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joepepsi

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Everything posted by joepepsi

  1. joepepsi
    He's still hoping for the HoF. If he or any other player were to admit, "hell yes I hit all them homers 'cause of the drugs", that'd kill their chances once and for all. Canseco can tell the truth because he probably would not have been elected to the Hall anyway.
  2. joepepsi
    He was waiting to see his HoF numbers before admitting to anything. He's seen guys who admit use are generally forgiven after a few months. Since he only got 23% of the vote, no doubt he's figuring what does he have to lose. Like the open container of creatine sitting conspicuously in his locker during the record setting season, this is another example of an arrogant man believing he can manipulate the media and fans.
  3. joepepsi
    Larkin must be in the top 20 all best ss. That should be enough for the HoF.
  4. joepepsi
    Holliday's career OPS is .933. Bay's is .896. Considering Holliday has a 1.066 career OPS at Coors, the difference is suspicious. I'm not convinced he is a "much, much better player than Bay". He is about 16 months younger, so he might be. But until he puts up the numbers for a couple years away from Coors, I'll reserve judgement.
  5. joepepsi
    It's early January and monty57 has already written the Post of the Year.
  6. joepepsi
    Dale Murphy was probably better in 1987, or at least as good. Dawson had the gaudy RBI totals though.
  7. joepepsi
    Does this mean Dave Parker must now be elected next year? Dwight Evans was a much better hitter and right fielder than Dawson, but I don't hear anyone clamoring for his enshrinement. Dawson was a very good player, but not deserving of the HOF. Maybe not the worst selection, but probably among the bottom group of HOF'ers.. Lots of players as good or better never even get consideration. I think he benefits by being a good guy to the media, positive role model, and admired teammate. I'm happy for him, but like Rice, probably would never have voted for him.
  8. joepepsi
    I think Hardy and Hall's replacements were Escobar and McGehee, respectively.
  9. joepepsi
    He could still end up with a Jarry Hairston type career; not really very good, but handy to have around as a 25th man.
  10. joepepsi
    Seattle's pythagorean W/L was 10 games worse than their actual W/L. That's a pretty big disparity. Usually this indicates quite a bit of luck went into those extra 10 wins. Expect regression.
  11. joepepsi
    I agree. They haven't had a good answer at ss for a few years. Hardy will give them a good glove and hopefully get back some of his power. Gomez may develop into a special player, but he wasn't much with the Twins and they have OF depth.
  12. joepepsi
    Alomar, Larkin, Blyleven, Trammell, Raines. In the future maybe McGriff and Edgar. I know lots of people think Dawson deserves it. I'm willing to be persuaded, but for now, I don't think so. Same with Jack Morris. Mattingly doesn't deserve it. Two players in my lifetime who deserve it but will probably never make it are Lou Whitaker and Ted Simmons.
  13. joepepsi
    When Dayton Moore came on board Baseball Prospectus fell all over themselves praising his genius. As I recall they really like Baird at first too. Moore was a top assistant GM with the Braves. How could he be so lost in KC?
  14. joepepsi
    The difference with Swisher's bad 2008 is he maintained his patience at the plate. His obp was still 120 points higher than his .219 batting average. Players with that kind of patience are far more likely to bounce back from a down batting average year. I'm not convinced Hardy will ever duplicate his 2008 season.
  15. joepepsi
    This time last year I was ready to dump Hart for anybody they could get. But he raised his obp 35 points in '09 compared to '08 even though his batting average dipped 8 points. I expect him to be much better next season. Probably the 2007 version of Corey Hart, but a 280/340/460 version seems reasonable. And that's not bad for your 5 or 6 hitter.
  16. joepepsi
    He had a .585 OPS at home, but was more respectable on the road, .749. Still, slugging was way down no matter where he played. His numbers should bounce back a bit with a different home park, but his age is showing.
  17. joepepsi
    Brewers were 3rd in runs scored last year, 15th in runs allowed. Colorado was 2nd in runs scored, (18 more than the Brewers), and 7th in runs allowed, (103 fewer runs than the Brewers). That difference was good for 12 extra wins for Colorado. I suspect the offense won't score quite as many runs and be somewhere in the 5th-6th ranking. But the defense should allow far fewer runs and end up in the middle of the pack. That should put them in the 86-90 win category, a pace good enough to justify another deadline push for acquiring a pitcher.
  18. joepepsi
    It's clear players give 100% every year, but in their walk year they give 110%.
  19. joepepsi
    JVasquez career ERA: 4.19 RandWolf career ERA: 4.13 That is all. Feel free to carry on with the ranting and raving.
  20. joepepsi
    I don't think Suppan is one of the worst blunders in Wisconsin Sports History. Is he overpaid? Heck, yes! But he's also averaged 32 starts, 182 innings and a 4.93 ERA a year over the first 3 years of his contract. That's not great but it's not without value either. Bill Hall's contract was much worse. So are contracts to people like Riske or Higuera who weren't able to play for much of the term.
  21. joepepsi
    See this is what bugs me about MLB. The Brewers are expected to give up Gamel for Vasquez, but the Yankees only have to give up Melky and some propects? It's like every teams just bends over the Yankees.
  22. joepepsi
    He looks to me like someone who was bothered by an injury last year and the team wanted him to pitch through it. His minor league career ERA is 3.06. He K'd almost a batter an inning in the minors and walked only 2.5 per 9. His fastball goes well into the 90's doesn't it? That doesn't seem like the profile of a AAAA pitcher. Last year was the first year he ever struggle with control. His K rate was way down. When this suddenly happens to a pitcher it's often the result of some sort of injury. Last season I expected to hear at any moment that he had an elbow injury and was facing TJ surgery.
  23. joepepsi
    In three years with the Brewers he's averaged 182 innings a season. So, really, it did kinda happen.
  24. joepepsi
    There's tremendous value in healthy league average pitching. A starter like that might be worth oh, say, $10 million a year. At least that was about right in the market where Suppan was signed. I'll agree the Brewers may have overpaid a couple million a year or by adding the 4th year, but this was an organization that no worthwhile free agents took seriously. If Soup's contract got other players to take the Brewers more seriously in the ensuing offseasons, then the extra $$ or year were well worth it. Melvin was not alone among GM's in the early-mid part of this decade. In part because of the inflated offense of the steroid issue, most GMs as recently as 3 years ago put a greater emphasis on offense. (After all, the team that scores the most runs win the game!) It's only been the last couple offseasons that we've a shift in valuing defense. In 07/08 Dunn made $23.5 million. As a free agent last winter he had to settle for a 2 year deal for $20 million from the worst team in baseball. Similar circumstances for Burrell. He had to settle for a 2 year/$16 million deal after making $50 million in his previous contract. Everybody was undervaluing defense until very recently. Criticizing Melvin for doing the same is similar to all the criticisms of him on this board. It looks at his actions in a revisionist vacuum, not in the context of the original event.
  25. joepepsi
    In 2009 Suppan made 30 starts. 12 of them were quality starts (6ip;3er or less). Another 3 starts he pitched 5+ innings allowing 2 er or less. That's 15 of 30 starts that were not bad. He also had two other starts where he left the team in a reasonable position to win: 5-2/3ip, 3er, and 5ip, 3 er.
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