adambr2
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Everything posted by adambr2
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Are we really trying to rationalize that Bradley wasn't a bad signing because we intended for him to be the 4th OF? I guess we could have given Lucroy $14M to be the backup catcher, but just because we didn't intend for him to start wouldn't make it not a terrible deal. I am a little shocked that anyone is trying to excuse the Bradley signing on the pretense that we signed him as insurance, not with the intention of being a major contributor. That makes lighting 14 million dollars on fire for him look worse, not better.
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Oh, well I'll butt out then. Evaluating 60 games of a covid season on top of this mess Stearns has had to navigate for 30 games is just nonsense to me so it'll do me or you any good here to continue. The variables alone are just... yeah. Ok, I'm not really following. Yes 2020 was a weird season. Yes 2021 has had a lot of injuries so far. We can't judge whether individual moves look bad or good because of that? That doesn't make much sense to me. I'm not saying fire the guy. His track record has earned him some misses. I'm just pointing out that the moves since '19 look on the poorer side so far. That's it.
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You cannot spend $14M on a OFer and say "well he was just signed to be the 4th OFer." That is either an embarrassingly bad use of resources or expectations were much higher than a 4th OFer.
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It seems odder to me to just throw out a 60 game sample from last season as irrelevant but yet cite a 30 game sample this season as a success. The production from last year still mattered. Since we were a playoff team it could have mattered a lot. The same logic applies to guys like Grisham and Davies. Yes, you can't close the book on the trade, but you have to take into the account the production they've already given, too. Grisham and Davies would have been crucial pieces for us last year, but we did not have them, and Urias and Lauer gave us no return on investment last year. I throw them out, not because it didn't matter to the Brewer's success, but because it is a terrible way of gauging a player. You are telling me that you will look past their prior season of success and the success that both have had this season because you are disappointed in their 2020 year? What? I'm talking about the moves Stearns has done the last couple years and evaluating them, that was my original point. Obviously what they did in 2020 counts toward that evaluation when judging if a player is a good signing or bad one, and what they do this year overall, including what they've done so far, counts toward it as well. I'm not looking past anything, not does it have anything to do with how I feel about 2020 alone. The cumulative body of work since these acquisitions has been below par to this point in time.
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Yep. Shaw is basically exactly as expected this year. Perfect guy to have come off the bench late in a game or as a defensive replacement. Far less than ideal of a guy to be starting daily and in a run producing spot in the lineup.
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Morrison is correct, I should not have counted him. I stand by Smoak and Sogard as being bad, and not minor signings, however.
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It seems odder to me to just throw out a 60 game sample from last season as irrelevant but yet cite a 30 game sample this season as a success. The production from last year still mattered. Since we were a playoff team it could have mattered a lot. The same logic applies to guys like Grisham and Davies. Yes, you can't close the book on the trade, but you have to take into the account the production they've already given, too. Grisham and Davies would have been crucial pieces for us last year, but we did not have them, and Urias and Lauer gave us no return on investment last year.
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- Narvaez was horrific last season and has been awesome for one month. You can't proclaim "too early to tell" on everyone bad and then declare a move awesome after one good month from a guy with 60 bad games last year. - Avi was also very bad last year. If you want to throw out '20 and say he's basically been as advertised this year I can understand that. - Grisham was awesome in the minors in '19 which got him promoted, he was really good for us, was awesome last year, and has been awesome this year. I know Brewer fans don't want to admit it, but he's probably just really good. We can rationalize it all we want, and obviously you can never say 100% what will happen but at the moment it looks like we gave up a really good player for a guy who has yet to show the ability to outplay Arcia. - Smoak, Sogard, Morrison, etc, are guys that were signed to be starters. You can't throw around 10-15M on guys like that and then just dismiss them as roster filler guys when I call them out as bad signings. You don't spend that on roster filler. Jace Peterson and Daniel Robertson are journeyman guys that you fill rosters with, that is why I did not mention them as bad signings. Not comparable to the names I mentioned. Smoak/Sogard/Morrison/Healy/Holt were bad deals.
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Well, it's certainly early, but where are the good moves the last two years? Feyereisen trade for sure. Wong looks fine so far. Gyorko did fine. JBJ looks like a bust. Garcia looks like a bust. Urias/Grisham trade looks like a bomb. Sogard, Morrison, Smoak, Holt, all busts. Lindblom looks like a bust. The Yelich long-term extension, although certainly early, absolutely is concerning at this point in time. Maybe bombed is too strong but the batting average is certainly low.
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3B is still a major need and the Cardinals are on the hook for Arenado at a reasonable clip of about 21M a year going forward for 7 years. Those are the kinds of moves that we could have made to push us over the top and we could afford to make them if we weren't over-investing in mediocre or defense-only outfield depth every season. That and not trading Grisham alone would have changed the entire outlook of this offense. Stearns had an amazingly good first few years as GM, and he has absolutely bombed the last 2 years.
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Stearns’ Offensive Talent Evaluation
adambr2 replied to RollieTime's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I can't think of any hitter we've developed the last 10 years that even comes close to Francisco Lindor or Jose Ramirez. Maybe Trent Grisham but we traded him away anyway. Ryan Braun and Prince Fielder were our last great bats developed. That is a long, long drought. -
Honestly beyond hoping Yelich makes it back and Hiura figures it out there is not much else we can do. Like you said there is not help on the way. It's not a great situation.
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I hope McKinney didn't fool anyone into thinking he was actually good.
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Or he'll just strike out on 3 pitches.
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Bradley will hit a slam here and we'll lose 6-5, cuz why not.
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Heaven help us if Urias should be our 2 hitter.
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All I care about is the record regardless of how we get there. However, an 88 win pace is not sustainable with an offense that is this bad.
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I have no real expectations for this team at the end of the season. I fully expect the Cardinals to go on some magical championship run while we watch highlights of a no-hitter from 32 years ago during rain delays. That seems to be our destiny.
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Like you can see into the future. No, but I can see into the past and expect that the future will be similar. I think he was complimenting you on your prophecy.
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Boxberger is absolute crap. Like Matt Albers, he just needed some time to show it.
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Our pitching staff has to be nearly perfect night after night. It’s really depressing. Freddy was perfect from a runs standpoint and it still wasn't enough.
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A miserably inept offense, but hey, let's spend more on defense again in the offseason.
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What's it like to be able to just move a runner over from 2nd to 3rd?
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Brewers gonna Brewer. Start with a guy on 2nd, get a wild pitch and still can't get him home.
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Thanks for this article. Hader should be the 10th inning guy. I could see it tonight. He had the 4-6 guys I believe. Counsell went from one of the most innovative managers in baseball in '18 and prior to a old timer smoking a cigar straight out of 1979.