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    Brice Turang Has Found His Way by Playing to His Skill Set


    Jack Stern

    Brice Turang's hot start to the season is not so much a transformation but a return to his roots as a hitter. Either way, his growth at the plate is no fluke and bodes well for his long-term outlook.

    Image courtesy of © Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

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    Brice Turang was arguably the worst offensive player in baseball as a rookie.

    That’s not an exaggeration. Turang’s 60 wRC+ in 448 plate appearances last year tied with Tim Anderson for the lowest in baseball among hitters with that much playing time.

    Those struggles raised concerns about his long-term viability as Milwaukee’s starting second baseman. Offseason acquisitions Oliver Dunn and Christian Arroyo appeared as candidates to usurp him at the keystone. When Sal Frelick began preparing to play infield, it seemed even more plausible that Turang’s job was in jeopardy.

    A few months later, that feels like a distant memory. Turang is not only thriving but has also become a mainstay in an improved lineup. He entered Saturday hitting .312/.379/.440. His 136 wRC+ trails only William Contreras among qualified Brewers and ranks sixth among all qualified second basemen.

    The turnaround has not surprised Pat Murphy, who intentionally voiced confidence in Turang during spring training and named him the starter at the keystone as other players battled for time at third base and in the outfield. Murphy predicted Turang to take a “quantum leap.”

    However one wishes to characterize it, Turang is an undeniably better hitter than he was a year ago.

    Turang was one of the worst fastball hitters in baseball last year. According to Statcast, he finished with a -20.7 run value against heaters. He was particularly overmatched by velocity, slugging .133 against fastballs thrown at least 95 mph.

    What was once his kryptonite has become one of his greatest strengths. Turang has been an on-base machine against fastballs, hitting .366 with a .411 wOBA against them through the season's first six weeks. That includes a .423 average and .444 wOBA on pitches thrown 95 mph or above. He has slashed his whiff rate against fastballs from 20.5% to 9.1%

    Making more contact has been a theme for Turang, who has become one of baseball’s best bat-to-ball savants. His strikeout rate is down to 13.6%, and his 12% whiff rate ranks in the 97th percentile of MLB hitters. He’s arrived at this point by transforming his stance, swing mechanics, and approach.

    Here’s an example of a fastball away overpowering Turang in 2023.

    Here’s the 2024 iteration of Turang shooting a similar pitch to the opposite field for a single.

    Turang started overhauling his setup in the box after a midseason demotion to Triple-A last year, closing off his stance and replacing his leg kick with a toe tap in two-strike counts. Everything has become even more compact and quieter this year. Turang is starting with his hands closer to his body, his bat closer to his shoulder, and minimal movement in his lower body. His swing path is shorter and more direct to the ball.

    Last year’s Turang was trying to do damage. This year’s version is trying to put the ball in play and reach base.

    The latter exemplifies Turang's offensive skill set and approach throughout his minor-league career: getting on base and impacting the game with his speed. He is back to playing the kind of game that suits his strengths as a player, and the results have followed.

    “I think of a vocalist,” Murphy said. “[They’re] capable of singing different types of music, but this one really works for the production we’re trying to put on. This kind of game for Brice works for us and, I think, for him.”

    The pressure on young players to produce in the big leagues can lead them astray from what got them to that level. It happened to Turang, whose swing grew long and increasingly out of sorts as he seemingly chased more power. Instead of shooting the ball for singles and getting on base, he was striking out and hitting soft flyouts.

    Murphy knew that wasn’t the real Turang. He remained confident that version would emerge with time.

    “You know it’s a mental game,” he said. “And it can skew you on who a player is in their first year. You can say, ‘Wow, this guy doesn’t look right,’ you know? ‘He doesn’t do this.’ You just gotta wait until it all settles down.”

    Things have started to settle down for Turang, who is no longer trying to lift the ball as he was last year. His average launch angle has decreased from 11.4 to 5.1 degrees.

    Hitting the ball closer to the ground is beneficial for Turang. He is most valuable when he gets on base, and ground balls and line drives are far more likely to achieve that goal than fly balls.

    Reaching base at a high clip has enabled Turang to impact games with his speed. He’s a perfect 15-for-15 on stolen base attempts, a total that ranks second in baseball.

    Turang’s production and style of play earned him a promotion to the leadoff spot in the final game of the Brewers’ previous series in Kansas City. In his first three games atop the lineup, he has gone 5-for-12 with four doubles, a walk, and two steals.

    “It just gives our offense another dimension,” Christian Yelich said. “You get that leadoff guy on who can run, cause problems. Even the threat of the stolen base, not actually doing it, is impactful.”

    While the return to his roots is legitimate, Turang is unlikely to sustain this level of offense. His .319 xwOBA is nearly 40 points lower than his actual wOBA of .358, indicating that he’s not making the kind of contact that typically produces the outcomes he has experienced. The likelihood of periodic slumps paired with that impending regression means his numbers will start trending down sooner rather than later.

    However, his elite speed and defense mean Turang merely needs to be a competent hitter to be one of the more valuable second basemen in the game. He’s definitely capable of that.

    “This kid, in my opinion, is on his way to a really nice career,” Murphy said.

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    Great article.  I appreciate the detail to the changes in his swing.  

    Quote

    Last year’s Turang was trying to do damage. This year’s version is trying to put the ball in play and reach base.

    I'm thinking "damage" is relative.  If "damage" means trying to hit the ball with a high Exit Velocity (EV) each time, then I agree.  However, his toolset, as you mention, is not to hit bombs.  In many baseball academies and even in college, contact is not considered a good thing unless there is a high EV.

    When I look at Turang this year, I think his approach is very similar to Luis Arráez.  High contact guys and aren't necessarily power guys.  However, Turang excels in Stolen Bases and hitting a little more for power.  Mind you, this is only 36 games into the 2024 season, but I really like the improvement.

    https://stathead.com/baseball/versus-finder.cgi?request=1&seasons_type=forall&year_min=2024&year_max=2024&player_id1=turang002bri&player_id2=arraez000lui

    Here is a cool chart that shows Turang vs. Arráez -- switching between the two, you can see that Arráez is more consistent and, as you mentioned, Turang is getting on with some seeing-eye singles.

    https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/player-comparison?playerIds=668930,650333&seasons=2024,2024&pitchSpeedGT=49&pitchSpeedLT=106&launchSpeedGT=29&launchSpeedLT=126&ddlChartType=radial&ddlPitcherThrows=&ddlBatterStands=&ddlPitchTypes=&ddlCount=&ddlEvent=&ddlYear=2024

    I would like to see Sal Frelick make similar changes, too.  Maybe he shouldn't put so much weight on his back leg trying to do damage.

    Again... great article!  

    Jason Wang
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    This article and Turang's approach this year vs. last year reminds me of when someone asked Ichiro why he didn't try to hit home runs. Ichiro responded by saying that he could probably hit 40 bombs a year if he wanted to but then he'd average ~.240 and it wouldn't be as beneficial to the team.

    Turang is fast and his swing clearly isn't conducive to a damage-first approach. It seems obvious that removing a lot of the noise has allowed him to finally catch up to fastballs and even something as simple as replacing a leg kick with a toe-tap has clearly paid dividends.

    • Like 1

    Turang and Frelick both fell under the misconceptions analytics geeks think is the primary approach to hitting.

    They (geeks) have been wrong all along and MOST hitters are much better served by making contact, especially those with speed.  Frelick is going to work himself out of a potentially great career if he keeps trying to worry about launch angle. Speed, contact and a good eye got them here. Short, compact swings will produce the numbers that really matter..

    Turang flat ran out of gas last year. Between his ill advised swing change and too little stamina, he was in trouble. 10 lbs of muscle and a return to LESS launch angle has him back to being a .280/.340 threat... And surprise! He is getting more hard contact resulting in extra bases.. Frelick needs to adopt the same approach again.  His swing has gotten slow and long and he tops everything now.

    I see him with .300/.340 potential. Both of them are stellar defensively. Long time Brewers fans can sense the Yount/Molitor skills. Not the same, but contact and speed guys that can be dynamite place setters at the top of the order one day..

    • Like 2

    This is my last opposing viewpoint to the new Turang narrative. He’s proven me wrong, so far. I hope it continues. However, as defenses adjust those softly struck fly balls and dribblers will find gloves. Poor contact seldom leads to good results. 

    As always, great article Jack. Let’s think about the different rule and baseball mindset changes that have occurred while Turang was developing as a player.

    He likely was never the biggest kid on his youth / travel teams but he made the most and best contact. He was so good at that, along with his pure athletic ability, that he was a highly ranked player from the time he was 15.  The Brewers took him in the first round because of those skills. With that draft position comes expectations and everyone dreams on unlocking HR power in a line drive hitter.

    Brice does his thing throughout the minors. It takes him a bit of time to adjust at each level but he eventually succeeds at each level. He is doing this in the lift and defensive shift era, where the group think is that SBs are too risky.

    He is likely feeling the pressure to become someone who he cannot be, but he is likely hearing the noise that if he doesn’t hit 15+ dingers per year that he won’t be a viable MLB player.

    Fortunately, MLB changes the rules to eliminate the shift. Brice has been working on a lift swing over the past 2 years and was productive in AAA with that swing. He makes the roster and is getting a lot of ABs. He isn’t successful. Likely because he was trying to be someone else and it takes him time to adjust to each new level

    He gets demoted and works on becoming his true self again. Meanwhile MLB changes the base stealing rules a bit more and he realizes that his legs generate ‘hidden slug’.

    Almost predictably, a super talented contact with incredible athleticism is now succeeding at this new level.

    I think it is a great story for Brice and the Brewers and maybe a good lesson for us all.  First, being self-aware is a valuable trait. Understanding what your strengths and weaknesses is the first step to success. I applaud the Brewers as well for demonstrating confidence in Brice and encouraging him to be himself. I think he is going to be a long time Major Leaguer and will help this organization win a lot of games.

    • Like 1

    Great synopsis.. It's what I've felt since he got promoted.. He is becoming what he's meant to be, a speedy top of order place setter. 

    I can only hope Frelick has the same metamorphosis..His pop ups and weak topped ground balls should start registering soon..

     

     



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