I'm not all that surprised -- that rotation might actually be one of the best in the division with Kazmir-Shields-Garza at the top, and they have a lot of good young hitters (even if they did trade away Delmon Young). Their success will probably come down to their bullpen, as it has the past couple years. The story of the Rays franchise has been something like "Kazmir strikes out 13 in 6 innings with 120 pitches, leaves the game with a 1-run lead, bullpen gives up 6 runs, Rays lose." They've gone to great lengths to attempt to improve that bullpen...I wouldn't be surprised to see them put up the first winning season in franchise history. Outside of Boston/New York, it looks like it'll be a down year for the AL East with Baltimore playing for draft position and Toronto just hanging around the .500 mark with some injury questions. What I find interesting is the Mariners' projection for last place in the AL West -- I don't know if these projections were made pre-Bedard trade or not, but I've heard a lot of people saying the Mariners will push the Angels for the AL West crown. That's not something I really bought, though, since they had some pretty big offensive issues last year and didn't do their offense any favors this year by trading away Adam Jones. I thought it was really interesting that the Mariners and the Giants are the only two teams with projected SLG's under .400. As for the Brewers, I'd take a 4-game improvement over last year if it meant a wildcard berth. Finishing 2 games behind the division leader again would be a tough pill to swallow, but like everyone else has said, a 2-game swing isn't all that much and could be decided by any number of things. Things could be worse -- the Brewers could be projected 10 games behind the division leader like the Braves are behind the Mets (I realize that Santana in the NL projects to some crazy numbers, but the rest of their rotation is kind of iffy and they're coming off the biggest chokejob in the history of the league).