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TooLiveBrew

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Everything posted by TooLiveBrew

  1. TooLiveBrew
    Not only did he do a nice job tracking & staying with the ball, but he communicated very well too. Both the CF & 2B were chasing down that ball as well.
  2. TooLiveBrew
    This is the 'Suppan'/'Hart'/'Hardy' thread for the bullpen. Yes, Villy has me banging my head against the wall over his last few outings. No, this does not mean we should start making assumptions about his abilities. You could probably point to just as many bad outings by Hoffman lately... doesn't mean either one should be cut loose.
  3. TooLiveBrew
    SHOOT IT LIKE A HORSE! SHOOT IT LIKE A HORSE! SHOOT IT LIKE A HORSE!
  4. TooLiveBrew
    Or maybe if you're in the equipment room, you can overhear baseballs talking about his "History of Violence"
  5. TooLiveBrew
    Adorable. Thanks for the pics, vaccinator! Enjoy your little fuzzball http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif
  6. TooLiveBrew
    Ack. I really wish that wasn't the consensus on Brett. Obviously his bat at 2B >>> his bat at LF Is there reason to hope for the kinds of gradual defensive improvements made by Rickie Weeks for Brett? In this instance the shared position is 100% coincidental.
  7. TooLiveBrew
    I believe the Cubs will be on a down swing especially if they are relying on Soriano, Fukudome, Ramirez, and Lee then. Not to mention their starting rotation will be taking hits as they age. I believe the Cubs have one more season before they have to implode the team they have and start over. Not to mention that their farm system ain't too dandy. I don't even know if the Cubs will be able to implode that team -- not sure they're going to find a ton of buyers (at least, not at good returns) for guys 34-ish or older.
  8. TooLiveBrew
    Youre right we can just disagree, but I think you are taking things a little to literally here, the words "moneyball" and "manufacture runs" have specific conotations with respect to modern baseball discussions. People incorrectly associate the term "moneyball" with sabr-stats. As for "manufacture runs", I can admit that's more of a pet peeve/personal annoyance. Just like the difference btw. stating, 'Player X is a .297 hitter' (ugh) & 'Player X has hit .297 so far this season' (hooray!)
  9. TooLiveBrew
    July 3th, Brewers lose 2-1 in 10 innings to Cubs. Top of the 6th inning, game tied 1-1: Fielder walk, McGehee single. Now, if I was the manager this would be an automatic bunting situation. Instead: Cameron K, Hart K, Hardy weak groundout. I think we could probably exhaust this discussion going back & forth with specific scenarios, be they actual happenings or theoreticals. So I think I'll quote your own line... Im not trying to be condecending Im just disagreeing with you. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif Maybe I can hope that BF.net will be the first place where people say, "Give up outs in attempting to bunt runners over" as opposed to "manufacture runs". Any time a run is scored, no matter the method, a run has been generated. Hey, I can dream, right?!
  10. TooLiveBrew
    This will help ATL. I don't understand the Mets at all right now. So Jerry Manuel doesn't like "the player" & he's traded away for an even worse player? Good GMing, Minaya. I think you can have a serious discussion about which the better/worse GM for the Mets has been -- Phillips or Minaya.
  11. TooLiveBrew
    I think more often than not when you lose a close game there are several situations you can look back on and say man we really should have manufacturered that run in the 2nd inning instead of trying to hit a dinger. On this point... I really don't understand where this notion comes from that if you don't like giving away outs, you just sit around waiting for the longball. There are plenty of ways to score runs, or should I say "manufacture runs" without hitting a HR. Besides, how is hitting a HR not "manufacturing runs"? I think the 'manufacturing runs' thing falls in with the 'calls a good game'/'does the little things well'/'does the things that don't show up in the boscore'. It's a compliment for an offense that isn't talented, just like saying a C 'calls a good game' is a nicer way of saying, 'the only thing he does well is crouch & catch' I can assure you, as someone that apparently gets lumped into the incorrectly-named 'Moneyball' crowd, I most certainly do not want my team to constantly play for the HR. However, it's not a mutually exclusive thing to not give away outs while still taking good approaches up to the plate.
  12. TooLiveBrew
    That's neither Moneyball the book, nor "moneyball" the market strategy. Joe Morgan doesn't understand what either of those terms means, because he is an idiot. He was very good at playing baseball, yet demonstrates time after time that he has no clue or understanding as to how it should be analyzed. His tiebreaker in All-Star voting? Team W-L record (per Morgan on an ESPN game broadcast). Of course batting situations will be different. However, these stats that you loathe are over huge samples (or at least, can be if desired). I don't assume anything about the stats I quoted, and quite frankly would appreciate if you could have a discussion without the condescension -- I could have been a condescending jerk to you about the Moneyball thing, but there's really no use for it. Which player on the Brewers current roster would you not bunt with with runner on 2nd 0 outs in a tied game in the bottom of the 9th? Would you let Hart, Hardy, Hall, Kendall just swing away and think that the result of their at bat would be at worst runner on 3rd base 1 out? The only Brewers regular with whom I'd bunt in almost any situation is Kendall... maybe Counsell. This is why Joe Morgan hates moneyball, people qutoes these stats which are averages for the ENTIRE league and assume they apply to every situation...they dont. One last thought on this... equally egregious to the 'assumptions' you spit on here is the assumption that a sacrifice bunt = a successful sacrifice 100% of the time. This just isn't the case.
  13. TooLiveBrew
    But... Kendall 'is an amazing game-caller' -- how could this be?
  14. TooLiveBrew
    If Salome were regarded defensively as well as Lucroy is, he'd probably be our top prospect by quite a bit.
  15. TooLiveBrew
    While I agree they likely won't be major players... given their excesses of P, an offer built around [buchholtz/Kennedy + MLB SP whose spot Halladay takes + __??__] is certainly plausible. Of course the "??" would have to be some legit players, but just a general thought. I really think the Brewers are as legit a frontrunner as anyone for Halladay's services. Also, good point on Parra's value/neccessity next year & beyond, endaround
  16. TooLiveBrew
    Right, which is why I said it almost always increases your run expectancy... sheesh.
  17. TooLiveBrew
    A walk with RISP is certainly not useless. It just doesn't plate any runs unless the bases are loaded. I would have to guess that a BB with RISP raises run expectancy in nearly every situation. EDIT: Using the Baseball Prospectus run expectancy tool (I used 2008 as the season so it's a 'full' data set), here are the results for the two outcomes you're comparing -- Runner on 3B, 1 out: 0.969 runs Runner on 2B, 0 out: 1.150 runs You're actually better off not bunting, as it lowers your run expectancy. But of course, this old debate always comes down to whether or not you want to play for one run (in which case you bunt), or the shot at multiple runs.
  18. TooLiveBrew
    Nicely done, Jack Z. I was just going to post that if these pitchers have any value, the M's have done well.
  19. TooLiveBrew
  20. TooLiveBrew
    Updates on DeRosa & Slowey...
  21. TooLiveBrew
    Some Mets updates...
  22. TooLiveBrew
    Wow, unreal injury 'luck' for the Cubs so far this season. Sheesh, adding just one top-flight pitcher might just make the Brewers clear NL Central favorites after all.
  23. TooLiveBrew
    Great observations, guys. When your fastball's as good as Manny's, it definitely pays to work everything else off of it. I really hope this point is spot-on, since 7 IP/7K Manny Parra is just what the doctor ordered for this team.
  24. TooLiveBrew
    My dad lives in Appleton. I called him to let him know about Bush's Friday start, and turns out he's had tickets to this game with his brother & nephews for months. He just kinda laughed when I told him they'd see Dave Bush.
  25. TooLiveBrew
    If you can fix the "throw strikes" aspect of pitching... here's hoping. Good luck Manny, the Brewers need you.
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