adambr2
-
Posts
39,258 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
106
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Blogs
Events
Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis
2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings
Milwaukee Brewers Videos
2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors
Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources
2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project
2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by adambr2
-
I would rather them use that hour to hold a team meeting and have a light bulb go off in someone's head and announce, "Hey! Maybe we should stop giving away so many outs!"
-
I would like Roenicke to explain why Overbay has more PA's in the last couple weeks than Reynolds. This should not be a platoon situation, Reynolds is better. All this PT for Overbay is silly.
-
Why does Roenicke love the sac bunt so much?
adambr2 replied to adambr2's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I really doubt that there is any correlation between a sac bunt attempt and an increased likelihood of a wild pitch, or a sac bunt and increased chance of a walk/HBP. In fact I don't recall any situations of a wild pitch on a sac bunt (not saying there haven't been, just not that I can think of). Most pitchers are more than happy to throw a strike and get a free out. As you pointed out Segura is also a very poor option for 3rd and 1 out even if the sac works. -
Why does Roenicke love the sac bunt so much?
adambr2 replied to adambr2's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I don't have the stats of what percentage of sac bunts are actually successful, but I think it should also be pointed out that there are a number of things that can go wrong. You can strike out if you're foolish enough to keep trying with 2 strikes. You can put yourself in a quick 0-2 hole which leads to an unfavorable count. You can lose the lead runner on a fielders choice if it's not a good bunt. You can pop up the bunt. So many different potential risks for something that isn't necessarily a good idea even if it was a sure thing. To me, it's maddening. -
Some of the old school ways of thinking on sacrifice bunting have just been lost on me because the numbers simply don't support it. http://shutdowninning.com/5/post/2012/04/sacrificial-silliness.html From 1993 until 2010, data was collected on all baserunning situations for every game and the likelihood of scoring runs. With a runner on 2nd and 0 out, a team averages 1.17 runs. With a runner on 3rd and 1 out, it is .989 runs. The second that Roenicke sent Bianchi up to sac bunt in the 10th inning today, he willingly lowered his team's expected runs that inning. So one might argue that the only objective was to score 1 run. More was irrelevant. On the road still having to hold the Reds in the bottom of the inning I would disagree (at home that would have obviously been true). So they compiled the stats for the likelihood of just scoring at all. With a runner on 2nd and 0 out, the chance of scoring is 63.7%. With a runner on 3rd and 1 out, it's 67.4%. So you have increased your chances, albeit by only 3.7%, but this STILL doesn't take into account the chance of failure on the sac (which obviously is what happened). My belief is, there is loads of historical data available to the average Joe on the wisdom of sacrifice bunting, and this data continues to be ignored for whatever reason by guys like Roenicke who have been in baseball for years. For seemingly no other reason than just that's the way it's always been done.
-
I'm no fan of it in any situation except to squeeze in the winning run. I'm not a huge fan of bunting either but if you have no outs, a runner on second and a tie game in extras it's a no brainer. I disagree, and I hate when managers have this mentality. You're banking on 2 straight things happening to score 1 run.-- a successful sac bunt, and a successful sac fly or basehit. I'd rather save my 3 outs and get 3 tries at a basehit.
-
It's getting really frustrating watching A-Ram. Every ground ball hit with a man on, no matter how hard it's hit, you know it's 2. I know he's getting up there in years, but it doesn't look like he's even trying to beat anything out.
-
I agree. I'm surprised he didn't beat that. I didn't see it, but I'm guessing he wasn't all out until he saw the ddeflection. By then it was too late.
-
Bang bang, he's out. Not enough to overturn.
-
Probably in, but too close to take with 2 strikes.
-
Everyone's got an opinion, but I couldn't believe how many people last year thought that Gomez was expendable because of Logan Schafer.
-
Yo is toast.
-
Plays some nice D... maybe he's just not getting enough ABs? Either way, he leaves a lot to be desired at the plate. I've never been too excited with him but it is what it is. I'd rather have him out there than Herrera. Yeah, true enough. That's not saying much, though. I don't have a problem with Schafer as a 4th OF type guy, it's just the people that are way too high on him and thinking he is a future "3 WAR" player that I don't understand.
-
You have not been missed, Schafer.
-
I mistakenly assumed they must have at least scored 1 on that error by Rammy. At least it's still 3-1.
-
Shades of Wes Helms there on that throw from Rammy.
-
And a complete meltdown inning for Yo.
-
First Lohse now Peralta. Not only do our pitchers have to do the pitching on this team they have to do the hitting, too.
-
Wily! Pitcher helps himself again!
-
How does a team as aggressive as us at the plate manage to strike out looking as often as we do?
-
Must be really frustrating for the pitching staff to know that you have to be pretty much perfect right now. They have been pretty much perfect, and that's why they're 20-9, but they can't be perfect all season.
-
Ok A-Ram, if you'r'e going to break out of it, now is the time. Or at least get a fly ball.
-
Ramirez is killing us right now. 0 for his last 23 and anything he hits on the ground is pretty much an automatic double play ball.
-
Seems really vague and subjective. If we're talking best combined value of a pitcher and position player, I'd say take your pick between Verlander and Scherzer combined with Cabrera.
-
Using position players as relief pitchers
adambr2 replied to adambr2's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
We're the Milwaukee Brewers. Our injuries usually involve salad tongs, pillows, suitcases, phone books, and cacti. Very rarely do they involve actual physical acts during a baseball game.