rluzinski
-
Posts
9,362 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Blogs
Events
Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis
2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings
Milwaukee Brewers Videos
2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors
Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources
2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project
2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by rluzinski
-
You said, "I wouldn't be surprised if..." That's just a silly pseudo-prediction that sports fans use to hedge their bet. If it doesn't happen, well they didn't necessarily think it wouldn't. But if it DOES happen, well they recognized it as a real possibility. It's just as easy for me to say that I wouldn't be shocked if a great pitcher could shut out the Brewer's offense. Well... why would I be? On that note, I totally wouldn't be surprised if the Brewers broke up the shut out in the 9th. Would you be shocked if they did?
-
Wish we weren't burning through the bullpen in a blowout... 7th inning, 2 outs... groundball just to the right of 2B.... Betancourt looked insanely slow. Is that just me seeing what I expect to see?
-
Hey, I wasn't sure what to call the CI! http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif I just assumed it as a neutral AB. In reality, it probably would have been 1-2, so according to this: http://i55.tinypic.com/x5tt7a.png ... .76 outs were stolen from Greinke.
-
One of those times in my life I'm not proud of being right. No way I would call it a good outing but I'm not sure that was exactly a "shelling". He had to get 14.65 outs in 4 IP and gave up 4 earned runs with 6 SO. Other than the HR, I was actually quite happy with the outing.
-
I wouldn't be surprised if something possible but not probable happens in this game.
-
Well, that was not a dribbler.
-
For the record I WOULD have been surprised if the Brewers had gotten no hit, but that's just me.
-
You expected the defense would suck and the Braves would dump a couple balls in for hits? I hope no one expected Greinke to strike out every batter but you really seem to be pressing your prediction a bit hard.I always have that expectation. The point is, that has nothing to do with Greinke's performance nor your Nostradamus prediction that he would struggle.
-
You expected the defense would suck and the Braves would dump a couple balls in for hits? I hope no one expected Greinke to strike out every batter but you really seem to be pressing your prediction a bit hard.
-
That and Greinke had to get 4.5 outs.
-
That drop off is insane.
-
Ok, I'm waving the white flag on this one. Wake me up in about an hour.
-
Ok, who had thoughts of Gomez trying to stretch that to a triple, down by 15?
-
The Brewers are huge favorites, so use that intuition and put your money where you mouth is. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif
-
Seriously? We're hovering around .500 while our best SP has been out all year, our second best SP has an ERA over 6, our all-star RFer is just now getting up to speed and we've (hopefully) got a very good #2 hitter back in the lineup regularly. If your on the ledge with this team on May 4th you may as well jump because you won't be making it til September Agree with the OP. When you "Ace" has an ERA over 6 and there is little to no production other than Braun and Price there is cause for concern. Pair that with the fact that it is basically World Series or bust this year, and you can see why some members of this board think they are under achieving. Yes it is early and yes we have some player coming back, but I see what the OP is saying. Did anyone hope we would be "hovering around .500" at this point when the season began? Anyone who thinks it's World Series or bust is probably not going to derive much pleasure from this season. And lots of people said they would be happy with .500 until everyone came back. I was certainly one of them.
-
"I still feel good about Carlos. When I don't know guys that well, I look hard at them. I saw things in spring training with him that I didn't see when he was in Minnesota. I still feel, and Dale (Sveum) feels, that it's still there. I saw it too long, pretty much the whole month of spring training games. It's there." There you go, guys. That's why RR he's been batting a guy with a career OBP of .292 before two of the best hitters in the league. He SAW something, and for a WHOLE month! ("pretty much") I can't wait to see what his gut tells him to do next.
-
There's a huge difference in pay too.And I would say about 50% of Brewer nation thought he was worth it at the time of the signing. I would suspect that they were less apt to complain about him later in his Brewer career. ----- Continued here: viewtopic.php?f=63&t=30540
-
They say every team wins 60 games and loses 60 games...
rluzinski replied to BuckyBrewer61's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
If you suck no more than everyone else, over a large sample the games you lose by sucking should be offset by games when you opponents suck. I believe he was referring to "The Gamblers Fallacy". Going forward, we would expect the luck portion of winning or losing to even out over enough games (lots!). What has already happened THIS season does not enter in that equation, though. The Brewers are not "due". And when we are talking about luck, we aren't talking about skill in any way. A huge part of luck in baseball is just the order that batting events occur: Double, walk, walk, out, out, out = zero runs Walk, walk, out, out, double, out = 1 or 2 runs Yes, there is SOME skill involved in that but there is also a lot of luck. Ground balls finding holes at particular moments is a hugeeee part of the luck factor of baseball. -
I agree. No way it happens. It took the Brewers forever to make that move with a much worse pitcher in Jeff Suppan. There's no way it happens with Gallardo.They did it twice with Suppan. No one suggested that it was unprecedented. But bringing up Suppan is probably better anecdotal evidence for why Yo WON'T be sent down. Suppan was a much worse pitcher and STILL had to perform poorly for a very long time. good pitchers don't go long stretches like this without reason Well, of course some do. the real question is how unlikely it is.
-
They say every team wins 60 games and loses 60 games...
rluzinski replied to BuckyBrewer61's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
How the Brewers have won or lost is pretty much irrelevant with regard to making the playoffs. They are 2 games under .500, so they have a lot of work to do to make the playoffs. That's what concerns me. -
I would call it a selected sample of 26 innings. I appreciate that people are worried. I appreciate that people have adjusted their expectations for Gallardo this year. I am right there with you guys. I just don't appreciate how any veteran baseball fan would even suggest Gallardo being taken out of the rotation for Marco Estrada.
-
The Brewers are going to make up an injury so they can take Gallardo out of the rotation in favor of Estrada? Put me in the surprised camp if that happens.
-
The preseason ZiPS ERA projection for Gallardo was a 3.49 ERA. That is the 17th best projected ERA for NL pitchers who are projected to go at least 150 inning this year. I think that's more in the excellent #2 territory. I certainyl wouldn't expect the average NL team to have 3 sub 3.8 ERA SP. Here are the top NL pitchers and their ERA projection: Lincecum: 2.75Wainwright: 2.85J. Johnson: 2.87Kershaw: 3.02Cliff Lee: 3.03Halladay: 3.03Jimenez: 3.06Hanson: 3.10Greinke: 3.23
-
we can all agree that he isnt as horribly bad as was billed to be. I would say he is an average SS You simply can't come up with an accurate estimate of a player's talent from watching him for a month (defense especially). With regard to what I've seen. He's handled balls to him just fine and his arm has been good so far. He just looks slow. How slow? After a month of play, hard for me to say.
-
Nice explanation.I am not saying it was a smart decision I am just saying if the ump doesn't blow the call he would of been safe. Dumb decision? yes but he was safe.Right... which is why your reply to my post made no sense.