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rluzinski

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Everything posted by rluzinski

  1. rluzinski
    The Brewers actually RAISES a pitcher's ERA http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif
  2. rluzinski
    Like I said, Bill Hall is my Hero!
  3. rluzinski
    3-0 pitch and Jenks hits it nicey but..... Is that the FIRST 2-0 pitch Jenkins hasn't swung yet? http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif Bill Hall. Yuk.
  4. rluzinski
    OK, 1st and 2nd and no outs. Can the Crew bust Clemens!? This is fun...
  5. rluzinski
    Chris Magruder, an outfielder, is batting .182 against righties and has a .582 OPS overall. And Yost not only started him, he batted him #2.
  6. rluzinski
    Wow, Ohka can't even make CONTACT trying to bunt??
  7. rluzinski
    Just so everyone knows, the Astros are no longer leading the wild card race.
  8. rluzinski
    Hey rluz, you should put that Log5 in the Statistical Analysis forum FAQ. Sorry, that's proprietary information. Next, you'll want me to explain how I calculate series probabilities. I'm planning on starting a subscription plan for it soon.http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/grin.gif Yeh, np. I have alot of stuff I'll add there eventually.
  9. rluzinski
    Per Retrosheet's gamelog, they were 28-28. There goes that theory.
  10. rluzinski
    I think Clemens has done very well this year because he's a good pitcher. If I had to guess I would think Lee isn't thinking about whether Clemens is going to hit him, but rather what wicked pitch he's going to throw at him next.
  11. rluzinski
    Branyan hits a HR every 7.5 AB against Clemens, have to start him! http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif
  12. rluzinski
    Interesting read. Iooked at how many runs they SHOULD have scored, based on their stats: http://i14.photobucket.com/albums/a345/rluzinski/dodgers.gif According to simple Runs Created, they scored 8% more than they should have; linear weights puts that at 14% more. The reason is obvious, their outstanding performance with runners in scoring position. While I would be more inclinded to attribute their success in those situations to mostly dumb luck (take a sample of a population enough times and you'll get all sorts of averages) it would be interesting to see their "clutch" numbers as a team before and after 1988. My gut tells me their would be no coorelation. Using the "runs created" expected runs of 584, the pythagorean predicts a .532 winning %, or only 85 wins. I'm sure this isn't the only team to "fluke" their way to the playoffs but the fact that they actually won it all makes it very amazing. They pretty much did better than expected in everything http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif You wouldn't know their record in 1 run games, would you?
  13. rluzinski
    I assume Santos will go Sunday, huh?
  14. rluzinski
    [b]Rluz's Probabilities[/b] ---------------------- Brewers Sweep: 2% Brewers Win 3: 14% Brewers Win 2: 33% Brewers Win 1: 36% Brewers Swept: 15%
  15. rluzinski
    And just in time for a series against the leaders for the Wild Card... Well, co-leaders atleast.
  16. rluzinski
    ... and the Brewers inch one game closer in the race: W L GB Winning Rec. 82 80 --- Brewers 59 62 2.5 And only 1 "team" ahead of them! They'll have to finish 23-18 to do it, but with all the home games left they may have a shot. Good luck Brewers!
  17. rluzinski
    Ya know I was thinking the same thing about Helms. Has he carved out a whole new career for himself as a PH? Not a bad guy to have on your bench right now. $2 mil pinch hitter?
  18. rluzinski
    WHY Cappelan? EDIT: Like I said, brilliant move! http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif
  19. rluzinski
    96 MPH from Eveland? Let me get this straight, we currently have TWO lefties that can throw over 95 MPH?
  20. rluzinski
    Can the Crew really win in Coors with 2 runs?
  21. rluzinski
    "...and I was never a guy with a great eye at the plate." ~ Bill, trying to explain how he thinks some hitters are too patient at the plate.
  22. rluzinski
    For a team in the thick of the wildcard race you wouldn't think the game thread would be so dead. I kid! http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif There goes Branyan with those silly walks again.
  23. rluzinski
    6.0 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 8 K WOW.
  24. rluzinski
    There's that Maddux interview about Helton again where Bill COMPLETELY missed the point. I guess they played it again so Bill can pretend he knew what Maddux was saying the first time the first time. Maddux says you have to pitch to Helton, Bill. Got it?
  25. rluzinski
    Let's suppose yesterday's game was the begining of an improbable 10 game winning streak. If we can agree that 88 wins will be atleast what the Brewers need for the wild card, the Crew would STILL need to finish the season 21-12. They would then finish with a 88-74 record, which MIGHT be good enough to make it. So: 1. Win 9 more games in row. 2. Finish 21-12 after that. 3. Hope 88-74 is good enough. Probably not even a big winning streak into getting back into it, unfortunetely.
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