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joepepsi

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Everything posted by joepepsi

  1. So why don't they? Villy is nothing special as a middle reliever. He should still have options. The organization should consider sending him to AAA at the start of the season and see what he can do as a starter.
  2. Don't forget the "Clubhouse Cancer" tag. When Bill Hall was a good hitter he was a great teammate and Fan Favorite. When he stopped hitting murmurs began to swirl around about "malcontent" and "clubhouse cancer".
  3. Gomez and Hardy hit about the same in '09. So if Hardy was worth $22 million last year, then Gomez must be worth at least $20 million-it's a bargain! I suppose you can justify it by they are both playing important defensive positions and Gomez has a chance to be good someday. I'm not sure there is evidence supporting that however.
  4. Getz showed some decent power in his one full season at AAA for a 2b. He's a lefty, so there's possibly Fontenot type potential there. Fields has put up solid offense in the minors, though he does K a lot. I think his problems have stemmed more from the White Sox not committing to him at 3B. It could pay off for the Royals to bat him 6th or 7th and see what he does in 500 plate appearances. Teahen's bat is not acceptable for a corner player.
  5. I agree with everything in your post except the "B" comments. The greatest period of parity in the major leagues was from the dawn of free agency through 1995. Then the unbalanced TV revenues took over and small to mid market teams began to be outbid for free agents by the few large market teams. Here are the teams who played in the World Series from1979 through 1995: Pirates, Orioles, Twins, Dodgers, Reds, Blue Jays, Royals, Brewers, Mets, Red Sox,. A's, Giants, Cardinals', Padres, Braves, Phillies, Tigers, Indians, Reds, Yankees. That's 20 different teams over 16 World Series. Every organization had a legitimate chance to build a Championship organization. It's true the Yankees have a history of using other major league clubs as their personal farm club. The Kansas City Athletics are the most obvious example. As I recall, the A's owner actually had an ownership claim in the Yankee Stadium too, so he purposely fed his best players to the Bronx Bombers. These pre-1995 instances are examples of greedy, incompetent smaller market owners selling players to the Yankees for their own profits. What's going on now is far different. There's a little more to the Ruth story than the oft-repeated legend. Here's Wikipedia:
  6. Fair enough. But Fontenot was always a pretty good hitting middle infielder in the minors. He was stuck in Iowa for 3 years because the Cubs already had Walker for the first two years, and then Derosa. Theriot is a good comparison to McGehee. He wasn't much of a hitter in the minors except for his last year and a half. Then his first 1/3 season in the majors he played like ARod at ss.
  7. Fontenot was a no. 1 pick by the Orioles, traded to the Cubs in the Sosa deal. He was always a pretty good hitting 2B prospect. In the Orioles organization he was behind Roberts, Hairston, and Willie Harris. Perhaps the only position in the last decade where the Orioles had some organizational depth.
  8. Do you think the Brewers intended to pay $20 million for just replacement level results?
  9. OK, I get it. But it's still too high. It's like it's based on what the Yankees would pay to get that production.
  10. Other than Aaron Rodgers, the Packers really aren't very good.
  11. Cameron's career OPS is .788. Gerut's is .765 Hardy career OPS: .751 Escobar minor league career OPS: .708 McGehee minor league career OPS .741 Gamel 2 seasons a AAA .829 OPS Salome last year at AAA: .741 Braun major league career OPS: .937 Prince major league career OPS: .931
  12. And those using lesser in depth stats usually come to similar conclusions. Which raises my point that all these complicated formulas don't really add much more insight that what is available through reasonable observation and evaluation of rate stats.
  13. Thank you for your explanation, Baldkin. Your graphic is much better than anything I could come up with! Still, I'm not completely sold. Seems like if you play defense for a crappy pitching staff then your metrics are bound to suffer. Brewer pitchers may have given up lots of screaming line drives off the LF wall. Braun couldn't stop them; possibly no defender could, therefore he allowed 15 more runs than an average defender would. Especially one that plays with a better pitching staff. It's relatively simple to come up with a figure for an average offensive player. Seems to me it would be very difficult to do the same for defense, and almost impossible to accurately compare a players' defense to this mythical average.
  14. Except the overwhelming number of plays in the field are routine, especially for outfielders. I agree a LF'er who missed one catch a week that an average (replacement level apparently), fielder would catch seems extraordinarily bad. And highly unusual. There just aren't that many opportunities to fail so miserably. Braun had 314 chances in 1364 innings in LF. That's about 2 chances per game. Teams play 6 games a week, so that means Braun had 12.43 chances a week on balls he got to. Ibanez is generally considered a poor LF'er. He had 224 chances in 1123 innings. That figures to about 10.77 chances per 6 games. Ethier is considered a pretty good LF. he averaged 11.55 chances per 6. Chase Hedley averaged 12.25. Soriano 11.75. Carlos Lee averaged 9.4. Where's the evidence that points to Braun missing balls that other LF'ers in the league are reaching? Even if other LF'ers are getting more chances per game or per week, how do we know that's not due their teams' pitching staffs?
  15. It's smart marketing to name a place after the famous guy who owns it.
  16. I don't either, and going strictly by OPS you'd find that Cameron is 6th among outfielders who played at least 100 games in CF. His OPS was .795, .001 behind Fukdome, who isn't nearly as good as good a defender and started only 105 games in CF. Cam started 146 games in CF, so it's safe to say he's clearly a more valuable player than Fukudome. It's not a stretch to put Cameron in the top 5 CF'ers in MLB; I just don't think you need fangraphs to tell you that when handier, simpler stats already make the case. On another topic, if a replacement level player is considered to be an average defender, then the value of a good defender is less than I even thought. If any Schmoe is average out there, it's not worth paying extra for somebody really good. It's really difficult for me to believe Braun cost 15 more runs in LF than an average LF'er. He'd have to be booting balls, missing flies, making fewer attempts than a replacement player would out in LF. Where's the data that shows he was missing so many plays throughout the year that opposing teams scored 15 more runs than they otherwise would have?
  17. The difference between good and bad defense is significant. The difference between good and average, not so much. It's laughable to me that Braun's defense is 15 runs worse than a replacement level player's defense. What is even harder for me to grasp is the notion that Nyjer's defense is so great that's it's equal to Braun's offensive contributions. If it were true that great defense was equal to great offense than a team of Neifi Perez's would win the World Series on a regular basis.
  18. From my perspective the problem with WAR, VORP, Win Shares and other complicated intricate measurement systems is they don't really tell us much more than simple stats like OPS, *OPS+, K:BB ratio, and other handy, easy to get to measurements. I realize the more complicated systems are attempting to measure defense, but it seems they always grossly overvalue it.
  19. Reportedly Acta turned down the job in favor of the Indians. Smart move.
  20. I'm picturing Bennigans or Fridays, but with higher quality photos in the laminated 15 page menus. The house specialty will be Prime Rib. Choice of appetizers will include hot wings, coconut shrimp, and a giant quesadilla cut into pie slices. Spotted Cow, Sam Adams, and Killians Red will be on tap.
  21. They don't ignore it, they just feel the fine isn't enough to keep them from going over it for the right player(s).
  22. You'll never see a salary cap. The lack of competitive balance is not the players' fault, it's a MLB issue. The players shouldn't have to solve the problem, it's the owners' responsibility. Also, if ownership tries to bring up a cap in negotiations, then the players will demand teams open up their books for perusal. That will stop the salary cap issure immediately. The only answers are to improve the draft regulations, increase revenue sharing of media dollars, and forcing cheap teams to invest a minimal amount back into player salary and development.
  23. I doubt the Angels threw the series. I think they just played like crap.
  24. I think a player has to be on the 60 day DL for insurance to kick in. Also, I recall reading a couple years ago that insurance will only cover a set number of years for a pitching contract. Something like 5 I think. That's another reason why few pitchers get deals behind 4 or 5 years.
  25. It wasn't just Kazmir. As a friend pointed out at another site, the Angels made lots of silly blunders, the kind of mistakes that make you wonder how they won 97 games. There was less on field evidence with the Black Sox scandal.
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