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  • Trade Deadline Showdown: Would You Rather Add Brent Rooker or Mark Canha to the Brewers?


    Matthew Trueblood

    Two right-handed outfield bats make an awful lot of sense for the Brewers, with two days before the trade deadline. Their prices are likely to be similar. Which one should they pursue?

    Image courtesy of © Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

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    The Brewers' divisional lead couldn't be any slimmer, and in addition to the pesky Reds, they now face some threat from the onrushing Cubs. To stave off both, they need to complete the work they began by trading for Carlos Santana this week. Their lineup needs further reinforcement, ideally from a right-handed batter who can play some outfield. The trade targets who make the most sense in that vein are Mark Canha, of the Mets, and Brent Rooker, of the Athletics.

    Both players are right-handed hitters who mostly play left field. Neither is a strong defensive player. For various reasons, they're likely to have similar price tags in trades. Ultimately, though, they're quite different. Which one makes more sense for the Crew?

    Mark Canha

    Already 34 years old, Canha is in the second season of a two-year, $26.5-million deal he signed with the Mets prior to 2022. He's a well-built, relatively fast player, but he's not the good defender he once was, even in left field. He also doesn't hit for especially good power, particularly given his defensive limitations. That's the bad news.

    The good news is plenty good, though. Canha commands the strike zone, and owns a .347 career on-base percentage. His .338 mark this year would be his lowest since 2018, but he's trending up, hitting .260/.367/.400 in July. He doesn't swing and miss very much. He doesn't expand the zone. He hits line drives. Canha could platoon with Sal Frelick in right field when the team is at full strength, but unless and until that state is achieved, he'd be an upgrade over the incumbent options at designated hitter. If they acquired him, the Brewers would also hold a club option on him for 2024, worth $11.5 million (with a $2-million buyout, which they could plausibly get kicked into this deal by the Mets).

    Brent Rooker

    Nowhere near the overall athlete Canha can be, Rooker is best confined to DH duties, although he could spell Christian Yelich some in left field without doing too much damage. When he's hitting to his full potential, it doesn't matter where he plays, because his bat is lethal. That's how he ended up on the All-Star team this season. He did go into a long slump in June, and he's been selectively used since, but over the last month, he's batting .302/.371/.585. 

    Even in that span, Rooker has fanned 23 times in 62 plate appearances. Unlike Canha, he has ample power--some of the best in baseball--but tons of swing-and-miss in his offensive profile, and he draws few walks. He crushes lefties, but often gets eaten up by right-handed hurlers with good sliders.

    The exciting thing about Rooker is that he's under team control for the long run. He can't even become arbitration-eligible until the offseason following 2024. He'd be an addition to whom the team could hold on for as much as the next four years, if he discovers greater consistency in his approach under the tutelage of Brewers hitting coaches. Yet, he'd cost little more than Canha, because the league (including the A's themselves) is well aware of his warts and his limitations already.

    Rooker feels more like a Brewers move. Though Matt Arnold will surely prove to be different in some ways than David Stearns was, the track record for this front office is that they like to do arbitrage with young, defensively limited hitters in whom they see certain upside. They found Jesus Aguilar, Eric Thames, and Rowdy Tellez. Rooker is the spiritual successor to moves like that one, and to the team bringing in Luke Voit and Darin Ruf earlier this year.

    For that very reason, though, one could argue that Canha is the guy for whom to shoot. The Brewers' lineup needs depth at least as much as it needs one-dimensional power. Canha is the one who lengthens a batting order and puts more relentless pressure on the opposing pitching staff. He's the one who could join the baserunning carousel the team likes to run when Brice Turang and/or Joey Wiemer is getting on base. The Brewers need to think like a division leader with a chance to earn one of the byes that exist under the newly expanded playoff format. Canha is the guy who gives them a better chance to cinch a division title and make noise in October.

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    Are they likely to have a similar price in trade though?

    Rooker is cheaper, younger and has way more team control remaining, with better numbers in 2023 on top of it all.

    I’m not saying they are infallible, but BTV has Rooker at +10.8 and Canha at -0.8 in median value.

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    clancyphile
  • Brewer Fanatic Contributor
  • Posted

    I'd prefer Canha, with the OBP skills and I think his power bat woud improve if he came to Milwaukee (Citi Field has been a pitcher's park, with a 92 Park Factor for hitters and a 93 Park Factor for pitchers). Plus, he doesn't block the prospects coming up in 2024.

    Worth a package like Hedbert Perez and Russell Smith, perhaps?

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    Canha because the Brewers don’t need another long term DH/OF. Or a high strikeout guy who has only been good for a couple months in his whole career

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    Pass on both, we may have better options in Black and/or Hiura.

    I don't want to trade top prospects for non needle mover players like these.

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    Before reading your analysis, I would rather have Canha (and actually think he fits the Brewers' "philosophy" really well). The extra years of control for Rooker, though, are intriguing. Although, I'd probably just prefer they use Hiura instead of Rooker.

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    12 minutes ago, 82brewcrew82 said:

    Are these my only two choices?

    Yes, we're not allowed to trade for any other players

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    9 hours ago, sveumrules said:

    Are they likely to have a similar price in trade though?

    Rooker is cheaper, younger and has way more team control remaining, with better numbers in 2023 on top of it all.

    I’m not saying they are infallible, but BTV has Rooker at +10.8 and Canha at -0.8 in median value.

    Rooker is a 28 year old who's hitting for the first time though. That makes me a bit skeptical.

    Not that you're going to find a perfect player on the market.

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    7 hours ago, TURBO said:

    Pass on both, we may have better options in Black and/or Hiura.

    I don't want to trade top prospects for non needle mover players like these.

    I don't think either is going to require top prospects.

    I'd think Oakland would be the type of team that'd have some interest in Zamora. A good defender who gets on base, has speed and can play SS, 2B and 3B. 

     

    But again the problem I see is the Brewers are lacking the type of prospects teams are looking for that they'd be willing to part with. The top guys are off the table for a prospect like either of these guys. And then nobody wants to trade a guy like Baez or Yophery Rodriguez for a rental...just to watch them potentially climb through someone's system en route to to becoming a top 100 prospect.

    So it's Justin Jarvis, Freddy Zamora, maybe Carlos Rodriguez(CF), Ethan Small...who likely has little value. 

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    Give me Canha every day in this scenario.  Canha is better than Weimer against RHP and much better than Tellez against LHP.  He'd shore up 2 positions and would be a fraction of the cost.  

     

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    3 hours ago, BrewerFan said:

    Rooker is a 28 year old who's hitting for the first time though. That makes me a bit skeptical.

    Not that you're going to find a perfect player on the market.

    Yeah, they’re just two different profiles. 

    Rooker is more boom or bust, both in terms of track record and plate discipline profile. I wouldn’t be surprised if he put up a 70 wRC+, a 130 wRC+ or anything in between over the next two months.

    Canha is who he is at this point, a guy with a good idea what he’s doing at the plate, but not quite enough pop for a corner. Maybe he gets hot and puts up a 115 wRC+ for two months, but I also wouldn’t expect him to drop much below 90 either.

    Its basically Hiura vs Cutch from last year.

    I guess for me it seems like Canha would cost less to acquire just because he’s a rental, more expensive and has limited ceiling.

    Rooker has way more questions about his future performance, but also more potential upside at a lower cost, which is why I think the A’s would want at least one interesting prospect for him.

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    26 minutes ago, sveumrules said:

     

    I guess for me it seems like Canha would cost less to acquire just because he’s a rental, more expensive and has limited ceiling.

     

    ........And at the end of the day, I'd rather have Canha anyway.

    Seems pretty obvious it's more than just "checking in" on Jimenez, but if that doesn't happen Canha might be a fallback.

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    1 hour ago, Jim French Stepstool said:

    ........And at the end of the day, I'd rather have Canha anyway.

    Seems pretty obvious it's more than just "checking in" on Jimenez, but if that doesn't happen Canha might be a fallback.

    Yeah, Eloy would be the best option from a performance standpoint, but will also likely cost the most to acquire.

    I’d probably have Canha third behind Pham or Teoscar of the remaining DH options, and would be fine with any of them really given how bad our DHs have been this year.

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    1 hour ago, sveumrules said:

    Yeah, Eloy would be the best option from a performance standpoint, but will also likely cost the most to acquire.

    I’d probably have Canha third behind Pham or Teoscar of the remaining DH options, and would be fine with any of them really given how bad our DHs have been this year.

    I'm still genuinely in awe the Brewers haven't given Hiura another shot.

    A new stance, new swing. Looks like he's on time. 

    He has to be a little bored at AAA, but he's more than earned another shot given Winker has been our DH and when he's not, it's often been Cartini. 

    It's really just inexcusable. Lets say he "only" puts up a 750 OPS and strikes out 40% of the time. THAT is a massive upgrade on Winker.

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    12 hours ago, sveumrules said:

    Yeah, Eloy would be the best option from a performance standpoint, but will also likely cost the most to acquire.

     

    True. I'd be shocked if he didn't cost more.

    It's a really interesting dynamic. He rubs totally against the run prevention philosophy, even when you consider he'd be DHing because plugging one roster spot in that role w/o any other value hasn't been our MO. He only does one thing, but does it really well. And he spends quite a bit of time on the IL. Just a tough profile to value regarding what it would take to acquire him.

    For all we know a deal in principal might be agreed to contingent upon medicos giving him a thumbs up. Is there a DH health lab down the hall from the pitching lab?🤔

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    At cost I'd prefer Canha since I think it would take a lot less. While it is smart to take advantage of a poor org. like the A's. Rooker is their biggest tradable chip on the roster and it seems likely this season will be an outlier in his career. 

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