owbc
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Everything posted by owbc
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Exactly. Counsell is hyper competitive. He didn't think Milwaukee had the resources to win it all. And he's clearly bothered by losing to the Brewers. Personally I don't hate the guy, I just think the whole situation is poetic justice. Hopefully we'll get our trophy and Counsell will eventually come back to Wisconsin with his tail between his legs after winning jack squat with the Cubs. -
The part I didn't like was acting surprised when everyone in Wisconsin got upset about going to the Cubs. You don't defect to a rival and expect to return home to cheers. You could have gone to like 5 other interested teams, still gotten paid, and returned home to a standing ovation. In the meantime, Counsell left Horton in too long after his blister/nail was clearly a problem.
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Only 97 off the bat apparently, .300 xBA.
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We may as well shut this topic down, we don’t need it anymore. Reality is more optimistic than our wildest dreams.
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Are the Brewers Peaking Too Soon?
owbc replied to TwinsBrewersWorldSeries's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I would say they are slumping right now. They played so poorly that they almost lost a game. -
34-8 to get to the 110 win prediction by @torts. We can do it!
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PCA has a .293 OBP. 1st percentile chase % 3rd percentile walk rate 60th percentile bat speed --- Putting that aside, the Cubs haven't even choked. They basically treaded water, playing .500 ball for two months while losing 15 games in the standings to their rival.
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Burgers ✅ #1 seed 🔲 100 wins 🔲 Pennant 🔲 Parade 🔲
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I didn't know a major league baseball team could be this good. What is even the definition of falling back to earth? They only win at a 95 or 100 win pace instead of 125?
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If he makes plays like that, Joey can be a 3 WAR player with an OPS+ of 100.
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No problem, just score more runs. Why doesn't everyone do this?
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I just assumed the 4th run scored (wasn't paying close attention)...how slow was that Pirates guy to not score on a ball off the CF wall with 2 outs???
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Assuming that Cubs series goes well I hope we can have a lot of 70 pitch outings in September.
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This team doesn't just pour it on, they dump it on until it overflows and causes a 1,000 year flood.
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To me the 49-16 record over the last 65 is the one that's truly impressive. A better winning percentage than the 2001 Mariners over >40% of the season. I don't think any of the other crazy hot streaks in franchise history were sustained for barely half this long. Certainly not to the extent of going more than 30 games over .500 and running up an absurd run differential (something like +150) over that time. The 2011 team was only +83 for the whole year.
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This team is so good that nobody will care if they lose today, but hitting the burger win feels like a worthy symbolic accomplishment in this extraordinary season.
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Back when they had the 6 burgers for $5 promotion… …let me just say that it was arguable whether those burgers were even worth $1.
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As soon as the Pirates dropped the double play ball you knew the crooked number was coming. And as soon as they got a few and Vaughn was up you knew what was coming. I’ve never seen anything like it. I just hope this lasts 2 1/2 more months.
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For the first time since July 2025 the Milwaukee Brewers have won 10 games in a row.
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The pitching basically ran out of gas in 2011. Wolf/Gallardo/Marcum all with 200+ regular season innings. Marcum in particular was useless in the NLCS. 2018 could have gone either way, the Dodgers just had a little more depth and got the big defensive play and big hit in game 7. The 2025 team is not going to get outclassed on depth and ideally won't have to deal with the pesky wild card round.
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In the past we might have gone 10 years between free burger opportunities. It has been exactly 20 days since our 11-game winning streak was snapped.
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Given the Mariners currently have the highest statistical odds of winning the AL, I was entertaining the thought of a Brewers/Mariners World Series, which would be convenient for me as a Mariners season ticket holder with postseason access. But I think it would actually ruin the experience since half of me would be bitterly disappointed in the result, so I wouldn't be able to fully enjoy the victory if the Brewers won. In the long run I think both fanbases would be happy with a World Series appearance but it feels like the Brewers are the ones who are due for the championship, while Mariners fans would be thrilled to even get there.
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It seems pretty obvious that aggressive baserunning makes pitching worse but exactly how much is hard to say. 1) It is easily quantified that stealing with > 75% success rate is independently good. 2) Pitcher/catcher are distracted or pitch type gets relayed to batter by runner at 2B (should be possibly to quantify by looking at batter performance when a fast runner is on base). 3) Fast baserunners forcing infielders to rush, creating more errors (seems to track based on rluzinski's link). It seems to affect certain pitchers more than others. Some pitchers completely ignore the baserunners and let them steal (hence how Josh Naylor has 20-some steals this year with 3rd-percentile sprint speed). Then there are relievers who seem to be really good at getting out of jams.
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