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owbc

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Everything posted by owbc

  1. They can trail off. We still won't catch them. Lets say the Cubs go 47-46 the rest of the way (about .500). The way they are playing, this is quite a stretch to think that they would go from .638 baseball to .500, but if they get unlucky like you think they will, it could happen. That would give the Cubs 91 wins. In order for the Brewers to catch them, they would have to go 56-39. That's a .636 winning percentage, about the same as the Cubs are right now. Do you really think we will get as "lucky" as the Cubs have been?
  2. That HR raised our chance of winning from 5% to 54% http://www.fangraphs.com/lgraphs/280614108_Twins_Brewers_83481264_lbig.png
  3. YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  4. 8.5 GB Who cares? They weren't going to catch the Cubs anyway.
  5. That single/error was worth 38%.
  6. I LOVE the decision to bring Torres in. That was the most important out of the game and will make a much bigger difference in our % chance of winning the game than anything he could have done later. Yost shouldn't be afraid to bring in Torres in the same situation in the 6th or 7th inning as well.
  7. The Brewers should consider selling those at the concession stands. If Villy ever becomes a starter again, I will eat them on days that he pitches for good luck.
  8. Villanueva walked the leadoff hitter!!! He stinks tonight! Doesn't Yost realize that? Why aren't there 2 relievers warming up right now?
  9. That's because we're winning. There aren't 15 people here to tell us how much Yost is to blame for our offense/defense/pitching/midwest flooding/etc.
  10. Nice to see Soup pitching well (again). He has definitely been a solid #2/#3 starter this year.
  11. I don't believe a word of what he says. I want to hear what the JS reporters think.
  12. Maybe we should boo louder to let Hall know that he's having a bad night. He might not realize it.
  13. Anyone listening on the radio. All we need is a HR for the Menards Big Inning--and a $10,000 grand prize and a Harley.
  14. This got ugly. Fortunately, it's only 1/162. Hopefully the Cubs don't pull off another comeback. I'm also glad that I decided not to make the trip to Milwaukee tonight.
  15. I would like us to make the playoffs. But I don't think this team is talented enough--or at least they aren't based on the way they are performing right now. Do you really think managing is the only reason we aren't at the Cubs' level?
  16. I think he'll get him out. That double was a fluke
  17. Wait, so Russell Branyan is our ideal role model for hitting? Sure, he doesn't over swing when he hits home runs. But what about the nearly 7 times he strikes out for every HR? As for the W-L category, last I checked we were 4 games above .500 and on pace for our predicted finish of 85-90 wins.
  18. I don't see what's wrong with trying to hit home runs. We do a good job at it, we're 3rd in the NL in homers. When we hit home runs, we win.
  19. Maybe they think it's a road game due to the Twins fans in attendance
  20. Why can't the hitters take the blame for not adjusting to new pitchers? We have scouting reports just like every other major league team.
  21. And 30 seconds later...3-0. Figures.
  22. I have a bad feeling about this situation. Please prove me wrong.
  23. I'm one of those who used to be against replay but am now in favor of it. Home runs that are close are very difficult to call, especially with crazy walls and dimensions in parks like Minute Maid. Usually, the correct call is quite obvious on replay, but with the umpires running into the outfield to make a call, it is easy to see why they could screw up. I also am fine with it being used on fair/foul calls. Here's how I would do it: -Have a central command center like the NHL that handles all replay calls, with a headset set up near the dugout -For HR and fair/foul calls, all close plays should be automatically replayed (this would probably be less than 1 per game). -For safe/out calls, managers get 1 challenge per game. If they win the challenge, they can challenge again. -No replay on balls and strikes. Umpires are correct 95% of the time. Automated umpires may be ok at some point, but not for at least 10-20 years. It should not be implemented in August. The policy should be tested in Spring Training and implemented for the 2009 season if it works successfully.
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