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    In Wake of José Alvarado's PED Suspension, Could Phillies Check in on Trevor Megill?

    José Alvarado was the dominant closer for the Phillies, but his 80-game suspension (and the postseason ban that comes with it) will hurt them. Could the perennial contenders be interested in one of these Brewers relievers?

    Jake McKibbin
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    The Brewers have struggled to begin the season, with a relatively easy schedule in April followed by a shocking offensive downturn in May. The Brewers front office is capable of fixing such glaring problems as the rotation and the left side of their infield, but the rest of the team isn't giving them much inspiration to do so. It may be that the Brewers will have to take opportunities that help them in future seasons this July, rather than just looking to success in 2025.

    The Phillies were dealt a shocking blow on Sunday, when José Alvarado tested positive for exogenous testosterone. Despite Alvarado's stellar performance this year, the Phils had already had some trouble in the back end of their pen. Still at 27-18 and sitting pretty to be in contention come October once again, they'll know the importance of having a lockdown relief corps, especially with the Braves surging somewhat back into contention after a sluggish start. Alvarado can't pitch for them if and when they do reach the playoffs, either, and the Phillies' focus is very much on what happens if and when they get that far. They want a World Series run, and that means having an October-ready bullpen—a task that just got much taller.

    Trevor Megill's devastating fastball and shutdown knuckle-curveball would fit on any postseason roster. Under control through 2027, Megill would come at a cost, but the struggles of Jordan Romano and Alvarado's banishment mean the Phillies need to make a move. They might need to make more than one. Megill is a Stuff+ darling who has found his command again in recent outings on the fastball. When both pitches are firing, he's one of the toughest closers in baseball.

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    The Brewers may look to move Nick Mears toward a closing role of his own, as Mears has made strong strides thus far in 2025 (and is also under team control through 2027). Milwaukee could reinforce their own bullpen with the returns of DL Hall and Aaron Ashby, alongside the newly added Easton McGee and Rob Zastryzny.

    In return, the Brewers would (as always) be looking for long-term, controllable talent. You're not going to get a top prospect for any non-superstar reliever, regardless of years of control, but you can get some exciting upside. The Phillies farm system is top-heavy, with some strong prospects in their top five or six but a steeper decline after the top 10 than you would like.

    I'd propose a package involving one of two high-upside pitchers and an exciting second-rounder from 2024. Griffin Burkholder is the Phillies' seventh-ranked prospect, per Baseball America, with electric speed that allows him to play all three outfield positions well and an average hit/power combination. He makes good swing decisions, and there's a suspicion that as he ages (currently, he's just 19 in Low A), Burkholder could develop above-average power. With a solid profile and a slightly overslot bonus when he signed in 2024, Burkholder may be tough to pry away from the Phillies, but he should be front and center for the Brewers, given his distance from the big leagues and their desire for some additional outfield talent in their farm system. His capabilities in the field, strong swing decisions and potential upside would fit right in with the Brewers philosophy. Think of him, perhaps, as a replacement for Yophery Rodriguez.

    Alex McFarlane is making his way back from Tommy John surgery, having added 10-15 pounds of muscle that the Phillies hope can help him take steps forward in the command department. Similar (in some ways) to Jacob Misiorowski, McFarlane's fastball is 70-grade per MLB pipeline and touches triple digits, with good sink. He has a legitimate three-pitch mix, with a low arm slot and the potential to get lots of whiffs from an upper-80s slider (54% whiff rate in 2023) and a splitter that possesses good arm-side movement and drop.

    Finally, Wen-Hui Pan is a 22-year-old out of Taiwan, with an electric fastball, a fantastic splitter and a solid slider. He's currently on the injured list with Tommy John surgery, but that hasn't halted the Brewers in the past—as we saw with Coleman Crow. His fastball averaged 96.7 mph when last he was on the mound, while the splitter had a 63% whiff rate in 2024. The slider looked better as the year went on. Pan has the ability to be a high-leverage relief arm when healthy, a scenario in which splitters and their ground ball rates are incredibly valuable to accompany the high swing-and-miss rates his three-pitch arsenal should support.

    If the Brewers are truly looking to the future, a trade like this could make sense in a variety of ways for a team in need of 40-man roster spots and with ample depth in the bullpen ranks. Burkholder would be a suitable headliner, despite his slow start in 2025, and could really add to the strength of the Brewers' lower minor leagues. Meanwhile, returning a high upside arm is always of value.

    If the Brewers wanted someone hotter than Burkholder, the other option is a third baseman at Low A called Aroon Escobar. Escobar is slashing .328/.426/.573 early this season, with tons of red on his Statcast page across all areas. Good contact, good plate discipline and solid exit velocities may make him enticing, although the Brewers have third basemen all over their system, especially at Low A.

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    Would you consider trading Trevor Megill to the Phillies? If so, who would you want in return? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below!

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    I just beat you on the transactions page with this idea (yours probably took longer to write). I proposed Moises Chace, McFarlene, and 3B Otto Kemp. I would for sure want Kemp even if he has been playing other positions, a 3B option for now to hopefully help the big league team would be essential. I like all the names you posted so it kind of comes down to value. I think we should get 3 pieces for a quality closer with 2+ years left. For me Chace and McFarlene give us 2 high end options that could be decent rotation arms or could move quickly as relievers. I think if we do trade Megill I would kind of rotate closers between Mears, Uribe, Koenig/Ashby (lefty), and maybe even Yoho. Hopefully by August one of those would shine through and just have the 7/8/9 spots fall into order.

    Jake McKibbin
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    3 minutes ago, jay87shot said:

    I just beat you on the transactions page with this idea (yours probably took longer to write). I proposed Moises Chace, McFarlene, and 3B Otto Kemp. I would for sure want Kemp even if he has been playing other positions, a 3B option for now to hopefully help the big league team would be essential. I like all the names you posted so it kind of comes down to value. I think we should get 3 pieces for a quality closer with 2+ years left. For me Chace and McFarlene give us 2 high end options that could be decent rotation arms or could move quickly as relievers. I think if we do trade Megill I would kind of rotate closers between Mears, Uribe, Koenig/Ashby (lefty), and maybe even Yoho. Hopefully by August one of those would shine through and just have the 7/8/9 spots fall into order.

    Great minds, or fools seldom differing?

    I'm not sure if Chace is just out for reach on this one, especially given megill isn't lock down in the mold of a Hader or Williams. He is prone to home run issues when the fastball is slightly off or he loses feel for the curveball, but I do think he'll get a fairly solid package back. If Chace was available then absolutely, but I'd imagine you'd maybe only get two players back in that instance if he was.

    Chace's three strong pitches, with a really impressive fastball, and the uptick in control at the end of 2024 may put him out of reach for  relief arm, but he would be an impressive return

    I doubt Brewers are going to punt on the season at this point. But sure if things are the same 6 weeks from now they'll likely make some moves.   But to this discussion, even if they do Megill still has two cheap years left before FA and I'd guess MKE thinks they can get back to contention next year.   

    The guy I would be looking to move would be Mears, rather than trust him to be closer. Guy has been shaky for years, if you can get a 2-3 month hot streak out of him and cash him out for way more than you gave up for him I'd say go for it. 

    And sure, Megill would get more back but I'd still much prefer to keep him for the next two years as I trust him way more. 

    • Like 2
    Jake McKibbin
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    2 minutes ago, tmwiese55 said:

    I doubt Brewers are going to punt on the season at this point. But sure if things are the same 6 weeks from now they'll likely make some moves.   But to this discussion, even if they do Megill still has two cheap years left before FA and I'd guess MKE thinks they can get back to contention next year.   

    The guy I would be looking to move would be Mears, rather than trust him to be closer. Guy has been shaky for years, if you can get a 2-3 month hot streak out of him and cash him out for way more than you gave up for him I'd say go for it. 

    And sure, Megill would get more back but I'd still much prefer to keep him for the next two years as I trust him way more. 

    That's fair! I actually view them as quite similar from a lot of vantage points, maybe slightly prefer Mears after the changes he's made this season and hence went for the higher value player to other teams. That being said, either could be traded.

    One thing I'm keen to stress is I'm not sure this is punting. I think the Brewers expect Ashby to be in high leverage on his return, and Hall to boost the longer relief meaning that they can perhaps afford to part with one of their higher arms without weakening the overall structure as such. Megill would be a loss, but maybe not as big as we'd imagine

    • Like 1
    46 minutes ago, Jake McKibbin said:

    Great minds, or fools seldom differing?

    I'm not sure if Chace is just out for reach on this one, especially given megill isn't lock down in the mold of a Hader or Williams. He is prone to home run issues when the fastball is slightly off or he loses feel for the curveball, but I do think he'll get a fairly solid package back. If Chace was available then absolutely, but I'd imagine you'd maybe only get two players back in that instance if he was.

    Chace's three strong pitches, with a really impressive fastball, and the uptick in control at the end of 2024 may put him out of reach for  relief arm, but he would be an impressive return

    I just read that Chace is going to have Tommy John so that solves that. Last year Gregory Soto got Chace and Seth Johnson, I would say that Megill is a big step up from Soto in terms of results, has an extra year of control than Soto at last year, and the same high octane stuff. Jason Adam is probably pretty comparable and got a borderiline top 100 prospect and 2 top 15 org, prospects from a weak SDP organization. I don't think someone like Chace as a headliner is out of the question especially early in the year.

    29 minutes ago, tmwiese55 said:

    I doubt Brewers are going to punt on the season at this point. But sure if things are the same 6 weeks from now they'll likely make some moves.   But to this discussion, even if they do Megill still has two cheap years left before FA and I'd guess MKE thinks they can get back to contention next year.   

    The guy I would be looking to move would be Mears, rather than trust him to be closer. Guy has been shaky for years, if you can get a 2-3 month hot streak out of him and cash him out for way more than you gave up for him I'd say go for it. 

    And sure, Megill would get more back but I'd still much prefer to keep him for the next two years as I trust him way more. 

    I don't think trading a guy like Megill would be punting on the year especially if we can add a 3B or SS option to play right now, With guys coming back from injury, Yoho in AAA, and even Henderson and Misi likely hitting innings limits later in the year (late year bullpen options) we can likely absorb a Megill loss. If we can get any quality at SS/3B this could be an addition to the big league club and the minors if done right. In all likelihood the Phillies can probably find someone cheaper on one of the already out of it organizations.

    I brought this up in the Trade Rumors forum, but could we get Bohm in a package for Megill?  I know he hasn't gotten off to a good start so far this year, but he'd still be a major upgrade offensively at 3B right now for us, and I think you'd be banking on him getting hot in the second half of the season.  Or, would the Phils not entertain this because then it would leave them with a major hole at the hot corner?  

    I was thinking maybe a package of Bohm and Chace initially, but if Chace is going under the knife - then maybe Bohm and McFarlane?  Too little in return?  Too much?  Is Bohm a non-starter in any trade talks for Phils?  

    it's interesting in that Philly has a need, & it's a need we could theoretically fill w/o decimating our pen as there are other options. I like the sound of some of the Phillies prospects brought up in the thread. But it would certainly be construed by many as punting if such a deal was made this early.

    I guess I'd start with Bohm & see where it goes from there.

    If the rumors are to be believed, the Phillies were shopping Bohm all winter. Perhaps they didn’t believe in his 2024 campaign and were trying to capitalize on inflated value?

    I would take Bohm in a Megill trade, but the Brewers would be taking on more salary than they’re giving and need a quality prospect or two to make the deal worthwhile. He’s better than what we’ve got, but not a great value for what he’ll get in arb

    • Like 1

    I don't think that trading any reliever would mean the team is punting on the season. With all of the pitchers on track to come back, we are set to make a move.

    Bohm for Megill would certainly be interesting. I'd be in favor of it just for my viewing pleasure of not having to watch Durbin suck at 3rd. Bohm isn't a world beater but he certainly fits our prospect timeline much better than some other options.

    15 hours ago, wallus said:

    I don't think that trading any reliever would mean the team is punting on the season. With all of the pitchers on track to come back, we are set to make a move.

    Bohm for Megill would certainly be interesting. I'd be in favor of it just for my viewing pleasure of not having to watch Durbin suck at 3rd. Bohm isn't a world beater but he certainly fits our prospect timeline much better than some other options.

    Bohm is a FA after next season, so he's not necessarily a long-term solution at 3B.  The only way you get him back in any deal with Megill is if you think this current team is a playoff team these next two seasons and a good (but not great) offensive 3B is the missing piece.  Otherwise, I think the Brewers would be better off getting 2-3 prospects back in any deal with the Phillies for Megill, which you could then add those guys into the mix with the big group of prospects in our system that are still a year or two away from getting to Milwaukee.  

    15 minutes ago, Madhawk23 said:

    Bohm is a FA after next season, so he's not necessarily a long-term solution at 3B.  The only way you get him back in any deal with Megill is if you think this current team is a playoff team these next two seasons and a good (but not great) offensive 3B is the missing piece.  Otherwise, I think the Brewers would be better off getting 2-3 prospects back in any deal with the Phillies for Megill, which you could then add those guys into the mix with the big group of prospects in our system that are still a year or two away from getting to Milwaukee.  

    I think it's likely we will have a long term 3B from the minor leagues after next season so Bohm fits the timeline. I don't disagree that prospects would probably be more likely but the idea of Bohm is not to punt on this season.

    7 minutes ago, wallus said:

    I think it's likely we will have a long term 3B from the minor leagues after next season so Bohm fits the timeline. I don't disagree that prospects would probably be more likely but the idea of Bohm is not to punt on this season.

    I think I might have misinterpreted your initial post when you said that he fits our prospect timeline.  I was thinking that you meant that he would be under team control for several years, which he clearly would not.  But, I see now that you were meaning he would be gone by the time that our prospects would be ready to contribute at the big league level.  

    Overall, I think we're in agreement here.  If you don't want to completely punt on this season (and next), then getting Bohm back in a deal for Megill could be a win/win for both teams?  However, if you think this season is a lost cause from a playoff perspective, then you'd be better off getting more of a prospect package coming back for Megill - guys that would hopefully be ready for the next "winning window" that may come in '27 and beyond.  

    • Like 1
    On 5/19/2025 at 11:00 AM, Trax said:

    It is something to re-visit in July.  I don't think the Brewers trade any of their core players before they have a better idea of where this season is going.

    Yes, I agree. I think for the Brewers to get back into it, you'll need to lean on your pitching AND the 3 hitters who've been struggling getting hot and being ~900 OPS guys the rest of the way(Yelly, Chourio, Contreras). Maybe it's .865 or whatever, but the're all too good to struggle too much.

    Ortiz is as well. He's clearly better than the type of player he's been thus far.

    But you get Woody back, even throwing ~95(and I suspect he'll get back to 96-97 as the year goes on and it heats up, but he's a bulldog. Civale helps, Carlos Rodriguez, Henderson and then Misiorowski late in the year will help. But I don't want to trade Mears and I don't want to trade Megill. A good rotation and an overwhelming bullpen, defense and just enough offense...

    And if I'm wrong and those pieces aren't coming together by the ASB...well, then sure. We have Uribe, we have guys like Hardin, we have other pitchers who can step up and step in down the road for, but make them overpay for it if we reach that point.

     

    Just the idea of a healthy Hall coming in and taking over for Myers or Priester, whoever...if they're just not on, going 2-3 innings. You have Mears, Koenig, Uribe, Ashby to mix and match until Megill. That's the formula..and we're not on course right now, but I still like this team and I'd viewed this year as when our "window" with this next group kinda starts to open and I even think you could get contributions from guys like Tyler Black.

    • Like 1

    Oh, and I just found this amusing, but does anyone listen to "Steve the Homer True" anymore?

    He wants to trade Jackson Chourio because...he doesnt' walk enough and doesn't justify his salary as it could be better used on going out and adding a piece that can help right now. He even added...we'd have to kick in some salary(as if...quite literally EVERY team in MLB would not gladly take on that contract to take him).

    Now, the later part, fair critique...of a 21 year old budding super, he has not walked enough, he's chased a LOT. Pitchers have the book on him and it's up to him to adjust...as he did last year.

    Just an aside, off-topic but amusing. Also curious when he became a Milwaukee version of Skip Bayless, but, that's for another thread.

    10 hours ago, BrewerFan said:

    Oh, and I just found this amusing, but does anyone listen to "Steve the Homer True" anymore?

    He wants to trade Jackson Chourio because...he doesnt' walk enough and doesn't justify his salary as it could be better used on going out and adding a piece that can help right now. He even added...we'd have to kick in some salary(as if...quite literally EVERY team in MLB would not gladly take on that contract to take him).

    Now, the later part, fair critique...of a 21 year old budding super, he has not walked enough, he's chased a LOT. Pitchers have the book on him and it's up to him to adjust...as he did last year.

    Just an aside, off-topic but amusing. Also curious when he became a Milwaukee version of Skip Bayless, but, that's for another thread.

    That certainly is amusing.  The team (small market teams) needs to move older players on short or bad contracts.     We need to build around our players who can be controlled long term and I don't think that contract shows any signs of being bad. 



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