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thablingster

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Everything posted by thablingster

  1. It is so sad when statisticans, Cubs fans, and Brewers fans all agree that Yost's moves last night were downright awful.
  2. It is pretty funny that even Cubs fans are scratching their heads at Ned's moves. *sigh*
  3. Disregarding Yost and all of his inadequacies, I love this team. We've shown so much heart, passion, and desire this year. These guys deserve to win. They deserve to be put in good positions to win. They deserve to hear a stadium full of rowdy fans cheering them on. Fielder, Braun, Hart, Hardy, Weeks, Gallardo, etc. I am glad the future is here. I am glad it is living up to what everyone said it would be.
  4. Yeah, those textbook prices will hurt your wallet, and at this point in the semester unless you're buying online you're pretty much stuck buying new books. Always catch the bus before the one that would get you to campus just on time, you never know when the bus will do something stupid or be really full and make you late.
  5. I'm not demanding perfection with the bullpen, if I were any one or two run loss would be unacceptable, which just isn't the case. I was mostly thinking of all the 3+ run lead games we've blown via the bullpen and remembering the several times people here have said that statistically any pitcher should be able to be trusted with a 3 or 4 run lead for one inning. I also remember several times where we've lost a game that we had (at some point in the game) a 95-99 percent chance of winning according to those win probability charts people tend to post from time to time. I realize that every bullpen gives up one or two runs now and again and has really bad outings as well in which games can be won or lost, but as far as the question all I was doing was answering the question. As far as your Yost points, you're right a lot of the moves a manager could make don't have huge percentage swings associated with them, but as you also said there would be between a 6 and 8 percent chance (which is significant) that if either Jenkins or Counsell batted that player would have had more success than Mench (I only cite that because that's the only scenario you broke down statistically). To me, one thing I'd like the manager to do more often than not is to play the matchup which gives his team the best chance to win. In the Mench example, Mench is the guy who least gives us the best chance to win according to the statistics. Obviously there is still well over a 70% chance that whoever batted would have failed, but at that point in the game I'd take the higher chance of success over the lower chance almost always. And having cited what I'd like to see from a manager, it only makes sense that in the examples I cited, Ned did not play the matchup which would give us the best chance to win. In some ways I have appreciated Ned's ability to motivate players who aren't as good or don't have as many physical tools as other players, but at the same time if we do have players who are better than those players statistically and give us a better chance to win, I'd like to see them playing when appropriate more often than not. That's not to say Ned never plays the percentages to give us the best chance to win, because he does. It just would appear he tends to deviate from that slightly more than most coaches do, and because we're in a pennant race those moves are magnified instead of glossed ever as learning opportunities for the players involved.
  6. Should Yovanni Gallardo, arguably the future of the franchise in the rotation, have been extended beyond his prescribed innings limit? Yes. If we don't make the post-season he probably will be only extended past his limit by at most ~20 innings, which may not be as significant as Yo tends to have many low-stress innings as compared to his high-stress innings. Should we have given up Will Inman, Steve Garrison and Joe Thatcher for Scott Linebrink? If we keep him past this season, yes. If not, no. Did not bringing up Ryan Braun at the start of the season have any impact on this team? I don't think it harmed the team all that much. Counselnino was a black hole offensively, but that infield defense would have been horrendous had Braun been up early in the year. Has Ned Yost cost this team a playoff spot with his moves? Yes. See Greg Aquino x 2. Kevin Mench vs. Ryan Dempster. Grant Balfour and Chris Spurling in high leverage situations. There are so many more I could mention but won't. Were the Brewers smart to keep Ben Sheets despite his propensity to miss games, which well may have proven crucial in this race, or were the games he actually pitched in too valuable to give up? Yes. Sheets is a #1 when completely healthy, which may not be a lot, but considering the collapse of Capuano and had we not signed Suppan, we wouldn't even have sniffed the playoff chase in the weak NL Central without Sheets. How many games has the bullpen cost this team? Probably between 5 to 10. Wow, that's sad.
  7. Coaching is no fun, whenever you get that "coach" label put on you, they never want to give you a chance to get on the field, even if you have more tools than the guy they just signed to play.
  8. Sorry to hear you got released. I've been a minor league free agent for a while now.
  9. We face Adam Wainwright, too, FWIW.
  10. I know Gorzelanny will be out for revenge today after his performance this past week against us, but lets leave him feeling empty and Menched. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif
  11. I was on my way to a linguistics class at UWM in the morning and I happened to tune into Bob and Brian and was horrendously confused when they weren't laughing and sounded all serious. Once I got to class we spent more time talking about what was going on than we did actually doing linguistics. I remember my other classes were canceled and the mall I worked on closed so I didn't have to work that day.
  12. Not a good start, 'crew. Get it done tonight though! This is the first time I've been around to post in an IGT since Friday, lol.
  13. I tried ranch with southwest on my roast chicken on Friday, it was pretty good. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif
  14. Picture in picture. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif Well, most likely I'll be on the computer tracking the progress of my fantasy players, so the 'crew will be on TV and I can check the Packers score online and Tivo the game so I can watch it later.
  15. I figured this belonged in here considering who we are facing tomorrow. http://images.tsn.ca/images/stories/20060502/valentin_59616.jpg
  16. I usually get a toasted footlong roast chicken on herb and cheese with american cheese, lettuce, onion, green pepper, cucumber, tomatoes, mayo, and salt and pepper. Recently I've been getting a toasted footlong subway melt on herb and cheese with pretty much the same toppings, although sometimes I get the shredded cheese instead of the american and ranch instead of mayo.
  17. That's too bad. I will watch on telemundo and brush up on my Spanish if I have to http://static.yuku.com//domainskins/bypass/img/smileys/laugh.gif. Their feed kind of sucks, but it is better than nothing!
  18. http://img411.imageshack.us/img411/7807/97igtoj2.gif TV: FSN Radio: WTMJ 620 & affiliates Other NL Central Action: Cubs (Hill) vs. Pirates (Gorzelanny) Astros (Rodriguez) vs. Mets (Pelfrey) Cardinals (Wainwright) vs. Diamondbacks (Webb) The march to the playoffs begins today! We only have to be better than the Cubs and Cardinals for 23 games.
  19. Grady Little pulled a Yost moment and they're ripping him for it (Little started the inning down 2 with a rookie September call up and now the score is 8-2 Cubs thanks to the rookie and Roberto Hernandez).
  20. I hadn't thought about updating it weekly, although I suppose it wouldn't be that hard to do if it is warranted (I really hope it isn't, lol).
  21. I think possibly the "sometimes they don't" thing means that King probably was expecting to be traded to another contender before the August 31st deadline, but him being able to come back to help the Brewers make their playoff run is the reason for him not being traded to a different team. So "sometimes they don't" could be "I didn't get traded (things don't happen for a reason), but now I get to help Milwaukee win (which is good?)"
  22. http://img462.imageshack.us/img462/4983/95igtpn4.gif TV: FSN Radio: WTMJ 620 & affiliates Other NL Central Action: Mets (Maine) vs. Reds (Shearn), 11:35am CT Dodgers (Stults) vs. Cubs (Lilly), 7:05pm CT (ESPN) Pirates (Armas) vs. Cardinals (Mulder), 7:10pm CT And just because it amused so many people in the 9/4 IGT--and Ned was 3 for 3 in bullpen moves with it in the IGT--I'll bring it back for 9/5. http://img130.imageshack.us/img130/3766/basmy0.gif Stetter & King are currently excluded. I realize I'm jumping the gun with posting this thread, but as always delete if Woogie can make it. I just like to chip in when I can. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif Get this W Brewers! That way the Cubs have to win today and tomorrow to avoid being tied for first. http://static.yuku.com//domainskins/bypass/img/smileys/devil.gif
  23. http://espndeportes-akamai.espn.go.com/2003/photos2005/1103/g_carlos_villanueva_332x170.jpg
  24. No problem. The more stat searching I do, the more useful I find them to be, lol. I don't think most anyone will mind too much but I excluded Stetter because of his minimal MLB experience.
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