Jump to content
Want to get your head around free agents the WORLD CHAMPION Brewers can spend on this winter? Click here and check out our top 75 free agents ranking! ×
Brewer Fanatic

rluzinski

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    9,362

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by rluzinski

  1. rluzinski
    And I like to see why people defend Hardy to such a degree as they do in the face of these obvious facts. I see, you don't actually want people to actually discuss the opinions you presented in this thread. We think range factor stinks as a defensive metric. It's very simple. If you want to prove Hardy stinks you'll have to go about it a different way. I see what Brian was talking about with you having a crusade. Now you are just getting mad because we don't blindly agree with you.
  2. rluzinski
    It just seems that offensive formulas are "easier?" to quantify, and are perhaps more readily accepted. Offensive metrics are alot easier to "prove" because their ultimate goal is simply to predict runs scored. On a team level that's easy as pie. Even on a player by player level, it's not difficult to calculate a player's run production in a certain offensive environment.
  3. rluzinski
    It just seems that offensive formulas are "easier?" to quantify, and are perhaps more readily accepted. Offensive metrics are in a much more controlled environment. You know the pitcher's prior success and you know the batter's. That dreaded BABIP comes in a ruins everything, but compared to defense, it's a piece of cake. We don't even HAVE most of the information you would need to properly gauge defensive abilities. We finally have spray charts available but what was the velocity of the ball hit? What was it's trajectory? Where was the defender positioned? Where did the defender end up? Too many variables and almost no data. When statheads have tried to make up metrics using the data available, they have had limited success. They certainly aren't good enough to make the proclaimation, "Player A is better than Player B!"
  4. rluzinski
    Most of this has already been said, but to summarize: 1. I don't like Yost at ALL but he's not going to criticize Hardy's defense through the media, nor should he. 2. Even the stauncheststatheads recognize that current defensive metrics don't seam to paint an accurate picture of player's abilities. As a result, most aren't willing to think Hardy's defensive metrics mean he's a bad defender. 3. Hall has been a poor defender his entire career. While it looks like he's made great strides this year, it isn't going to erase the rest of his career. 4. Hardy's defense has been described as "major league ready" by virtually all the scouts since he was drafted. One year's worth of suspect defensive metrics isn't going to erase that. Everyone criticizes Brewer players and coaches here on a regular basis. I have no idea who you are, but apparently Brian has seen you stir up arguments at JSOnline and is simply making sure you don't do the same here. By your reaction I have to think Brian's concerns are well founded.
  5. rluzinski
    It doesn't make sense to change matchups around if your goal is try try and maximize wins for the team. You help probabilities one place and hurt them in another. You are better off maximizing the innings of your best pitchers.
  6. rluzinski
    What the article did not provide was the amount of runs Ben allowed per category of run support. You mean, does Sheets pitch "up" to the other stud pitcher? I don't really think the level of pitching competition has any bearing on Sheets' performances. Obviously, Sheets had a VERY good ERA in 2004 and a good one this year. Here's a link to Sheet's game logs, plus some neato graphs: LINK
  7. rluzinski
    I really wanted to use the phrase "eye of the tiger" in the article somewhere but it just didn't make the cut. Seriously though, I feel the article isn't worded very well, so if anyone has any questions please let me know.
  8. rluzinski
    Almost 50% chance for a .500 season. 2 of 3 from the Cards would go a long way to reaching that goal: http://i14.photobucket.com/albums/a345/rluzinski/montecarlo10.gif http://i14.photobucket.com/albums/a345/rluzinski/montecarlo10histo.gif
  9. rluzinski
    3 for 9 Funny thing is the 3 came in the first 3 chances for a 3 game series sweep. They came against Cin, Chi and Col. Since then they've gone 0-6 when trying to sweep a 3 game series. Must be missing the eye of the tiger.
  10. rluzinski
    Maddux's endureance really being tested in the 8th. It took him 12 pitches to get through the 8th. Is pitch count has ballooned to 78. I think if the Brewer can make Maddux throw about 45 pitches in the 9th, they should be able to knock himout of the game! BTW, if Yost has Rooter pinch hit for the pitcher to lead of the 9th...
  11. rluzinski
    5 pitch inning for Maddux in the 7th. He should finish his complete game with less than 90 pitches thrown. Seems like the perfect performance with the Crew 1 game below .500.
  12. rluzinski
    Miller hit a ball right to Maddox, who doubled Branyan off first. We bring up allll this young kids and Trent is Yost's friggin first choice off the bench! MAN. EDIT: Through 6 innings, Maddux is on pace for a 90 pitch complete game.
  13. rluzinski
    Lineout DP. Excellant.
  14. rluzinski
    Any chance the Brewers can go one game this year without throwing balls all over the place?
  15. rluzinski
    I think we'll have some young options next year. That, or Rick Helling.
  16. rluzinski
    Do your numbers take into account Gary Glover starting 2 of the remaining games? Absoluetely..... NOT. The individual game probabilities assumes team average pitching and batting for each game. The fact that Sheet's ability to keep down "runs against" for the crew obviously hurts the odds a bit. In the end this is just a rough estimator anyway. I'm not going to pretend it's correct to within 1 or 2%. What it does show is that as a result of mostly home games against mostly easier opponents, the Brewers have a good shot at finishing 8-4.
  17. rluzinski
    The sweep by the 'Stros essentially threw out the possibility of them winning 81. My numbers say 50/50 shot at .500 or better. http://i14.photobucket.com/albums/a345/rluzinski/montecarlo12.gif http://i14.photobucket.com/albums/a345/rluzinski/montecarlo12histo.gif It's the Red's series that is the key. A four game series at home against a team we should have a 60% chance of beating them on any given day. They HAVE been playing much better lately though... we'll see. 1-1, remaining series with Cubs 1-2 against Cards 3-1 against Reds 2-1 against Pirates ------------ .500 Take 2 of 3 from the resting Cards and we have a winning season.
  18. rluzinski
    An AOL account. How... professional.
  19. rluzinski
    There's that stupid base running error. Can't go more than a game without making an out at second or third in STUPID ways. EDIT: And a failed bunt. Good stuff.
  20. rluzinski
    Nice RBI, but Carlos Lee is standing way too far off the plate. That's where Lee has ALWAYS stood, isn't it?
  21. rluzinski
    JENKINS! 3-0. Nice early lead. Keep em coming!
  22. rluzinski
    Overbay just miss that one?
  23. rluzinski
    Which one was it, "very much in the wildcard race" or "outside shot"? If they had taken 2 of 3: Philadelphia 80 70 -- Houston 79 71 1.0 Florida 79 71 1.0 Washington 77 73 3.0 Milwaukee 75 74 4.5 Chicago 74 76 6.0 With 13 games left. Realistic wildcard hopes have unfortunetely been over for alot longer than last weekend. I just want .500 and a better record than the Cubs!
  24. rluzinski
    Man, the Brewers have really hurt their chances for a .500 season http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/frown.gif http://i14.photobucket.com/albums/a345/rluzinski/montecarlo13.gif http://i14.photobucket.com/albums/a345/rluzinski/montecarlo13histo.gif
  25. rluzinski
    What really sucks is if we win 2 out of 3 from Houston this past weekend we are still very much in the wild card race um... no.
×
×
  • Create New...