rluzinski
-
Posts
9,362 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Blogs
Events
Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis
2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings
Milwaukee Brewers Videos
2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors
Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources
2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project
2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by rluzinski
-
Braun with some more SB padding. And no Bill, that is NOT a big steal. That's why the Dodgers didn't care.
-
I agree, it was a decent play but when you are positioned 3 steps from the track, you better be in position to make that play.
-
Wow, Fielder crushed that.
-
Seeing the actual location of pitches really makes me appreciate pitchers more. That strikeout pitch on Hart looked nothing like a strike because we see where the catcher catchers it, not where it crosses home plate. Sure enough, right on the outside corner.
-
Wolf needed a mound visit to spike a 60 MPH curveball into the ground?
-
How does Betancourt not record an out there? It was not routine but slow to the ball + bobble = infield single by the darn pitcher.
-
For any of the stat guys here Is there any data out there which tracks how hitters as a whole through out the league do in situations of runner on 3rd with one out? Do they strike out at a higher percentage, maybe because pitchers would be trying harder for a strikeout in that situation vs a regular at bat? The league average for scoring a run with R3 < 2 outs is 51%, which is pathetic and mostly due to the fact that guys refuse to change their approach and take the run. I cant find averages of K% but for example Robin Yount struck out 11% of career PAs and 9.8% with R3 < 2 out. You are presuming that runners CAN hit an outfield flyball at will. I think most are just trying to make hard contact but none of us are really in a position to know.
-
Show me some evidence of any of that, please. On average, batters perform about the same with RISP than without. Fans just have a much higher expectation when a run can be scored.You're probably right, they probably do perform about the same. But when all you have do to is put the ball in play to score a run, I don't think it's unreasonable to expect the batter to come through way more often than not. No, that is a fair expectation: http://www.tangotiger.net/RE9902score.html With 1st and 3rd and 1 out, teams still score no runs 35% of the time, though.
-
For any of the stat guys here Is there any data out there which tracks how hitters as a whole through out the league do in situations of runner on 3rd with one out? Do they strike out at a higher percentage, maybe because pitchers would be trying harder for a strikeout in that situation vs a regular at bat? There's very little evidence that the average pitcher can raise their performance in key situations. I want to say Glavine was a big exception?
-
I get a lot more upset when there are no base runners at all. At least there is some action. This is a good pitcher in a pitcher's park, so this is what you get. Still a lot of time left. Someone brought up the Cardinals middle always picking up RBI's and they do. Good teams find ways to score a run here or there, manufacture runs. Not find ways to not score like we do. Show me some evidence of any of that, please. On average, batters perform about the same with RISP than without. Fans just have a much higher expectation when a run can be scored.
-
O my goodness, that should have been two. I don't give a crap what Bill says.
-
I get a lot more upset when there are no base runners at all. At least there is some action. This is a good pitcher in a pitcher's park, so this is what you get. Still a lot of time left.
-
He was trying to bunt for a hit, so that makes it a lot more forgivable. It's the straight sacrifice (where the corners get to crash in on) that are so bad.
-
Kuroda's pitch movement this year: http://pitchfx.texasleaguers.com/charts/gen/4931332011050120110516AAAAAgravity.png He's thrown the sinker 44% of the time, slider 20%. Sick: http://pitchfx.texasleaguers.com/pitcher/493133/
-
I was wondering the same thing. Kuroda's sinker (I think) really breaks in late on righties. Either those outside pitches are fooling the ump or pitch f/x is not calibrates correctly. Kind of makes it impossible on Brewer batters, either way.
-
Honestly, I don't know if he is. 4.17 ERA last year, 4.4 ERA this year so far. What exactly were you expecting? He'll probably be overpayed next year but he's earned his money so far.
-
He was way early but it was gone by about 10 feet.
-
Walk the lefty and give up a blast. That sucks.
-
Soooo damn close.
-
Fielder pulls a Gomez and uses his speed to stay out of the double play. Come on Casey.... make em pay.
-
I agree that Lucroy is better but one batting position probably won't make much difference. Dropping Gomez SIX spots will. It's a shame that RR was the last person to realize the folly of Gomez batting 2nd but better late than never, that's for sure. Time to move on.
-
I forgot that before moving on to the Pirates, Dan Fox worked for Baseball Prospectus and gave them some pretty nice base running metrics. Here are some articles describing how they work: Running the Bases: Part 1Running the Bases: Part 2Running the Bases: Part 3 There's an article up at BP about the RR's base running philosophy and how well it's faired so far: "... (You) can see that Runnin' Ron's team isn't off to a great start. The Brewers are in the bottom third of the majors and are 12th in the National League in making the most of their opportunities on the basepaths. Among National League Central teams, only the Cardinals rank below them." Article Link Looks like most of the problem has been with base advancement attempts on ground balls, with Gomez responsible for most of it (on 5 groundball base advancement opportunities?). There were a bunch of groundball outs at home early on. Was he involved in any of those? Over 6 weeks, I wouldn't really call this a predictive stats at all but it's certainly interesting to see how they've performed so far. It seems to be that the Brewers have already started to be more conservative on the base paths. Would others agree with that?
-
Just saw this: "He is doing so well in that eight spot and really helping our offense that I would hate to do that," manager Ron Roenicke said about possibly moving Lucroy to the second spot. Perhaps we should move Prince to #8 and really amp up the Brewer's run production! Gomez is destined to bat 8th. It's only a matter of how long it takes. It really does seem like Gomez has been trying to take more pitches this year, so I think batting him there would help him continue developing that approach.
-
After one of Lucroy's recent good games, RR was asked about moving him to 2B. He said something about how important the #8 batting position is and went on and on about what he SAW in Gomez in spring training. RR is just being stubborn at this point. And to point out why some don't get too excited about small samples (2 weeks)... Before last night, Gomez was hitting .243/.349/.459/.808 in 37 AB in May. After one bad game, in now sits at .220/.333/.415/.748 in 41 AB. Another bad game tonight and we'll be talking about his poor May.
-
99% of the problem is RR batting him 2B. If RR recognized the blatantly obvious and batted his defensive specialist 8th, I think fans could better appreciate his positives.Try to find the offensive positives in 8 LOB's for him tonight. 2 spot, 4 spot, 8 spot...it's pathetic anyway you slice it. I'm still searching for positives... Um, defense?