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  • Top 3 Things The Brewers Need To Pursue Before The Trade Deadline


    Jason Wang

    In the game of baseball, no team is perfect. There are so many moving pieces and dimensions that even the best teams can improve in almost all areas. With the Brewers currently holding a narrow lead in the NL Central and August 1 quickly approaching, let’s count down the things the Brewers should have on their shopping list to secure their trip to the postseason.

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    3) Strikeout Pitchers 
    If you just take a look at some high-level statistics, you might say that the Brewers have a pretty good pitching staff across the board. They currently have a team ERA of 4.00, 12th in MLB, and a WHIP of 1.25, good for eighth. If you want to get even more granular and look at the individual players that make this possible, you’ll notice bullpen staples such as Devin Williams, Joel Payamps, Hoby Milner, and Elvis Peguero posting incredibly strong ERA+ figures, followed by starters Wade Miley and Corbin Burnes.

    In fact, of the 11 active qualified pitchers, nine of them have ERA+ figures above 100, meaning that they are performing better than average when adjusting for park factors. However, of those same 11, only four pitchers have above-average strikeout rates, meaning that for the most part, the pitching staff is heavily relying on soft contact. Matthew Trueblood pointed out this lack of swing-and-miss back in mid-April.

    The Brewers have been one of the best defensive teams in baseball this year, posting a team Defensive Runs Saved figure of 34, third in MLB behind just the Blue Jays and Rangers. Blake Perkins and William Contrerasin particular, have been exceptional, leading the team with eight and seven DRS, respectively.

    This is great, but if the Brewers are able to get a few more strikeout-based pitchers to take some of the pressure off of the lineup. Particularly in the starting rotation, Milwaukee should look to acquire some strikeout backup to compensate for Corbin Burnes’s slight dip in performance this season--although come back later this week for more insight on that topic.  

    2) Contact Hitters
    In this new age of baseball, batting average can sometimes be an overlooked statistic. After Moneyball, there are many who think on-base-percentage is an upgrade to batting average, but one key thing to remember is that a hit is a ball in play. A walk can only score a run if the bases are loaded, but a single can score a particularly speedy runner all the way from first.

    Of the team’s eight qualified hitters, only three players (Christian Yelich, Owen Miller, and Contreras) are batting above .230. The inability to put balls in play is one of the reasons that the Brewers are currently ranked 14th in the NL and 25th in MLB in runs scored. With a pitiful team batting average of .232, getting a few contact-focused bats could pay dividends throughout the rest of the season.

    1) Power Bats
    Consistent singles are great, but contact hitting is a gift that not all players possess. Thankfully, one can easily offset a lower batting average by getting doubles and home runs. The whole purpose of stats like OPS and xwOBA are to properly value hitters that may bat around .240-.260 but hit 30+ home runs per season. 

    A good example of this is Willy Adames, who is currently batting a somewhat dismal .212, but with a decent walk rate and a slugging average of .411, his OPS of .706 is much more palatable. Unfortunately for Milwaukee, Adames is one of just three qualified position players on the team with slugging figures above the league average. 

    None of the Brewers are going to be hitting a Barry Bonds-esque home run stride any time soon, with Adames currently leading the team with 16, but if the team is able to bolster their hitting with a few more big hitters, it could generate more runs and improve upon the team’s greatest weakness this season, the offense. 

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    Bats, bats, and more bats.  This is what we need.  

    Our BA is ridiculously low, so it shouldn't be hard to get contact hitters to improve (or a few key internal improvements as specific players are underperforming).  But really OBP should be the metric.  Sure, you can't walk someone in unless the bases are loaded, but a single does nothing if the bases are empty...  

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    Jason Wang
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    4 hours ago, CheezWizHed said:

    Bats, bats, and more bats.  This is what we need.  

    Our BA is ridiculously low, so it shouldn't be hard to get contact hitters to improve (or a few key internal improvements as specific players are underperforming).  But really OBP should be the metric.  Sure, you can't walk someone in unless the bases are loaded, but a single does nothing if the bases are empty...  

    Very true! Honestly just need more offense. 

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    The Brewers shopping list is very simple: 

    1. DH

    2. 1B.

    The Brewers production at these two positions have been so bad it wouldnt take much to upgrade. 

    I guess if a slugging 3b or OF'er becomes availible on the cheap then I would also be fine DFA'ing Brian Anderson or Tyrone Taylor. 

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    Need at least two above average (100+ wRC+) bats between the following positions: DH, 1B, 3B, RF. Preferably run producers that you can slot in the middle of the order. 

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    6 hours ago, CheezWizHed said:

    Bats, bats, and more bats.  This is what we need.  

    Our BA is ridiculously low, so it shouldn't be hard to get contact hitters to improve (or a few key internal improvements as specific players are underperforming).  But really OBP should be the metric.  Sure, you can't walk someone in unless the bases are loaded, but a single does nothing if the bases are empty...  

    I mean, one bat would be pretty great, and he only needs to fill in at 1B and DH, the easiest places to find a bat.
     

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    47 minutes ago, Robocaller said:

    I mean, one bat would be pretty great, and he only needs to fill in at 1B and DH, the easiest places to find a bat.
     

    I suppose you could say bat, bat, bat is DH, 1B, and RF/3B (in order of importance).  But I was more going for the baseball's version of the 3 top rules of realty: "location, location, location"

    1B was historically "easy"... yet seems so hard for the last decade for the Brewers to actually find one.  And have we ever had an above average DH since the NL started using it?

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    5 minutes ago, CheezWizHed said:

    1B was historically "easy"... yet seems so hard for the last decade for the Brewers to actually find one.  And have we ever had an above average DH since the NL started using it?

    Keston Hiura had a 166 wRC+ in 96 PAs as a DH last year... 😬

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    14 minutes ago, CheezWizHed said:

    1B was historically "easy"... yet seems so hard for the last decade for the Brewers to actually find one.  And have we ever had an above average DH since the NL started using it?

    2017-19 (Jesus/Thames era) Brewers 1B posted a 123 wRC+ (8th) and 9.4 WAR (7th).

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    4 hours ago, sveumrules said:

    2017-19 (Jesus/Thames era) Brewers 1B posted a 123 wRC+ (8th) and 9.4 WAR (7th).

    I knew there was one decent era I forgot, but technically... that isn't "a" 1B. 😝

     

    4 hours ago, brewerfan82 said:

    Keston Hiura had a 166 wRC+ in 96 PAs as a DH last year... 😬

    Yeah, I didn't say we needed a trade to get the 3 bats. I would've swapped Winkler for Huira already.

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    Jason Wang
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    3 hours ago, CheezWizHed said:

    I knew there was one decent era I forgot, but technically... that isn't "a" 1B. 😝

     

    Yeah, I didn't say we needed a trade to get the 3 bats. I would've swapped Winkler for Huira already.

    lol this reminds me of this gem: 

     

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    8 hours ago, JasonWang7517 said:

    lol this reminds me of this gem: 

     

    😉Winker😉 got it.  Not Winkler, or Weaker, or put-a-fork-in-me-I'm-done.

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    Can anyone see any positions that could use an offensive upgrade? Hint - bringing in a new 1b moves Miller/Turang into somewhat of a platoon/timeshare at 2b.

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    I would love to see us bring Frelick up now before the deadline to see what we have there. Play him in CF and move Wiemer to RF. I know Frelick hasn't been great since his return to the thumb injury, but he can't be any worse than what we are running out there now. 

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    4 minutes ago, shanedog19 said:

    I would love to see us bring Frelick up now before the deadline to see what we have there. Play him in CF and move Wiemer to RF. I know Frelick hasn't been great since his return to the thumb injury, but he can't be any worse than what we are running out there now. 

    I don't think it makes sense to bring up a guy that isn't getting it done currently. You want to put Frelick in a position to succeed. There are a fair amount of corner OF types we could bring in that are better than what we have and Frelick right now. My realistic hope is bringing in Tyler O'Neill or Tommy Pham and CJ Cron. It's simple checkers but it should accomplish exactly what we hope to.

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    All about the bats.  Hopefully Arnold avoids the Stearns "make a trade for the sake of making a trade" where the bullpen sometimes added worse pieces at the deadline.  Justin Wilson will be our lefty reliever added to the roster.  Throwing well on rehab assignment in Nashville. 

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