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About this blog

Ramblings, often with stats, often about the minor leagues

Entries in this blog

Minor leagues

What Statistics Perhaps CAN Tell Us About DSL Pitchers

It is almost impossible to tell how good of a prospect a Dominican Summer League pitcher is by stats alone. Stuff is king, and great DSL ERAs don’t always equal great stuff. So why am I, who focuses almost entirely on statistics, writing about DSL pitchers? Because while statistics can’t tell you a DSL pitcher’s ultimate upside, two stats in particular can tell us something else interesting – which pitchers are most likely to be brought stateside, survive the pitching nightmare that is
CheeseheadInQC

CheeseheadInQC in Minor leagues

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Minor leagues

This is not normal ... but is it the new normal?

Author's note: Because of ease of sorting for the various categories, I used Baseball Reference for team ages and Fangraphs for age season the individual players were in. Also, 2006 is used as a cutoff date for some of the items because that is how far back Fangraphs’ database goes. It is no secret that this year’s Carolina Mudcats squad has been young, filled with teens who came through the DSL pipeline — the kind of roster where, especially on offense, guys who can legally drink are the e
CheeseheadInQC

CheeseheadInQC in Minor leagues

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Minor leagues

The Intriguing Brewers Minor League Logjam No One is Talking About

When you hear the word logjam in regards to the Milwaukee Brewers these days you typically think of one thing: the outfield in the majors and at triple-A. And for good reason. You've got a punch of recently graduated top prospects, a former MVP, a couple of useful reserves, and, oh yah, one of the top prospects in baseball. The logjam I'm going to talk about, though, isn't at the big league level or even close to it. And it (likely) doesn't involve any of the system's "name" prospects. How
CheeseheadInQC

CheeseheadInQC in Minor leagues

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Minor leagues

The Carolina number that matters most

There is one number that stands out above all others for this year’s Carolina Mudcats. It isn’t their 6-4 record or their 5.21 ERA. It isn’t Eduardo Garcia’s OPS checking in at .969 thus far or Hedbert Perez’ being at .510. It isn’t Jeferson Quero’s .344 batting average or Hendry Mendez’s 25% walk rate. It isn’t Israel Puello’s 6:1 strikeout to walk rate or the fact that 11 members of the roster are still to young to legally drink. No. the most important number regarding the Mudcats is
CheeseheadInQC

CheeseheadInQC in Minor leagues

3
Minor leagues

Mission Accomplished... So Far

Several years ago, the Brewers made a change in organizational philosophy to place greater emphasis on a prospect's hit tool when it came to scouting for the draft or international signing class. Statistically at least, the results have paid off. Led by the now-injured Juan Baez, the Carolina Mudcats have struck out the fewest times in all of low-A. Not just the Carolina League, but all of low-A. That is impressive, but nothing compared to what the Wisconsin Timber Rattlers have d
Minor leagues

Minor League stats to watch

With pitchers and catchers reporting, I thought I would celebrate by delving into one of my favorite topics, a random assemblage of minor league statistics. There were a lot to choose from, ranging from Darrien Miller's caught stealing percentage to a bunch of guys' strikeout rates, but here are three others to keep your eye on. 1. Ground ball rate, Jadher Areinamo If you were to construct batted ball stats for a hitter without a ton of power, there is a decent chance that they would l
CheeseheadInQC

CheeseheadInQC in Minor leagues

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Minor leagues

Injuries, Inconsistency and Asterisks: The Road from the DSL for Brewers Pitching Prospects

There are plenty of stories from the Brewers' 2023 minor league season of players stepping up and loudly announcing themselves as prospects to watch. This is not one of those stories. This is a story of entire seasons lost to injury, of struggles at a new level. It is a story where even most of the successes come with an asterisk. It is also one, though, that comes with a reminder that just because results might not be particularly hopeful doesn't necessarily mean they are hopeless.
CheeseheadInQC

CheeseheadInQC in Minor leagues

1
Minor leagues

In search of pitching breakouts

From the time that this site got me mildly obsessed with following the Brewers’ farm system, I have been fascinated with trying to predict breakout seasons. Specifically, pitching breakouts. Sometimes, like Max Lazar, Zack Brown, Evan Reifert and to some extent Bowden Francis, the breakouts happen. Other times … well … I thought Conor Harber and Karsen Lindell were intriguing breakout candidates right up to the point where I saw the notices that they’d been released. I also think
CheeseheadInQC

CheeseheadInQC in Minor leagues

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Minor leagues

Do The Brewers Actually Have the Best Teenage Prospect Group in Baseball? Part 1

A while back, one of the posters made a simple statement in the forums: The Brewers must have the top group of teenage prospects in baseball. I thought, well, that sounds likely given the number and quality of teen prospects the Brewers have. It’s tough to know for sure, though, if you don’t look at all the other systems. So that is how I started this monstrosity. I’m breaking it up into three parts. The first, this one, will focus on the American League. The second will focus on the N
CheeseheadInQC

CheeseheadInQC in Minor leagues

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Minor leagues

A Dose of Perspective Ahead of International Signing Day

Almost four years ago, Major League Baseball teams embarked on the opening of the annual international signing period. Thanks to the COVID-19 pandemic, it had been more than 18 months since the opening of the previous signing period, but finally the top Latin American prospects could sign on the dotted line. Since that day in 2021, the Brewers have witnessed the rise of a potentially franchise-altering star. The results for the other 29 players who made MLB Pipeline’s top 30 international p
CheeseheadInQC

CheeseheadInQC in Minor leagues

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Minor leagues

2023 Retrospective - Stats to Watch and Sleepers

I thought I'd use a couple of items I wrote before the season to look at some of the things that did (or did not) go right in 2023. Statistics to Watch Ground Ball Rate - Jadher Areinamo When we left Jadher Areinamo at the end of the 2022 season, he was coming off a breakout campaign, finishing his age-18 season at low-A. It came with a caveat: once he got promoted to full season ball, his ground ball rate spiked and the doubles power that he had shown in Arizona abandoned him.
CheeseheadInQC

CheeseheadInQC in Minor leagues

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