Bauers to Red Sox 4/58M

[DR28]

23 minutes ago, Eye Black said:

Brewers about to acquire Triston Casas from the Red Sox and turn him into the next Jake Bauers.

Yes please! Casas is the odd man out here.

[JosephC]

Bauers annual fWAR-

2018 = 0.0

2019 = -0.8

2021 = -0.3

2023 = -0.3

2024 = 0.1

2025 = 0.8

2026 = 3.6

Career fWAR = 3.2

Now 31 years old.

Have to admit, looks like there is significantly more potential downside to this deal then potential upside.  Fangraphs put his 2026 value at 29.1 million, so they have 1 fWAR = 9.1 million.  With a 58 million dollar contract, that mean he will have to be worth 6.4 WAR over the next 4 years for this to be a break even for Boston.  Early projection services are projecting him at 2 WAR on average for 2027.  Again, 31 years old.  I'll take the under on that 6.4 WAR figure.