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    Brewers Make a Surprising 40-Man Addition Ahead of Rule 5 Deadline, and More Moves May Loom


    Matthew Trueblood

    In their initial round of moves on what could be a very busy Tuesday, the Brewers added one prospect everyone expected to their big-league roster—and one who had been considered very much in limbo.

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    The Milwaukee Brewers added both Logan Henderson and Chad Patrick to their 40-man roster Tuesday, shielding each from the Rule 5 Draft that takes place next month at the end of MLB's Winter Meetings. Henderson, one of the team's top pitching prospects, had been expected to join the reserve list, but the lesser-known Patrick is (perhaps) a mild surprise. He pitched well in Triple A last year, but the fact that the team never called him up amid ample need for pitching help late in the season led some to question whether they view him as a contributor at the highest level.

    They must, though, because Patrick (whom they got in a minor trade with Oakland last winter) might not have been selected in the Rule 5 anyway. By placing him on the 40-man, they affirmed their willingness to give him a valuable and scarce resource (that roster spot), a step they would not have taken if they didn't anticipate putting him on a big-league mound some time in 2025.

    Henderson, of course, is a different story. It was easy to see his selection coming. Earlier this fall, our community voted him the eighth-best prospect in a solid farm system. His low arm slot and hard, flat-VAA fastball are a great starting point, and his secondary stuff made solid progress in 2024. Had the Brewers not protected him, he would have been one of the first players snapped up. As it is, he now becomes a serious candidate to pitch for Milwaukee next season, too—although that would be unlikely to happen before roughly midseason.

    Perhaps most notably, these two additions leave two more vacant roster spots, with a handful of hours left before MLB's deadline for adding players to protect them from the Rule 5. The team could yet elect to protect, for instance, Coleman Crow (despite his discouraging turn in the Arizona Fall League, coming off Tommy John surgery) or Shane Smith. Failing that, and even more intriguingly, perhaps they'll look to scoop up a player or two the same way they did with Jake Bauers and Oliver Dunn last winter. It was this same week last November that they traded a quartet of far-off prospects for Bauers and Dunn, as the Yankees were prepared to non-tender Bauers and the Phillies were unwilling to add Dunn to their 40-man list.

    The team could merely keep those spots open to claim players who become available at other points in the winter or to sign free agents, of course, but the openings invite some speculation. While neither Bauers nor Dunn had quite the dream season some of their biggest boosters might have envisioned, each had moments in which they looked like strong pickups, and none of the minor-league talent dealt away feels like much of a loss a year on. Maybe Matt Arnold is interested in going back to the well with an acquisition strategy that served him well last November. Several other teams around the league face much tighter roster crunches than the Crew's, so opportunity is out there.

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    Brandon Sproat

    Milwaukee Brewers - MLB, RHP
    Sproat had a rough first appearance in a Brewers uniform (3 IP, 7 ER, 3 HR). On Thursday, he gave up one run on 4 hits and a walk over 6 2/3 innings. He struck out six Blue Jays batters.

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    Joseph Zarr
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    Put some respect on Mr. Patrick's name, please. My goodness. There is capital zero surprising about him getting selected. The first Triple Crown feat from the mound in the International League since 1976. International League pitcher of the year. Very clearly pitched his best baseball over his last month plus - ie got better and was his best in the deepest part of the season. Legitimate five-pitch mix. 26 years old. He follows suit after Gasser and Myers. If his pitches move and evolve like they did that past month more will be wondering how they didn't see it. His late season surge was very very much an equivalent to what we saw with Tobias Myers out of the Sounds bullpen late in 2023. Unlike Myers, however, Patrick pitched to fantastic end results nearly the entire season. This was a no brainer add. 

    • Like 5
    • Love 2

    Yeah, Patrick shouldn't be a surprise.  I'm pretty certain someone would've grabbed him for the 5th starter/Long BP role.  He is certainly ready to play at the MLB level, so I'm sure someone would've grabbed him.  I would assume he wasn't added to the 40 man last year is the same as Henderson's reason - they didn't have to.  Mid-Season, when we were having the major rotation struggles, he hadn't shown enough to jump over others (like Myers). 

    Crow would actually be a surprise add, IMO.  He is coming off an injury and hasn't pitched above AA (and that was 2023).  Not sure that anyone is going to risk it for a middling prospect. 

    Shane Smith is the only other one I'd be curious about.  Not a high-end arm, but one ready for a BP role.  Those are the guys often grabbed because they are easier to "hide" if necessary. 

    You guys are great about following the minors. I know Patrick was no secret to any of you—nor to me! But there were people even within the Brewers who were unsure whether they'd protect him, as recently as early this month. So, calibrate your understanding of his place within the org and the broader baseball world accordingly. It was NOT a foregone conclusion this would happen, by any means, even if you think (perhaps correctly!) it should have been.

    • Like 1

    Agree with Trueblood.  Did I want Patrick on the 40?  Absolutely!!!  However, he is NOT currently listed as a top 30 prospect, he was never called up in 24 when there was a need.

    I'm happy about it but yeah, the Brewers internally seemed to be going back and forth with him.  I;m glad he's in but no, it was not a no-brainer.

     

    46 minutes ago, Matthew Trueblood said:

    You guys are great about following the minors. I know Patrick was no secret to any of you—nor to me! But there were people even within the Brewers who were unsure whether they'd protect him, as recently as early this month. So, calibrate your understanding of his place within the org and the broader baseball world accordingly. It was NOT a foregone conclusion this would happen, by any means, even if you think (perhaps correctly!) it should have been.

    I mean that still doesn't mean it was surprising. Everyone knew Patrick was someone who could potentially be protected. What would be surprising is if someone like Russell Smith or Wes Clarke was protected.

    Joseph Zarr
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    With all due respect...My main 'contention' (I say this lightly here but with some conviction - ie I don't begrudge opinions) is really the lack of evolution in the entire conversation around Patrick's game and his season. He is constantly an afterthought. There simply appears to consistently be reasons he is not taken seriously. He didn't get discussed in the 'Minor League Pitcher of the Year' announcements. Fine. There are many strong pitchers and a handful of worthy arms in the Brewers system. He wasn't even brought into the conversation, however - I definitely took note. There always appears to be a classic modern day baseball referral to his 'stuff' - movement profiles etc. - that don't match up to what the group think of statistical profiles and graphic reads have people saying. I'm not saying these aren't important - they are crucial and rightfully so and many on our board and across baseball can discuss them with infinitely more adept acumen than myself. BUT, there has to be an ability to accept and embrace outliers and there has to be an ability to embrace and celebrate results. Nobody was seriously advocating for or discussing his game when he literally accomplished a feat only three pitchers in the entire history of the International League have accomplished. There were 'Yeah, but(s)...". Like Gasser, he won International League Pitcher of the Year. AND, Matt, with all due respect, instead of celebrating and lifting up his accomplishment by being selected to the 40-Man you literally headline your article by pretty much diminishing it. This is what I mean when I purport to put some respect on his name. I personally don't care if there was inner-organizational doubts. The head man and the likely Manager of the Year in the NL and his staff wanted him on their team and available in their staff. The 'surprise' or the 'doubts', in my humble opinion, 'should' or would ideally come in the body of the article. It most definitely shouldn't be the lead in my baseball world view. I love your stuff and I love your baseball mind. I don't agree with how this article was delivered. And, hey, that's OK. It gets us all talking passionately about Brewers baseball and at the end of the day that's a good thing. Your reasons for going the route you did are your reasons and I accept that. I simply don't agree with the approach. 

    The only thing I personally find surprising in today's announcements so far is what this possibly says about RHP Shane Smith - in all the various ways this can be interpreted. A pitcher I really like and many of us here do. And, well, a pitcher I certainly hope the Brewers don't lose. Maybe the Brewers and others feel he just isn't far enough along in his attempts to be a starter? Those are conversations I would love to hear.

    • Like 1
    • Love 1
    1 hour ago, Joseph Zarr said:

    With all due respect...My main 'contention' (I say this lightly here but with some conviction - ie I don't begrudge opinions) is really the lack of evolution in the entire conversation around Patrick's game and his season. He is constantly an afterthought. There simply appears to consistently be reasons he is not taken seriously. He didn't get discussed in the 'Minor League Pitcher of the Year' announcements. Fine. There are many strong pitchers and a handful of worthy arms in the Brewers system. He wasn't even brought into the conversation, however - I definitely took note. There always appears to be a classic modern day baseball referral to his 'stuff' - movement profiles etc. - that don't match up to what the group think of statistical profiles and graphic reads have people saying. I'm not saying these aren't important - they are crucial and rightfully so and many on our board and across baseball can discuss them with infinitely more adept acumen than myself. BUT, there has to be an ability to accept and embrace outliers and there has to be an ability to embrace and celebrate results. Nobody was seriously advocating for or discussing his game when he literally accomplished a feat only three pitchers in the entire history of the International League have accomplished. There were 'Yeah, but(s)...". Like Gasser, he won International League Pitcher of the Year. AND, Matt, with all due respect, instead of celebrating and lifting up his accomplishment by being selected to the 40-Man you literally headline your article by pretty much diminishing it. This is what I mean when I purport to put some respect on his name. I personally don't care if there was inner-organizational doubts. The head man and the likely Manager of the Year in the NL and his staff wanted him on their team and available in their staff. The 'surprise' or the 'doubts', in my humble opinion, 'should' or would ideally come in the body of the article. It most definitely shouldn't be the lead in my baseball world view. I love your stuff and I love your baseball mind. I don't agree with how this article was delivered. And, hey, that's OK. It gets us all talking passionately about Brewers baseball and at the end of the day that's a good thing. Your reasons for going the route you did are your reasons and I accept that. I simply don't agree with the approach. 

     

    The only thing I personally find surprising in today's announcements so far is what this possibly says about RHP Shane Smith - in all the various ways this can be interpreted. A pitcher I really like and many of us here do. And, well, a pitcher I certainly hope the Brewers don't lose. Maybe the Brewers and others feel he just isn't far enough along in his attempts to be a starter? Those are conversations I would love to hear.

    What Patrick did was truly impressive in that league (remember when the International League was more of a pitcher’s league?). I was only mildly surprised because it didn’t seem like the Brewers were treating him like a prospect. If the stuff ticked up late in the season, though, that helps explain things. I was so used to solid starts by him in a league in which they were rare that I probably would have overlooked granular changes later on.

    I thought if they were going to take two, Smith would be the one getting the other spot. Both, though, had absurdly good years.

    • Like 2
    Ro Mueller
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    I’m surprised we didn’t protect 24-year old RHP Shane Smith.

    Throws up to 96 mph and made it to AAA level after just 150.1 career IP.

    Really effective when shifted to a starting role in AA in 2024: 2.96 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 9.9 K/9, 3.36 K/BB ratio in 67.0 starting IP.

    • Like 1


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