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Point Beer Is Best

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Everything posted by Point Beer Is Best

  1. Point Beer Is Best
    I think you are on to something here. I know the Brewers would likely do it given Dozier is the better player, but I think the Twins would as well. They are having a down year after a playoff season last year and really don’t need to rebuild. Getting a major leaguer with team control for Dozier makes sense. The Twins may take Villar back, but I assume you are also tossing in more if you are the Brewers. Wouldn't the Twins just keep him for the comp pick if that is the best they can do in the trade? Or are we thinking his down season will continue and the Twins won't QO? I think if you dangled a $17M QO in front of Dozier, there's a pretty good chance he takes it. Villar straight up would be somewhat similar to when we traded them one year of JJ Hardy for Carlos Gomez, who they had soured on but was attractive to us given the team control and talent he had.
  2. Point Beer Is Best
    So we're just going to pretend that the team didn't DFA Scooter Gennett (who you also lament the loss of) to make room for Villar in the everyday lineup? After 2016, it was extremely clear based on the evidence they had that the best everyday lineup was with Arcia at SS and Villar at 2B, which rendered Gennett useless given he lacked versatility. They certainly didn't "jerk around" Villar. They gave him an everyday position in the lineup and gave him every chance to succeed. You act as if the team totally blew it by not leaving Arcia in AAA, Villar at SS and Gennett at 2B, operating with the benefit of hindsight.
  3. Point Beer Is Best
    12 years of team control for 12 starts of Happ? That's a hard pass.
  4. Point Beer Is Best
    Opt out was for the 25-man roster, but because Choi had an option remaining, he had no say whether the Brewers could send him down. A lot of times, when a player signs a minor league deal with an opt-out, they have no options remaining, which gives them even more leverage. Yeah, I think we had discussed the Choi situation in after Opening Day. Since he had technically been on the Major League (25 man) roster on or before May 15, his opt-out was voided. Shrewd move, although questionable ethically (similar to the Davies situation where he was optioned over an all-star break).
  5. Point Beer Is Best
    If the Marlins did the Realmuto trade, Gord Ash can claim victory because he finally found a home for our AAA club.
  6. Point Beer Is Best
    When you sweep the worst team in baseball.
  7. Point Beer Is Best
    I would be surprised if Gutekunst took the 5'10" Alexander, after re-affirming his belief in the Ron Wolf height/size metrics for DB's. Ward is borderline at 5'11" and just 183lbs, but probably in consideration. James for sure fits the profile at 6'3" and 212, but I don't think he gets past Tampa Bay at 7. If James does slip, they should be on the phone with SF or Oakland for Pick 9 or 10 if he made it that far. Washington sitting at #13 is kind of a problem because their needs are pretty similar to our own.
  8. Point Beer Is Best
    David Bakhtiari might be the best LT in the league now that Joe Thomas is retired. Unless you're one of those people who don't consider OL players to be stars, which would be weird because LT is the second most important position on offense. 2011 was the last year the team didn't draft a defensive player with their first pick. Looking at rounds 1-4 from the last 10 years, they've drafted 60% defensive players. That number jumps way up to 80% when looking at their three most recent drafts. If you can't see that's investing in defense for a draft & develop team, then I don't know what to tell you.
  9. Point Beer Is Best
    It's hard to sort out truth in all the rumors, but if the Browns are indeed going to draft Mayfield #1 overall, I would think the Giants would take Darnold for succession planning after Manning. They could take Barkley or Chubb if they're more interested in going for it again, but when might they be in position to grab arguably the best QB in a draft class? The Jets probably take Rosen (you don't trade up from 6 to 3 and not be planning to take a QB). The Browns could still then get Barkley at 4, or trade back with the Bills or Dolphins if they want to leapfrog the Broncos for Josh Allen. Who knows, man. The only guarantee is that something crazy will happen and all you can do is hope your team isn't on the stupid side of things.
  10. Point Beer Is Best
    Quenton Nelson shouldn't make it past 6 with Indy. He's a generational player at guard. If the Packers move up, my guess is it would be with SF at 9 or the Raiders at 10. Moving up from 14 would cost at least their 3rd and one of the 4th round picks, but shouldn't command their 2nd round pick. If the Raiders are hell-bent on drafting an OT, it's pretty safe that they could move back to 14 and still get their guy (wild card would be the Bills at 12 - barring a trade - who lost their three best OL this offseason but they also desperately need a QB).
  11. Point Beer Is Best
    I had to skim through this since it was a lot to digest. But I feel like OSS is the guy who doesn't really pay attention to the players during the game and angrily calls into the post-game show with a hot take that causes the host to eye-roll so hard that you can hear it on the radio. Dean Lowry is a guy most teams would have given up on by now? Rodgers & Adams are the only stars? Rebuild while having the best QB in football? My goodness.
  12. Point Beer Is Best
    I feel like adding Bryant would be redundant. The Packers are very, very good in the red zone but struggle between the 20's. Adding Bryant kind of just makes you a little better in an area you already excel at at, especially after you've already added Graham. They need a legitimate stretch-the-field speed WR that Janis & Davis never became. They don't have that guy who can take the top off the defense, and it didn't work with Davis & Janis because those guys couldn't catch or run routes consistently. That is arguably their most prudent need on offense (if they are comfortable with some combination of Patrick/McCray/Murphy manning the right side of the O-line), and they should spend a Day 2 pick to address it.
  13. Point Beer Is Best
    If one of the QB's somehow falls to 14, and NE calls and offers picks 23 & 31... do you take it? I would lean towards yes, but it depends on who's still on the board.
  14. Point Beer Is Best
    I think the second wave of free agency could be a time for Gutey to shine. Both Jordan Matthews and Delvin Breaux are devalued coming off of injuries and would likely accept one year prove-it deals.
  15. Point Beer Is Best
    Tramon Williams >>>>>>> Davon House Jimmy Graham >>>>>> Jordy Nelson last year Williams had something like a 58 passer rating allowed on targets in his directions last season. That was the best number of any available free agent CB this offseason. Plus he knows Pettine's defense. OBJ would be fun, but I would much rather acquire Patrick Peterson. Plus the Giants seem to be asking for multiple 1st round picks to acquire him. That's obviously high, but it will cost at least one first rounder. Probably comparable to what the Seahawks gave up for Percy Harvin. And if pick 14 isn't in play, I don't think we'd get either. Would you give up a guy like David Bakhtiari for less than a first round pick?
  16. Point Beer Is Best
    From the article at the time of his signing: https://www.jsonline.com/story/sports/mlb/brewers/2018/01/15/report-brewers-sign-south-korean-first-baseman-ji-man-choi-minor-league-deal/1033638001/ So I would interpret this that if he's on the roster for one game, he would received the $850k salary. He couldn't opt out of the contract at this point. The subsequent wording says if he accepts a minor league assignment, he would have another opt out date. However, he would be optioned since he would be on the 40 man roster. It feels like any opt-outs are gone, now that he's on a major league salary on the 40 man roster.
  17. Point Beer Is Best
    Well, he'd be on the 40-man and technically optioned, so I think that makes the opt-out void. I hadn't thought about that, but I'm not sure what the wording was. Can a player exercise an opt-out if they are on the 40 man roster?
  18. Point Beer Is Best
    I took a look at the salary cap implications. Peterson has 3 years left remaining on his deal. Base salaries are roughly $11M, $11M and $12M. There is a roster bonus of $250K due but not until his final year of that contract. Also $250K per year in workout bonuses. The way that Arizona structured that contract, they could trade/cut him now and only take a dead money hit of just under $5M while freeing up almost $10M in cap space this year (plus freeing themselves of the contract in 2019 & 2020 as well). The team that acquired him would be on the hook from a salary cap perspective basically what their cash outlay would be: 2018: $11.25M, 2019: $11.25M and 2020: $12.55M. Essentially the acquiring team would assume a 3 year, $35M contract where none of that money is guaranteed. If you feel Peterson is elite and will remain elite into his early 30's, you could likely very easily convince him to extend that contract in exchange for some guaranteed money up front, or just go year-to-year with him and not take any additional risk. It makes gauging his trade value difficult. I don't think I would part with pick #14, but this year's second or next year's first (would be about equal value if you assume we're a playoff team in 2018) might do it. It would be bold move and free the team to take an EDGE rusher at #14 or potentially draft a replacement for HHCD.
  19. Point Beer Is Best
    Matthews is a bigger target (6'3"). Like someone else said, he also plays slot receiver (where we have Cobb) so the interest could mean several things: a) Leverage to get Cobb to take less money (likely won't work - you don't ask a guy to take less money unless you're ready to cut him) b) Replace Cobb. At this stage of free agency, many of these guys coming off of injuries are looking to take one year "prove it" deals. Personally, I like the idea of signing Matthews to a one year deal while keeping Cobb. Both would be in a contract year, let them compete and next offseason make a decision on who you'd like to retain. The 2019 season would be Cobb's age 29 season and Matthews age 27 season. I don't think Matthews would be the guy you want on the perimeter opposite of Adams. My preference there would have been a burner like Moncrief (who got way more than I was expecting him to in free agency), who also fits the size they are looking for (6'2", 220lbs with serious wheels). So that leaves us looking in the draft (likely on Day 2) for a starting WR opposite of Adams. But we also don't have a Week 1 starter at RG or RT with Jahri Evans unsigned (may retire) and Bulaga likely to miss the first few weeks. As of now your starters are probably Lucas Patrick at RG and Justin McCray at RT (and he may be the guy they want to roll with as their RG eventually), with Jason Spriggs as the swing tackle. And by swing, I mean he swings open like a fence gate in pass protection.
  20. Point Beer Is Best
    Packers reportedly signing Tramon Williams to a 2 year deal. He's still played well, remained pretty injury-free, and played under Pettine in Cleveland. This just made too much sense for it to not happen.
  21. Point Beer Is Best
    For everyone that is up in arms over the defensive backfield (and admittedly, it's pretty easy at this point to get nervous), it might be a good time to remind everyone that at this point last year, the Philadelphia Eagles secondary was also not in great shape. But these moves were made (take note of the timing). Free agency began March 9th: March 9th - March 27th: ABSOLUTELY NOTHING in regards to DB acquisitions March 28th: Signed CB Patrick Robinson on a 1 year deal (just signed a 4yr/$20M contract to go back to NO, but was a journeyman) March 29th - NFL Draft: Nothing again NFL Draft (April 27-29th): Spent two top-100 picks on CB's (Sidney Jones, Rasul Douglas) ..... August 11th: Acquired Ronald Darby from Buffalo for Jordan Matthews & a 3rd round pick A few other minor trades/signings were made. But they waited to "bargain" shop for help and used the draft. They also used other means (trades) during Training Camp. It's way, way too early to panic about a lack of moves at the position.
  22. Point Beer Is Best
    Hopefully they make that move yesterday. Matthews should be extended, not released. I think you guys are focusing too much on sack numbers and not his overall impact to the defense. Let's see what he does in this new defense, especially if they allow him to move around quite a bit.
  23. Point Beer Is Best
    This is why they drafted Josh Jones. He obviously has to step it up now.
  24. Point Beer Is Best
    You make the move now before someone else does.
  25. Point Beer Is Best
    Yup. The value chart teams use to gauge fairness in draft pick trades goes completely out the window when the trade is to move up for a QB in the first round.
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