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joepepsi

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Everything posted by joepepsi

  1. joepepsi
    On DirecTV I think ExtraInnings is free for the first week of the season, and for the first week (or 4-5 days) after the All Star break. You can subscribe for a partial year during the free period after the All Star break.
  2. joepepsi
    In this day and age any manager should be fired immediately when he uses the same catcher in both games of a doubleheader. If no other reason Yost should have been fired for letting Rivera rot on the bench, spending the entire year on the 25 man roster yet only get 69 plate appearances. It may be the single dumbest move by any manager, ever. It also shows how Yost let him players run the team. I like a manager who uses his entire roster. Macha alone could mean 5 more wins.
  3. joepepsi
    I live in La Crosse and have DirecTV. Last year when the games were on WMLW, they were carried on an alternate channel on DirecTV, not on FSN. The only way to find it each time was to flip through all the RSNa channels. Fwiw, Charter Cable seems to carry the WMLW games on their FSN channel. So if you're old enough you can go to most bars in town (and there are plenty of those!) to watch the game, or a friend's house. I subscribed to ExtraInnings the last 4 seasons, but am seriously considering not getting it this year. In La Crosse you get every televised Twins home game (the away games are blacked out!) and all televised Brewers' games. With MLB network also carrying a weekly game, I'm thinking there will be plenty of baseball for me to watch without having to tune to the weekly ESPN Yankees and Red Sox' games. Plus MLB Network is running a highlights show every night from the start of the first games out East until the completion of the last West Coast game. ExtraInnings is a great package, but I just haven't gotten my money's worth the last couple summers. If you live near Mpls/St. Paul, but near the Wi border, you may get the Brewers' broadcasts without subscribing to ExtraInnings.
  4. joepepsi
    Wasn't Weeks always on the 40 man roster?
  5. joepepsi
    But fans remember strikeouts! A ground out to the ss with a runner on 2nd is excusable. But a strikeout? How could a batter be so bad?
  6. joepepsi
    but then we wouldn't need Craig Counsell!
  7. joepepsi
    I knew they shouldn't have signed Counsell. Now he'll be the de facto starting 3B. Ugh.
  8. joepepsi
    He make joke.http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif
  9. joepepsi
    I think 3 million is the over/under mark. It's amazing such a small market can top 3 million attendance. Even if they are the best team in the NL and win the World Series, it'll be hard to get much more than last year's attendance. 3 million fans as a percentage of the population of Wisconsin is remarkable. As a percentage of the people living in Greater Milwaukee it's amazing.
  10. joepepsi
    I think it's likely Hart will bolt for free agency as soon as he can. Not because he's a bad guy or hates the Brewers, but it's fairly easy for the Brewers to replace him.
  11. joepepsi
    Too bad he didn't have the surgery in early October.
  12. joepepsi
    93-69; Division winners. I think the pitching staff is a lot better than most give it credit. Prince and Braun will meet their '07 and '08 production halfway. The new manager will not excuse inconsistent play as learning experiences; players will have to earn their playing time. Eliminating the Ned Factor could mean 4 more wins at least.
  13. joepepsi
    While I appreciate minor league stats don't define potential, let me point out I think it's wrong to compare to Bill Hall to Alex Rios and Grady Sizemore. Sizemore was a 3rd round pick, Rios, a first rounder. Hall was a 6th round pick, so I admit I may be selling him short. Still, if you're comparing him to players it's worth pointing out Iribarren has hit for much higher avg/obp/slg in the minors than Hall. His batting average is 50 points higher, his obp 70 points higher, slugging, 32 points higher. I don't think anyone's claiming he's a top prospect. It's a sign of the current strength of the organization that Iribarren will probably never get the chance Bill Hall did to establish a major league career.
  14. joepepsi
    I started a trade Corey Hart topic back in October. At the time he looked like their best combination of value and replaceable. Since then the market has changed considerably. Spring training is a couple days away. I think the the roster is set and this isn't a good time to trade Corey.
  15. joepepsi
    That is a good point. I just looked up BP's projection for team wins in 2009. Guess what? They've projected 14 teams to be within 5 wins of 81. In other words, half the teams will end up around .500. (just like I predicted above!) As Russ writes, luck plays a deciding role which teams are over, which are under. After that it's not hard to predict which 25 % of the teams are better than .500 teams, and which 25% are worse.
  16. joepepsi
    I used to be intrigued by THT, but last season I bought the season preview and found it so full of glaring errors that I stopped paying any attention to them.
  17. joepepsi
    Last season 10 teams finished within 1 standard deviation of 81 wins. Another 3 finished with 74 wins, so that's awfully close. So allow me to make a quick eyeball of the teams for 2009 and make my bold projections: 88 wins: Tampa Boston Yankees Angels Mets Philly Cubs Brewers. 81 wins: Toronto Twins White Sox Indians Tigers Texas Oakland Florida Atlanta St. Louis Houston Reds Dodgers D-Backs 75 wins: Orioles Royals Seattle Nats Pittsburgh Colorado Giants Padres I bet I'm within 1 standard deviation of 90 % of the teams, at least.
  18. joepepsi
    Abreu is about 2/3rds of the way to 3,000 hits. Most likely he'll end up like Harold Baines, a few hits shy. He's averaged 171 hits the last 3 years. He'll make 3000 hits in 7 years if he averages 150 each season. He should make 2500 hits sometime in 2012. By then he'll be right around 600 doubles, 300 homers, 400 stolen bases. A wonderful player, one of the most underrated of his time. Borderline HOF'er.
  19. joepepsi
    I don't hold much with projections. I think you can do the same thing yourself by looking at past performance, age, where the player was playing, and come up with an equally accurate projection in a seconds. It's sorta like OPS. OPS leaves out a lot of details, over emphasizes slugging pct, but generally gives you a quick, accurate assessment of a player's value.
  20. joepepsi
    Except for 346 at bats (.303/.345/.529) in High Desert back in 2001, there was never any reason to think he had enormous potential. His career obp in the minors was .303! His slugging was .387. His first season in AAA in 465 at bats he posted a .568 OPS. That just flat out stinks. There was no indication in the minors that he'd ever be anything but a backup infielder. Only in a pathetic organization like the Brewers circa 2001/2002 would a player like this be sold as a top prospect. To his credit he's played his heart out in the majors and had two amazing seasons that no one could have predicted. The Brewers made a mistake thinking fluke meant a new higher standard. I think his true level of performance is closer to his 2007 numbers. Don't get me wrong, I like the guy plenty, but he's too much of a free swinging hack to sustain his 2005-2006 level.
  21. joepepsi
    It's because of baseball's deal with the devil and getting that anti-trust exemption all those years ago.
  22. joepepsi
    I think they will compete for the Wild Card, with a legitimate chance to win the division outright. At worst, they should still win 83-85 games. At best they could be 10 wins above that. The rotation 1-5 is better than the Phillies' last year. Obviously Gallardo and Parra are somewhat wild cards at this point, but I don't see the Cubs' rotation as vastly superior. I suppose the Mets have the best rotation. I see the Mets, Phils, Cubs, and Brewers having the best combination of offense and pitching. Atlanta, Florida, Houston, and St. Louis could be really good, mediocre, or bad. The West will be boring as usual with no serious wild card contender. Sabathia was great last year, but his effect on the team is somewhat overrated. In 2009 I look for more consistency, improved offense, better bullpen and a much better manager.
  23. joepepsi
    Defensively Hardy is more Ripken than Larkin. Like Ripken he doesn't get credit for his very good defense because he's not flashy. As I once heard Orlando Cabrera say on the radio about Jeter. Yankee fans think Jeter is great because he looks amazing going to the 3rd base side of LF and doing that spinning-fly-turnaround throw to get the runner at first. But if he had been playing in the correct position to begin with, the play would have been routine. Offensively Hardy is more Miquel Tejada without the B-12 than Bill Hall. The thing about Hall, he was never really that good. It's just he was the only pseudo-prospect in the high minors at the time so he got a better chance than most similar minor leaguers ever get. To his credit he made the most of it. But he was never the player Hardy was, nor was he expected to be.
  24. joepepsi
    His K:BB ratio in the minors is borderline horrible.
  25. joepepsi
    Anybody watching the Carribean(or whatever it's called) playoffs on MLB? It's pretty cool, I think.
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