Adam Lind acquired from Toronto for Marco Estrada

[jerichoholicninja]

Now lets see exactly what Estrada did in 2014:

 

4.36 ERA; 7.59 K/9; 2.63 BB/9; 1.73 HR/9; .257 BABIP; 74.6% LOB; 32.7% GB; 13.2% HR/FB

 

2015

3.13 ERA; 6.51 K/9; 2.73 BB/9; 1.19 HR/9; .216 BABIP; 79.2% LOB; 32.2% GB; 8.7% HR/FB

 

that home run rate drop has to be because of park dimensions... which after going to fangraphs you can see the comparison from 2014 hits that were homers to 2015 hits that were outs instead of homers the year before.

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/spraycharts.aspx?playerid=1118&position=P&type=battedball&pid2=1118&ss1=2014&se1=2014&ss2=2015&se2=2015&cht1=hittype&cht2=hittype&vs1=ALL&vs2=ALL

 

What I find most interesting from those charts in the number of infield outs in 2015 vs 2014. Maybe it was better defense in 2015 maybe it's just random variance but it looks like a lot more infield outs in 2015.

[MadScientist]

Now lets see exactly what Estrada did in 2014:

 

4.36 ERA; 7.59 K/9; 2.63 BB/9; 1.73 HR/9; .257 BABIP; 74.6% LOB; 32.7% GB; 13.2% HR/FB

 

2015

3.13 ERA; 6.51 K/9; 2.73 BB/9; 1.19 HR/9; .216 BABIP; 79.2% LOB; 32.2% GB; 8.7% HR/FB

 

that home run rate drop has to be because of park dimensions... which after going to fangraphs you can see the comparison from 2014 hits that were homers to 2015 hits that were outs instead of homers the year before.

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/spraycharts.aspx?playerid=1118&position=P&type=battedball&pid2=1118&ss1=2014&se1=2014&ss2=2015&se2=2015&cht1=hittype&cht2=hittype&vs1=ALL&vs2=ALL

 

What is really telling in that graph is that both home runs and doubles to left are down by quite a bit this year, but the same or higher to right. Either there is a significant asymmetry in the parks he plays in or he has done something to make him more effective against righties.

[MrTPlush]

Now lets see exactly what Estrada did in 2014:

 

4.36 ERA; 7.59 K/9; 2.63 BB/9; 1.73 HR/9; .257 BABIP; 74.6% LOB; 32.7% GB; 13.2% HR/FB

 

2015

3.13 ERA; 6.51 K/9; 2.73 BB/9; 1.19 HR/9; .216 BABIP; 79.2% LOB; 32.2% GB; 8.7% HR/FB

 

that home run rate drop has to be because of park dimensions... which after going to fangraphs you can see the comparison from 2014 hits that were homers to 2015 hits that were outs instead of homers the year before.

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/spraycharts.aspx?playerid=1118&position=P&type=battedball&pid2=1118&ss1=2014&se1=2014&ss2=2015&se2=2015&cht1=hittype&cht2=hittype&vs1=ALL&vs2=ALL

 

What I find most interesting from those charts in the number of infield outs in 2015 vs 2014. Maybe it was better defense in 2015 maybe it's just random variance but it looks like a lot more infield outs in 2015.

 

Brewers have horrible infield range...just awful. So I would expect such an increase of infield outs for Marco.

[CheezWizHed]

What is really telling in that graph is that both home runs and doubles to left are down by quite a bit this year, but the same or higher to right. Either there is a significant asymmetry in the parks he plays in or he has done something to make him more effective against righties.

 

Miller Park does have that short porch due to the picnic area in RF.

[MadScientist]

What is really telling in that graph is that both home runs and doubles to left are down by quite a bit this year, but the same or higher to right. Either there is a significant asymmetry in the parks he plays in or he has done something to make him more effective against righties.

 

Miller Park does have that short porch due to the picnic area in RF.

 

But home runs to RF were greater this year than last, but much less in LF this year than last. Possibly a Fenway and Yankee vs Wrigley and Great America difference, but looking at the splits on that graph, it seems RH batters were pulling the ball more last year than this.

[CheezWizHed]

Sorry, I misread your first statement.

[3and2Fastball]

Sometimes the "why" is just luck. Ground balls don't find holes, line drives find gloves, etc.

 

 

Sort of like when the Brewers over the years had Weeks at 2B, Betancourt at SS, Fielder at 1B. Braun for a year at 3B? That sort of luck?

[homer]

Sometimes the "why" is just luck. Ground balls don't find holes, line drives find gloves, etc.

 

 

Sort of like when the Brewers over the years had Weeks at 2B, Betancourt at SS, Fielder at 1B. Braun for a year at 3B? That sort of luck?

 

 

Well that's actually in addition to luck but yeah that makes a difference too.