This is probably more about psychology than baseball but it's interesting to me anyway. At the risk of jinxing this (which I don't really believe in but giving the disclaimer to be inclusive to people of that faith) . . . It seems like people are concerned about who the Brewers face in the NLDS. Frankly I don't care. It would be preferable if they had home-field for Game 5 which, in practice this season means they wouldn't face the Phillies, but I think most reasonable folks would have that preference regardless of the potential opponents. I guess my question is: Why should it matter? I understand that some folks like the idea of "going farther" in the playoffs and for that reason would like a "favorable" first round matchup so as to have a better chance at making the NLCS. For me the goal is simple: watch the Brewers win the World Series. Anything short of that just means they lost at some point. I don't see that it matters where they lose when they lose. They lost. You can take some consolation in your team playing well, especially if they lose to a great team that is just better than them, but they still lost. I can appreciate that there is some utility to the fan in the Brewers simply getting to the NLCS: we get to watch at least 4 more games. But would it make anyone any happier if the Brewers beat the Braves 3-1 only to get beat by the D-Backs in 5 or 6 games? To me they still got beat. If we change the hypothetical a bit, why should it make any difference if they beat the Braves and then lose to the Phils? Short of the Brewers winning it all is the payoff to the fan that much greater just getting to see a few more games over the span of a few more days? I understand that this answer varies greatly from person to person and there isn't a "right answer". In any event, for those who like the numbers, isn't the Brewers best chance of beating the Phils a 5-game series? Assuming that's correct (and maybe it's not), and assuming the Brewers will have a better chance in a 7-game series against any other opponent than they would against the Phils, isn't it better to just beat the Phils right away and get it over with, from a probability standpoint?