I do think we'll win the series. I just think it's more like a 85%-90% chance rather than the mortal lock that some seem to. I think collectively we tend to overuse the "this this and this all went wrong and we still almost won" arguments. I'm losing count of how many times we've played the "our worst night" card in the playoffs so far. Each game is it's own animal. Giannis might go for 40 on Tuesday and Kawhi might go for 50 and we lose by a point. One of Giannis' best games this season, I recall, was a home loss to Philly. Toronto will probably be favored to win on Tuesday, as they were today, and then if the bounces don't go your way all of the sudden you've got a best of 3. Now hopefully we can put that all to rest on Tueaday, but we take way too much for granted against a 58 win team. Leonard could go MJ on us the rest of the series, we just don't know. Again, I do think we'll win this series. We just seem to assume an awful lot for a team that hasn't been to the Finals in almost 50 years. We're not the Warriors -- not yet anyway. Well, it's only been two times really that we've talked about everything going wrong, Game 1 vs Boston and then last night. Second, I hate when people talk about the history of a franchise when the oldest player on the team wasn't even alive when this run of 50 years started. It has nothing to do with Giannis or Lopez or anyone. And would it somehow be more likely if Big Dog hits that shot in the last seconds vs Philly and the Bucks get routed by the Lakers? Then it'd be a team that hasn't been there in 18 years. I would agree, we are probably a bit TOO confident. The Raptors are a really good team and Kawhi is a freakishly talented player. I think the very few small warts Giannis does still have in his game can be exposed with Kawhi on him and if Middelton isn't hitting his shots, things could go the wrong way. 85-90 pct confidence though is pretty damn high. And Warrented given how the stars had to align for Toronto to beat us.(and Kawhi getting away with the double dribble to essentially put the game away) I've seen crazier things happen in sports. But Toronto winning 3 of the next 4 with 2 in Milwaukee seems unlikely to me. I also think it's unlikely, and that's why I said 85-90%. I agree, still pretty good. When I speak in historical context I am comparing us to a team like the Warriors who have been there, done that so much in the last few years. Even if they get down -- to have been in this spot so many times recently. It doesn't matter to them or anyone else if they have homecourt, or what seed they are. Confidence wise, comparing the two teams, that part of it DOES matter. It gives them a psychological edge that we (and all others) just don't have yet. I'm not saying that the Bucks teams of the 70s have anything to do with this one.