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FVBrewerFan

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Everything posted by FVBrewerFan

  1. FVBrewerFan
    The problem I have with advanced stats is that some are not true math. Uzr and WAR are examples. Sure some amount of these stats involve math to make them look and feel objective, but they're not. Worse still is when those type of metrics are presented as absolute proof player x is underperforming, lucky, etc. I've learned a lot here, including when to tune out anyone who uses WAR as the sole argument, or even main argument for someone's position.
  2. FVBrewerFan
    I understand being concerned about playing a hot Cards team, but that's emotion talking. Phillies would be tougher opponent. Consider that in a Phillies/Brewers match-up, the Philles would have the better starting pitcher EVERY GAME. Plus they have a better lineup top to bottom. On the other hand, the Cards would be no push-over but we've played them enough and beat them enough to prove we can hang with them.
  3. FVBrewerFan
    I find the whole "hunt for content" very annoying. Netflix streaming is pretty solid, but the library is too small. Then you have some shows on Hulu, others you can order on DVD trough Netflix. Then some new releases are available on TWC, others through Redbox. Now DirectTV will be joining the battle. I swear we go through this constantly on a Friday night. Let's see "movie x" and you spend a half hour online trying to figure out who has it and how it can be delivered. Just seems odd we're in 2011, and there's not one or more sources with a virtually unlimited movie library.
  4. FVBrewerFan
    Because professional athletes are competitive. Professional managers are supposed to, well...you know, manage.
  5. FVBrewerFan
    I like the Marlin, hate the M. They should have built the Marlin into the left side of a more cursive M. You can tell this logo was born in a board room. I can hear the debates now about the M, colors, we need a Marlin in there.... so group-think decided to include...well...all of it!
  6. FVBrewerFan
    If I see any more of those 3 blind mice, I just may want to keep the magic number at 3!
  7. FVBrewerFan
    I don't like the way Kotsay is always thrown into these discussions in the same breath as Yuni/Strike3hee. Kotsay, as the 5th OF, has done his job. Of course he'll get an occasional start, and he probably shouldn't hit 2nd. But overall he has done his job as PH better than just about anyone in the NL. In fact, he may be THE best PH in the NL this year. Besides all that, he simply doesn't have the same effect on W/L as starters like Yuni/Casey do. Casey McGehee is the single biggest dissapointment period. At least with yuni, he's doing almost exactly what was expected. Marginal player at best at the bottom of the line-up. Casey was suposed to be counted on to hit 5th and drive in 100. We will never know the answer, but it would have been nice to get Green 100-150 ABs in June-Aug so we would all know (including RR) if he would be an improvement over McGehee or not. Now it's too late.
  8. FVBrewerFan
    In short, I would rather play the Cards than the Phils in the NLCS, simply because of HOF. But if I needed another reason, the Brewers have had some success against the top of the Cards' rotation. As others have said, that would mean we play AZ in the NLDS, and I would rather play them than the Braves. Finally, as if watching the Brewers in the NLCS wouldn't be fun enough, playing the Cards would add even more juice. By the way, I don't buy into who's hot/not right now. Phils have everything locked up, while the cards are fighting for their lives. As we learned recently with the Brewers, you just can't stay that hot forever.
  9. FVBrewerFan
    3
  10. FVBrewerFan
    Pirates 2, AZ 0
  11. FVBrewerFan
    Of course the comparison is close. Nobody cares what either player did last year or 5 years ago. Your rationale is the same as RR, which is why Green never got a legit shot to start all year. The old "Mcgehee is more likely to get hot" theory has died long ago.
  12. FVBrewerFan
    True, but at least Yuni can put the ball in play. Sac Fly, get a runner to 3rd (even if it's an accident), get the occasional hit. I think he would have more success doing something helpful once in a while against the NL's very best pitchers. Whereas Strike3hee would offer almost nothing at the plate against the NL's best pitchers. I really don't think we need to be talking about McGehee's "upside" at this point in the season. It's pretty clear by now whatever he had in the past is long gone. In fact, Betancourt DOES have an upside if you want to scoff at it or not. He had a hot streak after the Break, and is just as likely to have one as McGehee is. I realize this whole conversation is the very deinition of the lessor of two evils, I just like the fact the Yuni can at least make contact agianst just about any pitcher on a regular basis.
  13. FVBrewerFan
    Here's a tough call. Let's assume RR simply won't start Green in the playoffs- period. I don't think that's going out on a limb much. Then who do you want starting at SS/3B? I've thought about this a lot, and I've come up with Yuni as SS and JHJ at 3B. At least these guys put the ball in play moreso than McGehee. Plus when McGehee DOES put the ball in play, there's a chance it's a DP. Plus both Yuni and JHJ have better speed on the bases. Curious to see what others think.
  14. FVBrewerFan
    FIP is a bad stat. It basically makes any pitcher look bad if he's not a strike-out type of guy. An out is an out, and if Wolf gets them through pop-ups and ground-outs instead of strike-outs, it's fine with me. I have no problem looking at just about any stat, they're all helpful in context I just think the FIP numbers really skew the difference between Greinke and Wolf. In fact, just looking at Wolf/Narvy tells you FIP is rather meaningless. Unless anyone honestly believes Narvy has pitched better than Wolf this year.
  15. FVBrewerFan
    Don't forget the other obvious reason we wouldn't want to play Philly in the NLDS. Home Field advantage. If AZ/Cards beat them in the NLDS, Brewers would have HFA in the NLCS. i don't think winning the WS while avoiding the Phillies would make it any less special. In fact, if it plays out that the Brewers beat the Cards in the NLCS to get to the WS, that would give me even MORE satisfaction. And frankly, make a WS loss easier to accept if it comes to that.
  16. FVBrewerFan
    Couldn't happen til the second round. I'm aware.
  17. FVBrewerFan
    Go Cards! Rather play them than Philly
  18. FVBrewerFan
    Does Strike3hee lead MLB in backwards Ks? I would love to know.
  19. FVBrewerFan
    McGehee is a Cub killer, even this year if my memory is any good. So I don't mind him starting vs the Scrubs. Besides, I've given up expecting any significant amount of playing time for Green- it's just not going to happen this year.
  20. FVBrewerFan
    Right, time for Dale Sveum 2.0
  21. FVBrewerFan
    That's the point. While 99.8% may be statistically accurate, it's a very fluid number that's a bit misleading. I just don't believe there's only a .2% chance the Brewers lose the next 5 and Cards win the next five. Maybe that's the case, just doesn't seem that far out there these days.
  22. FVBrewerFan
    Sick of the media being blamed for the Krod and Prince comments. Sorry, but like it or not it's news when KRod says the Brewers deceived him. It's the media's job to ask Prince about next year. he could have answered like he has 1,000 times before. "I'm focused on winning a WS right now." or "I'm concetrating on THIS season, trying to win a pennant." That's not media speak, i would hope it's the truth. There's a time to temper Brewers' fans expectations, he can do that starting the day after the Brewers are eliminated.
  23. FVBrewerFan
    99.8% chance the odds of making the playoffs will be a distant memory if they win one game or less on this road trip.
  24. FVBrewerFan
    He went 1-4 with a double in his 2nd start. Then 0-3 against a former CY Young winner Carpenter, 1-3 against another CY Young winner Halladay, and 0-3 against Worley, a guy who a lot of people have had trouble with this year. And if you watch his ABs, most of his outs are line drives as well. So that rationalization that "Green hasn't been that great in his (4) starts" is just asinine and the kind of thinking that sadly, Roenicke is probably using. There is no defense for it. Green is clearly a better option than McGehee at this point. That is exactly what RR is thinking. When you're default opinion is that you rather play Casey over Green, you'll look for any reason to do so. Look, it's not even a lock Green would do better than McGehee over an extended period of time. Even less of a lock he would do significantly better. The question I posed back in June already is of risk/reward. If Green doesn't do any better, you haven't lost anything. But any upside he gives you at all is a plus. Most managers- good, bad, and everything in between would shake things up when the offense is struggling as it is now. It's almost as if RR is doing this just to prove that he's right. But I don't think that's his motivation. Closing in on 150 games, and he's still convinced McGehee and Yuni are on the verge of breaking out in a big way.
  25. FVBrewerFan
    NO, it's not exactly what he said a week after trading for him. What he has said twice now this week is that the Brewers lied to him. Or we can use the word dishonest if you prefer. I think the point is being missed here, it's NOT about his desire to close. It's his claim that Brewers lied to him, and he's not happy about it. Now whether or not they did is another story, but we don't need a player bad-mouthing the club during a pennant race.
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