was about the value of a mid-2nd. Why does Green Bay do a trade like this that is unnecessarily complicated if you value Love at the value of a 2nd? Just take NE's 2nd. Heck, New England probably prefers that deal too, as it keeps them in the top 15. Just an odd proposal.
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I think 'analysis' like that is a little dangerous. Yes, that's a factually accurate statement. But, it's possible that A)the Patriots really liked Love last year and thought he'd maybe fall to 37 after they traded back and wanted that extra 3rd, or B)that the rumors of them trying to trade back up to take him (IIRC) which motivated Green Bay to move up were actually true, or C)that they really liked him last year and like him even more with a year of observing/learning under MLF & Rodgers. The reason this trade won't happen is because it's a pretty bad deal for Green Bay. Green Bay gets 15, and New England gets 29, a 4th, AND Love? Regardless of how you feel about Love, that seems like selling him significantly short. If the 4th was headed the other way? Maybe, I guess? Hasselbeck got Green Bay into the Top 10 from 17 AND a 3rd.
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Not to my knowledge. But I'm sure the overarching concern will be that as infection numbers go up, hospitalization and possible death numbers will go up as well, even if it's consistent with previous ratios.
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I guess that, as I said, I'm puzzled by the intent of the post- the CDC has already show that they'll reduce restrictions in their guidance, and they're likely to do so again going forward. You cited as an example 'person masked riding a bicycle', which, to my knowledge isn't even in conformance with current guidance. That's a person either choosing to wear a mask personally, or someone who doesn't know the current guidelines. Guidance/restrictions will adapt going forward, and likely very quickly, IMO.
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Unfortunately, that's not really what's playing out right now, as the British variant is causing a ballooning of COVID infections in children despite the ever-increasing number of vaccinated adults around them right now. Concerning for sure, and comes at a time when even the most cautious schools have largely reopened this spring. It'll be interesting to see if a shut-down/return to virtual discussion starts soon in hot spots.
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I'm a little surprised by the post for a few reasons, many of which you noted including that masking is, at least at this point, largely a business-led policy in a lot of cases and businesses can only feasibly do all one way or the other. But, the CDC has already released updated guidance that eases guidance for those that are vaccinated and includes a lot of 'situational guidance' as well for when one house hold/person IS vaccinated and one isn't, etc. I believe many WI and many/most of the counties/cities have removed most restriction guidance on outdoor activities altogether. To my knowledge, the vaccine was finally made available to all persons 16+ in all states either at the end of last week or beginning of this week. In short, I think that you haven't given enough time for the CDC to react and give updated guidance to a 'fully available vaccine' scenario as of yet.
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Wasn't that right when that historical McGwire/Sosa homerun chase was going on? That's some pretty crucial context to that. If anybody ever chases a single season HR record again I'm sure fans will be flocking to the stadium to see it. So what? Those people turned out to see McGwire play. Sure he was doing some memorable things, but the point is nobody was going to those games for the experience of seeing two 2nd rate teams play out the string. So you cited a then once in a generation homerun chase, the definition of an exception to a rule, as proof of your argument, which seems more than a little unfair.
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We try to watch them all each year as well. Big fan of The Father thus far, though Kaluuya was very, very good in Judas, which was enjoyable. Minari was your typical well-done Oscar-type movie that may win a bunch of awards, but I didn't think it was exceptional.
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I'll defer to Machu's knowledge about whether it's actually a plausibly theory, but there has been a lot of 'presumption' that those that HAD a COVID infection previously are having more severe reactions to the vaccine, and more notably to the 1st shot than non-previously infected persons.
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And The Wire. Which means its all down hill when you're done with BCS, so slow down! Yeah, it's been easy to binge 2/3 episodes a night for the past several months for obvious reasons. Still some significant stuff on my list like Six Feet Under, possibly Oz, maybe a Deadwood re-watch so that I can watch the 'finale movie' in the context of the rest of the show (and not with years in between to try and remember what had happened!). So, still some good stuff out there. I'm also intrigued by Nat Geo's Genius series- I liked the Einstein season 1, but has anyone watched this beyond that? I started the Antonio Banderas as Picasso season 2, and it seemed far more dull than the first season....
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Interesting discussion. Regarding 'flopping' and the Badgers: I think it was fairly well known that the defensive coaching under Bo Ryan (and presumably therefore continued to some degree under Gard) was to get in position and plant your feet, keep your arms and elbows in, and fall to the ground to emphasize legitimate contact. Is that flopping in my opinion? No. Could some view it that way? I suppose. I think a large part of the issue/debate around Davison is due to the fact that he's quicker than most of those Bo Ryan players, and often puts himself into situations defensively where he's in a position to draw contact faster than most and causes the refs to make a judgement call on both whether he's planted and the legitimacy of the contact. He gets a lot of the calls, but on the ones he doesn't get, they're largely close enough to suggest that a ref could call it either way, IMO.
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I believe this policy is consistent with current CDC guidelines for vaccinated people in general as well.
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Of all of the Badger seniors, Davison always seemed the most likely to return, but I had honestly assume that the ship had passed on all of them. I'd have to go back and look as to whether Davison had actually posted a 'farewell' or if it was just assumed. If the former, I'd be curious to know why the reversal.
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I think that's perfectly fair. But my post was in direct response to someone that was seemingly implying that the vaccine is more dangerous than COVID due to this issue, but when again, clotting instances statistically here are less than other far more common situations for women in this age group and no details are known about medical history beyond age and gender.
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By "we", I'm assuming you mean the FDA and vaccine manufacturers and not BF.net. I can see the headlines now "BF.net online forum openly questions the safety of J&J vaccine!" I guess I was referring more to the general populace, and by extension, BF.net posters. We need to be careful in general that the narrative doesn't become 'the vaccine is dangerous' when these instances of clotting, statistically at least, are less prevalent than than women taking birth control, women following pregnancy, etc.
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Finished Breaking Bad, watched El Camino (and liked it), now about halfway through S1 of BCS.... really, really good stuff.
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What do we actually know about the demographic of these cases, beyond age and gender? Is there anything out there to suggest that they were free from any underlying conditions or otherwise that would have provided an elevated risk of either blood clots or COVID-related complications? We need to be careful not to let a, thus far, one in a million occurrence rate with limited details (again thus far) give fuel to the 'vaccines are dangerous' crowd. EDIT: And in so far as death rate is concerned, only one of the blood clots have lead to death, for a rate of 1 in 6 million. I haven't looked at what the recent data is as far as age 18-50 COVID deaths, but I'd bet it's higher than 1/6 million.
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I don't think that a high % of that age group is vaccinated. I guess I'd also be interested to know what the percentage split is in that group of people between have/will be vaccinated and those that will choose not to.
