pebadger
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Everything posted by pebadger
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Maybe because people who are talented and competitive enough to make it to MLB just aren't wired to lose on purpose.
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I don't know why they're waiting, but they are. They showed them watching the game in the visitor's clubhouse and just had an interview with LaRussa.
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At some point doesn't St Louis just need to head home? I mean, how long would YOU wait in Houston?
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At this point, I'm rooting for JJ Hardy to walk-off Boston in about 2 hours.
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I do have to say that the "roar" in Tampa was somewhat underwhelming.
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HOly Cow! HR in Tampa!
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Here comes Tampa . . .
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Yup. I would never have thought it a possibility, but the management needs to give this a good bit of thought.
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Extras in Atlanta. A city yawns.
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Looks from Weather Channel radar that rain should move out of Baltimore and they'll finish tonight.
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Tough break for Atlanta that Kimbrel's random variation worked against them tonight.
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Kimbrel walking a fine line . . . . and now they're loaded. Don't care what happens, but it would be fitting to just put a finish to the Braves after their nosedive.
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I'm guessing we're going to see a lot of JHJ and very little of CM in the playoffs.
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That could just mean that the team with the better #1 pitcher tends to win and also that teams that limp into the playoffs (e.g. Brewers 2008) tend to lose. I think that's right, and I think the 13-13 record of teams that hold the home field advantage tends to back that up. It's pretty amazing that half the time these series never get to Game 4 and only 4 times have they gotten to Game 5 (NLDS only).
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My numbers were off a bit. It's 23 of 26 since the change to the seeded home-format. And the home field holder is 13-13 in NLDS in that span. So, it seems to me that the best answer is to have your best guy ready for Game 1 (and the next for Game 2) and not worry about home field if there is a conflict between the two in terms of setting up the rotation.
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The winner of Game 1 has won 21 of the 24 NLDS played since the changed to the seeded-home format. Seems to me that's a pretty good argument to put your best guy out there for Game 1. Who that is is open to debate. I'd go with Yo right now based on all the available evidence (empirical and otherwise).
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The Magical Magic Number is… (part 2)
pebadger replied to liveforoctober's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
If the Brewers lose a home series to a team they have dominated for years, with Zach Greinke on the mound and with no result mattering other than the result they make for themselves, I'd say they don't deserve home field advantage. The NLDS has been played for 16 years. Since 1998, when the format was tweaked so that the higher seed had home-field advantage, the team with the home field has an 11-13 record in NLDS. In half of those 32 series, the loser has been swept. Seven of those 16 sweeps have been by the team without home field advantage. In all those 32 series, we've only seen a total of 4 Game 5's (all in a span from 2001 to 2004). All of the Game 5s have come in the seeded format and 3 of the 4 Game 5s have been lost by the home team. In light of these historical facts, maybe it's way more important how you play than where you play. It would be great to get home field advantage in this round for the fans. I tend to think it would be better for the team as well, but frankly, nobody really knows. In the end, if the Brewers want it, they can go out and get it without worrying about anybody else. The question is, given the historical experience in the NLDS era, is it really worth getting too excited about one way or the other? -
Even when the Brewers win? My God people, enjoy the ride. Everything the Brewers can still accomplish is squarely in their own hands.
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None of this matters. Just win, Brewers.
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http://www.fangraphs.com/lgraphs/20110927_Dodgers_Diamondbacks_0_2011092802919_lbig_.png
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All you can do is laugh.
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Shocking that the Yanks get the primetime slot.
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I think they talked to the players and asked them what they felt comfortable with. Greinke wants to throw. Guessing Yo didn't feel he needed to. He threw a couple of simulated innings and he's ready to roll.
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95 wins. Image how much we'd love this team if we didn't hate 25% of the everyday position players, the entire bench and the manager.
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Yo and Greinke's numbers are close enough that I go with Yo first any chance I get. I go with Yo in Game 7 over Greinke given the choice, too. I just trust Yo in a big game more than I do Greinke.