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crewcrazy

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Everything posted by crewcrazy

  1. crewcrazy
    Considering the state of the farm system, I'd be hesitant to give up that second round pick. They need an infusion of big-time talent, and this is regarded as one of the deepest drafts in years. They should still be able to get a player with a pretty good ceiling with that second round pick. The only way I'd feel comfortable with forfeiting that pick is if the team somehow gets a sandwich pick for Trevor Hoffman, but I doubt he signs before Pavano does.
  2. crewcrazy
    By no means does this ensure that the Phillies are going to win the World Series. It took those Braves teams with Maddux, Glavine, Smoltz, and Avery a few seasons before they were able to finally win one, and they weren't working with a staff almost entirely in their low to mid 30s. Hamels will be the only guy of the four under 32 years old. They'll be a great regular season team, but the playoffs are still a crapshoot.
  3. crewcrazy
    The talent is there in corner IF/OF types, which the Royals already have plenty of. The talent isn't there up the middle, at least from a quality standpoint. I suppose Melvin could throw a bunch of players at the Royals and see if they bite, but comparing the names the Brewers could offer to the other names that have been brought up, and the Brewers just don't have what it would take (and they wouldn't have had enough with Lawrie, before someone goes there).
  4. crewcrazy
    I would say Counsell is a special case, given his local ties and his role. If he wasn't a "local product" and was more than a utility infielder, I think they would be pressing him a bit more. If he waits awhile longer and ends up not signing, it won't be too hard to get someone else to fill his spot. They could even make the PTBNL for Villanueva his replacement if they really wanted to.
  5. crewcrazy
    Really? Good god. If Brett Lawrie is truly worth Shaun Marcum Zack Greinke must be Bob Gibson. He's really good but he's not THAT good.I guess we'll never really know for sure - but I don't think there's any way we'd have to give up that much. That's ridiculous. Two of our better prospects and a not-so-great one would get this trade done, I think.The only reason I'm saying something like that wouldn't do it is because the people associated with the Royals are saying the Brewers flat-out don't have what it takes to get a deal done. When they're asking for Snider and Drabek from Toronto (and the Jays are rightfully balking), I don't think the Brewers can compete.
  6. crewcrazy
    As cool as it is to keep hearing the Brewers being brought up in the Greinke rumors, I'm not sure I'd like it if they actually did pull off a trade, or even if the Brewers have the pieces to swing a deal without getting another team involved. The best deal for KC I could think of is Odorizzi, Scarpetta, Jeffress, and Cain for Greinke, but that's probably not enough. Odorizzi and Scarpetta would give the Royals the two pitching prospects they're looking for, Jeffress could get a prolonged shot as a starter in a place like KC, and Cain gives them a major-league ready bat. The quantity would be there, but I'm not sure the quality would be good enough for them (and I'd be sick to my stomach from the Brewers' perspective).
  7. crewcrazy
    It's amazing just how low GMs seem to be valuing Hardy, especially in the AL where there aren't that many good hitting shortstops. It makes me feel better about getting Gomez for him if all Minnesota got was a couple of "just a guy" low level relievers. It's possible Baltimore could flip him at the deadline if he starts hot, but it is a position of need for them.
  8. crewcrazy
    I asked Tom Haudricourt (via Twitter) if we could expect an announcement on the PTBNL sometime soon now that the Rule 5 draft is taken care of, and he replied back saying they were just told that the PTBNL probably won't happen anytime soon, and that it "sounds like no big deal."
  9. crewcrazy
    In terms of WAR, there isn't very much difference between the two. Using FanGraphs' version of WAR, Pavano was at 3.7 in 2009 and 3.2 last year. Garza was at 3.2 WAR in 2009 and 1.8 last year (hurt by the 4.42 FIP he had). It's probably fair to say that they're both 3 WAR pitchers.
  10. crewcrazy
    The Rays will be fine. They still have a very solid team, and could still push for 90 wins with that pitching IMO. Crawford's a nice player, but this was a pretty unnecessary signing for the Red Sox.
  11. crewcrazy
    I could see why some wouldn't see it as an automatic bad signing -- for the most part, he pitched the same way in 2010 that he did in 2009, and over the course of his career he's been a lock for 3 WAR as long as he's been healthy. My concern would be the fact that he turns 35 in January and relies so much on the defense to make him look good. If the Brewers don't make any moves to improve their defense (and so far it doesn't look like they will), I would have an uneasy feeling about the signing. As far as a #4 pitcher goes, he'd be an upgrade for 2011, but the contract demands are the most worrisome part of this. I suppose I could live with two years with an option for a third, but I don't think that gets him away from Minnesota. All reports seem to say that he's looking for the 3/33 deal Ted Lilly got to stay with the Dodgers.
  12. crewcrazy
    The Rangers were also being brought up yesterday, with the rumors saying Garza is their Plan B if they can't land Lee or Greinke. If the Brewers are in on Garza, I wouldn't expect anything to happen soon. Tampa would be wise to let the market shake out and see how desperate teams like the Rangers (and others that lost out on Lee and Greinke) get. The more time that passes, the higher the asking price probably gets.
  13. crewcrazy
    Baltimore's probably not a fit. Adam Jones and Nick Markakis are locked into CF and RF, respectively, and they seem to like Felix Pie and Nolan Reimold. They probably need bats at the corner infield spots more than anything, which is why people keep bringing up Prince Fielder there.
  14. crewcrazy
    This is a pretty solid deal for the Cubs, unfortunately. 2010 was a down year, but his BABIP was only .222, and it's a one-year "prove it" deal. Defensively, he's not a total butcher, and he's still a very patient hitter at the plate. They'll have plenty of pop in that lineup if Ramirez can get back to being 100% healthy.
  15. crewcrazy
    McCalvy's tweet that the team will continue looking at catching options makes it sound like there will be competition for the backup job this spring, and that they're not done when it comes to the catching situation. Like others have said, there's nothing wrong with bringing him in for well under a million. It's not like this is a multi-year deal...I'm not entirely sure he'll even make it through camp, so it's hard to get too worked up about this. Of course, it could be argued that he could've been offered an MiLC with an NRI, but the team still has room on the 40-man and it's not a ton of money for the club to eat if it doesn't work out.
  16. crewcrazy
    He's a very nice player, but he absolutely cannot hit left-handers. That would worry me if my team was thinking about throwing $20 million a year at him. Like Torii Hunter, he's a nice complementary player that will be paid like a superstar. It's interesting that a lot of people think they'll end up being teammates next year.
  17. crewcrazy
    I could see the Brewers doing that, actually, to break up Wolf and Narveson in the rotation. There's a difference (albeit a small one) between being in the #3 slot and being the #3 pitcher, IMO. Edit: Looks like logan beat me by a few seconds.
  18. crewcrazy
    Something I thought was weird: I can't access the home page directly or by going in through Google, but if I Google the Power 50 and click on the link, I can get to that page without a problem.
  19. crewcrazy
    There's quite a gap between Lawrie partying like a lot of 20 year olds do (I won't say most or all, but a lot) and where Josh Hamilton wound up. I'd say it's unfair to say Brett's headed down that path based on a few photos. I will say, though, that it's not very bright of him to put them up and not have some pretty strict privacy settings turned on. It's probably not even very smart to put them up on Facebook at all, but that's more of a problem with people in my generation than it is just him. The complete and utter lack of Internet Common Sense is probably something better left for the off-topic forum, though. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif
  20. crewcrazy
    That should be an interesting conversation, to say the least. Can't we get him to talk to Lyle Overbay about what he remembers instead?
  21. crewcrazy
    Haudricourt doesn't think this makes sense, either, which the cynic in me would say means it's a really bad offer. He thinks Loney and Billingsley would make more sense, and I would agree...I just don't think LA would (or should) do that deal. But it is Ned Colletti. Edit: And Haudricourt tweets that none of this is true.
  22. crewcrazy
    I don't know if Cain plus a pitching prospect would be enough to get Garza. I think James Shields is more likely to be moved if we're talking about Tampa pitchers being moved to make room for Hellickson. On the surface his numbers were ugly in 2010, but was unlucky with his BABIP (about 35 points higher than his career average) and HR rate. His career numbers have been very solid, though, and his Bill James projections have him at a 4.06 ERA/3.93 FIP in 203 IP next season. James projections tend to be a bit optimistic, but that'd be a pretty solid return for a guy like Cain. Contract-wise, he's under a long-term deal through 2014, with buyouts possible in each of the last three seasons.
  23. crewcrazy
    People are free to dislike Marcum if they wish, but I don't quite understand the "he doesn't have good enough stuff" argument. There's certainly nothing wrong with his strikeout and walk numbers compared to some other names that are constantly brought up: Shaun Marcum 2010: 7.60 K/9, 1.98 BB/9 Career: 7.28 K/9, 2.80 BB/9 Zack Greinke: 2010: 7.40 K/9, 2.25 BB/9 Career: 7.56 K/9, 2.25 BB/9 Matt Garza 2010: 6.60 K/9, 2.77 BB/9 Career: 7.10 K/9, 3.18 BB/9 I think this also says a bit about just how much not having a real position affects Lawrie's value, and that's before you even get into the character issues. Jim Callis of Baseball America seems to think it's fair, and they've been fairly complimentary of Lawrie in terms of where they've ranked him.
  24. crewcrazy
    Just because Marcum doesn't throw 95 doesn't mean he's not a very good pitcher. His changeup was one of the best in the game in 2010, and his slider was also above average. His cutter's been very good in the past, too.
  25. crewcrazy
    It would stink to give up Lawrie, but since he got Marcum, if Doug Melvin still wants to trade Prince Fielder, he could focus on getting prospects to replace Lawrie instead of accepting a lesser deal just for pitching. It also might make sense considering Lawrie has yet to find a position he's good at...at least Toronto would have the ability to DH him if they can't get him to stick anywhere else.
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