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LouisEly

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  1. Off by a round, but got one! Don’t be surprised if it’s: Quay Walker, ILB, Georgia – Walker didn’t test as well as some expected, but he is instinctive with quick recognition and response and plays disciplined, team-oriented football. Perhaps his best calling card is his size (6’4”, 240) which lends to covering TEs and playing either inside or outside.
  2. I could see them packaging their 3rd to move up from #22 to #17 and leapfrogging the Saints and Eagles. At #17 I would bet a significant amount of money that at least one of Wilson, Olave, and London is still on the board. If they do that, I could see them move down from #28 and see what edge rusher or DL falls to them early in the 2nd. I don't see them coming out of the draft with less than four picks in the top two rounds. They have a lot of depth they need to replace because of cap casualties, and will need a number of players ready to contribute significant snaps. Olave has said that he has had lots of contact with the Packers.
  3. A few thoughts based on the discussion above. 1) If Gutes was enamored with WR size, he wouldn't have drafted Amari Rodgers in the 3rd round last year. (Remember, they almost drafted him in the 2nd.) It's a trend, but I think it's overblown. B) Gutes personally attended Ohio State's pro day, but didn't bring in Olave or Wilson for an in-person visit. The Packers tend to bring in high round guys who have question marks (behavior, incomplete workout numbers, physical skills, etc.). Drake London had an incomplete workout, but wasn't brought in. 3) Bad teams draft guards in the first round. Especially when they already have three proven starters at guard.
  4. One other thing I noticed with their visits - only one TE was brought in for an in-person visit, and he clearly will be a UDFA. Dulcich was brought in for a virtual visit and Ferguson a local visit, so this could be either one of the biggest smokescreens ever and they don't want anyone knowing they are looking at TE, they like the five TEs on their roster a lot more than some people on message boards do, or there's substance to the Darren Waller rumor. Personally, I think it's the latter two much more than the first. Here's the positional breakdown of the in-person visits. It won't necessarily tell you who, but may give an idea of what positions they are focusing on: Offensive linemen: 8 (the tea leaves seem to be reading multiple day 3 picks more than one day 1/2 pick) Receivers: 7 Interior defensive linemen: 4 Cornerbacks: 4 Edge defenders: 2 Off-ball linebackers: 3 Safeties: 2 (I put Tariq Carpenter here) Tight ends: 1
  5. Made two changes to my mock. I don't like to make last-minute changes - I like to see if I can identify guys before they come in for visits - but these are guys who I had on early lists but changed out. Substituted Drake Jackson for Cameron Thomas as one of my picks at #59, and Kyron Johnson for Baylon Spector at #249. I'm still going back and forth between Quay Walker and Channing Tindall as one of my options at #53. I'm sticking with Walker, but have a feeling I'll regret leaving Tindall out. What's interesting is that some of the players who the Packers have had visits with (in-person or virtual) and haven't been on anyone's radar are guys who played opposite guys on my list every day in practice (Jamaree Salyer, Rasheed Walker, Jahmir Johnson, John FitzPatrick).
  6. Not a bad prediction at all. I gave him serious consideration, but went with Leal later for three reasons: first, based on history (taking Gary at #12 when they had just signed both Smiths) the Packers seem to highly value pass rush from the edge and I think they go with that at #28 and Jones won't be there at #53; second, Barry likes to generate pressure from his front four so he can drop seven in coverage so I went with a more accomplished pass rusher; third, Gutey seems to gravitate towards players from the SEC.
  7. This is an example of why I put little to no stock in the draft simulators. They're fun, but I just came away with the following doing nothing but trading down and if this happens it will be unbelievable. #22 - Treylon Burks, WR, Arkansas #37 - Devonte Wyatt, DT, Georgia #59 - Jalen Pitre, S, Baylor #60 - Cameron Thomas, Edge, San Diego State #78 - Alec Pierce, WR, Cincinnati #91 - Zyon McCollum, CB, Sam Houston State #96 - Jeremy Ruckert, TE, Ohio State #99 - Channing Tindall, LB, Georgia #132 - Zach Thomas, OT, San Diego State #170 - Kellen Diesch, OT, Arizona State #195 - Tanner Conner, WR/H-Back, Idaho State #210 - Luke Goedeke, G/T, Central Michigan #214 - Eyioma Uwazurike, DT, Iowa State #228 - Scott Patchan, Edge, Colorado State
  8. Lucas Patrick wasn't drafted and was waived out of his first camp with Green Bay in 2016. Hanson was waived/cut from his first camp in 2020 (keeping in mind the limited camp and practice time they had that year because of COVID), but was on the 53-man roster all of 2021.
  9. The Packers have three centers currently on the roster - Myers, Jake Hanson, and Michael Menet. They kept Hanson around all of last year and brought back Menet on a futures contract for a reason. Menet was a guy I was *this* close to putting in my mock for the Packers last year. He might have been a late round backup plan if Myers was gone before they picked.
  10. Ted Thompson has a well-documented history of using official visits as smokescreens. He never took a guy in the first three rounds that he brought in for a visit. Brian Gutekunst is a different story.
  11. That's so bad it's clickbait. The Packers have young, high draft pick starters at C/G in Myers, Jenkins, Newman, and Runyan started all of last year. Why in the hell would they pick a C/G with a first round pick? That, and no way they take a WR with a >12% drop rate at #22. Not with Rodgers as the QB.
  12. As someone who has a MBA specializing in marketing research from the #1 marketing research MBA program in the country, I don't draw conclusions on behavior based on n=5, particularly without knowing the population distribution. With regards to the population, how many players were there in the last couple of drafts who were a) 23 years or older and b) had shown enough skill to be considered in the top two rounds? I'd guess very few. You would need to find comps of that age and similar metrics (RAS, PFF grade, height/weight/length, etc.) to be able to say that they avoided those players. And, as mentioned, lots of players took advantage of the covid year in order to give themselves a better chance to get drafted higher by developing more and getting more scouting/exposure/pro day. However, the sample size on athleticism w/r/t Packers draft picks is much larger and more likely to be representative of actual behavior. I'd be willing to bet more on a players RAS (Raimann = 9.81, Wyatt 9.63) than age. And there's no guarantee of a second contract. If they're a two-contracts before 30 organization, how come nobody from the 2018 draft class, Gutey's first, has received one yet? Right now that behavior is 0-11 and 0-4 on players who stayed four years; Alexander hasn't signed an extension yet. They also were willing to sign Adams beyond 30 and offered him as much or more than the Raiders; Adams left because he wanted to, not because the Packers don't keep players beyond 30. That, and Aaron Rodgers. If they're good, they'll keep them.
  13. Seem to be a lot of concerns about Smith's discipline and pass protection technique, and subsequently holding penalties. The Packers are in win-now mode and can't get beat by penalties. Long term he may have more upside, but more bust potential too. As for age, Raimann may be more willing to sign an extension knowing that he won't be a FA until age 29/30 whereas a 21-year-old might try to test the market and go for the home run contract at prime age 26.
  14. I think the current staff is smart enough to not ask him to move to nose tackle.
  15. Every year I say I'm not going to do this again, but who am I kidding - it's tradition. Not sure how this will look in the new format (probably painful), but here goes. Mods, feel free to break off into a separate thread for predictions. Heading into the draft, I think the biggest questions that will affect who the Packers draft and when are at offensive tackle. Do they think Bakh will be ready to go? What is the prognosis of Jenkins returning, and will he be able to backup at OT when he returns or will the knee not be ready for that? Do the Packers believe that Newman and Van Lanen, both of whom are listed as “T/G” on the Packers.com roster, can actually play RT? Do they see Nijman long-term and will they be able to sign him long-term? With only nine OL on the roster – two of whom are exclusively centers – the Packers will need to address depth with multiple picks; the question is which rounds and which positions. If Bakh is healthy they don’t need starters – they’re set with Bakh, Runyan, Myers, Newman, and Nijman while waiting for Jenkins to return. But they will need backups capable of playing multiple positions. Between less players participating in testing at the combine and less info available about testing at pro days, guessing the later round picks and UDFAs is getting more difficult. But here goes. 1st round (#22): Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State – the Packers need at WR is well-documented, and so is Aaron Rodgers lack of trust in rookies. He needs an excellent route runner who knows where he is supposed to be and Olave is the best in the draft class at that. As smooth as they get, and has the athleticism to get separation at all three levels. Needs to improve his strength, but they can move him around in the formation. Ohio State expects their WRs to be good run blockers too, and Gutes personally attended OSU’s pro day. (replaces Davante Adams) If he’s still available: Drake London, WR, USC – two-sport athlete good enough to play on the USC basketball team, he has the WR size that the Packers covet. Elite catch radius and also at using strength and leverage to create separation. Basketball background makes body positioning and high-pointing the ball natural. In 7.5 games last year had 88 catches for over 1,000 yards when the opponents knew he was getting the ball and also broke 22 tackles. He may not “take the top off” the defense, but this draft has plenty of guys who can do that who they can get later. Don’t be surprised if it’s: Devonte Wyatt, DT, Georgia – the Packers covet elite athleticism, and Wyatt demonstrated that by running a 4.77-40 at the combine. Disruptive, great lateral movement, high effort at chasing down the play. Like other Georgia defenders his stats were deceivingly low because of so many playmakers in their front seven; PFF gave him a 90.1 grade and ranked him first in positively graded play rate against the run and 10th in pass-rush win rate. DT isn’t nearly as deep as WR is, so the Packers may go with athleticism at DT and address WR later. 1st round (#28): Arnold Ebiketie, Edge, Penn State – the Packers value pass rush and Ebiketie is one of the best in this draft class as evidenced by his 90.5 PFF pass rushing grade and 52 pressures. Ebiketie brings urgency off of the snap and can quickly penetrate gaps, as evidenced by leading the Big Ten in TFLs. Athletic, explosive (38” vertical), excellent pass rusher who also has special teams experience; Badgers fans will remember he blocked the FG against them, one of two blocked field goals on the season. Gutes personally attended Penn State’s pro day. (replaces Za’Darius Smith) If he’s still available: Treylon Burks, WR, Arkansas – Burks is a WR in a RB’s body, and it shows in his brand of play as he averaged almost 10 YAC. Burks has huge hands and great body control and leverage, allowing him to overcome average athleticism. He’s also great at tracking deep balls, which may come from having been an all-state centerfielder. Any questions about his ability can be answered by looking at the Alabama tape where he had 8 catches for 179 yards and 2 TDs despite everyone knowing he was getting the ball. Even if they go WR at #22, I could see them doubling up on Burks or taking Burks at #22 if Olave and London are gone. Don’t be surprised if it’s: Bernhard Raimann, OT, Central Michigan – former TE who moved to OT before the 2020 season, Raimann is just scratching the surface of what he can do. The instincts and technique aren’t quite there yet, but he has the natural quickness and footwork to set out to NFL edge speed and has the strength to anchor on the bull rush. The Packers have to replace two OTs, Bakh may not be all the way back yet, and Nijman will be a RFA after the season and if he plays as well as he did last year they may not be able to afford him long-term. PFF grade of 94.6 last year. 2nd round (#53): George Pickens, WR, Georgia – He’s a first round talent, but his injury history will push him down; normally a 4.47 40 at the combine is a great time but this year it was fairly average and perhaps speaks to not being 100% back from the ACL injury, and he didn’t run the agility drills. Needs to improve play strength, route-running, and show confidence in his knee to get separation and thus I don’t think he goes as high as some think, but I think the Packers go for the upside here and could use one of their 4th round picks to move up to get him or trade down from #28 and grab him early in the 2nd. Lowest drop rate (2.7%) of any of the top WR prospects. (replaces MV-S) If he’s still available: Boye Mafe, Edge, Minnesota – Mafe has explosive traits, but I don’t think he will go as high as some think because of a lack of instincts which usually translates into a lack of production. He won’t be required to start though, so the Packers can develop his explosive traits in a backup role like they did with Rashan Gary. Don’t be surprised if it’s: Quay Walker, ILB, Georgia – Walker didn’t test as well as some expected, but he is instinctive with quick recognition and response and plays disciplined, team-oriented football. Perhaps his best calling card is his size (6’4”, 240) which lends to covering TEs and playing either inside or outside. 2nd round (#59): DeMarvin Leal, DT, Texas A&M – Leal didn’t quite meet the lofty expectations set for him this year and in his testing numbers, but was very productive with 8.5 sacks and 12.5 TFLs. A bit on the lean size, but he was an early entrant and is on the younger side. Best fit might be 3-4 DE, but he can be a designated pass rusher for a year while he develops. Gutey also seems to like players from the SEC (replaces Kingsley Keke) If he’s still available: Jalen Pitre, S/CB, Baylor – if you go back to Joe Barry’s introductory press conference, he talked about the importance of the nickel position and that’s what Pitre starred at in Baylor’s “Star” position. Doesn’t have the size to be the big nickel, but in the pros the nickel is much more of a DB than LB. Great agility, had one of the top 3-cone times at the combine, and is described as a “coach’s dream” with outstanding intangibles and football IQ. Don’t be surprised if it’s: Drake Jackson, Edge, USC - Jackson was a bit miscast in the trainwreck that was 2021 USC as they had him dropping off in coverage more than he should have been, dampening his pass rushing stats. But he is a great pass rusher (pass rush grade of 87.7 last year) with excellent bend and put up great agility times at USC's pro day. Can't find whether he actually ran the 40 at his personal pro day, but he just turned 21 and the Packers have shown affinity to younger players who may not be fully developed. 3rd round (#92): Zyon McCollum, CB, Sam Houston State – the Packers need depth at CB, and bringing back Douglas allows them to take a higher-ceiling prospect they can develop and they don’t get any higher ceiling than McCollum. Elite size (6’2”, 200), athleticism (4.33 40), explosiveness (39.5” vertical, 132 broad jump) and agility – his 3-cone and short-shuttle times were tops of any player at any position at the combine. Has some technique flaws, but takes to coaching extremely well and has elite intangibles and leadership. Wouldn’t be surprised if he’s gone by this point, but if he’s there I don’t think he makes it past the Packers here. (replaces Chandon Sullivan) If he’s still available: Abraham Lucas, OT, Washington State – Lucas answered any questions about his athleticism and agility at the combine, scoring top times in the agility drills and a sub-5.00 40. Lucas’ pass protection is ahead of his run blocking, but that’s OK for the Packers; in 477 pass block snaps last year he gave up zero sacks and one hit per PFF. Has great size and length, but plays a little upright, had issues with false start penalties, and needed TE help with speed rushers (the latter two may be related). Don’t be surprised if it’s: Troy Anderson, ILB, Montana State – Anderson started his career at RB and QB (and was all-conference at QB in 2018), then moved to LB where he also was 1st team all-conference. Anderson has the long speed (4.42 40) but doesn’t have the instincts at this point due to being a recent switch to LB. Could also be a jumbo RB or FB in short-yardage situations. Developmental guy with high upside if they believe in Barnes for the short-term. 4th round (#132): Aaron Hansford, ILB, Texas A&M – converted WR who is athletically gifted and has smooth change of direction and sideline to sideline range. Didn’t become a starter until 2020 and is still learning the position and recognizing play design and blocking schemes. Rocked up w/8% body fat, he ran a 4.6 at their pro day. Not a finished product by any means, he still has upside, has flashed blitzing ability, and Gutey seems to like guys from the SEC. (replaces Oren Burks) If he’s still available: Sam Williams, Edge, Ole Miss – another athletic freak who blew up the combine with his 4.46 speed, Williams was first team all-SEC this past season and was fifth in the nation with 12.5 sacks and 10th in the nation with four forced fumbles. He’s getting knocked down for two things – a sexual battery charge in 2020 that was dropped, and for his run defense. There was a reason for the latter though – they often played him at the 4i-tech instead of OLB or 7-tech where he projects to as a pro. Don’t be surprised if it’s: Kellen Diesch, OT, Arizona State – the Packers need to replace two OTs and may use two picks on them even though they don’t need a starter right now. Diesch has outstanding athleticism and quickness, but doesn’t have the functional length (short-ish arms) and strength at this point. Good developmental prospect, and Gutes personally attended Arizona State’s pro day. 4th round (#140): Zach Thomas, T/G, San Diego State – some have Thomas projected to guard, but I think he demonstrated more than enough at the combine and pro day to have a future at OT. Has the length (6’5”, 34” arms, 83” wingspan) and athleticism (4.96 40, 7.40 3-cone, 4.65 short-shuttle) that are more than adequate for the outside. His 1.67 split in the 40 is top-5 all-time for OTs, and PFF graded him out at 87.2 last season. Excellent pad level, and has room to add more muscle and improve his body composition. He can move inside if needed, but I think can stay outside and fits the Packers need for OL who can play multiple positions. (replaces Billy Turner) If he’s still available: Jelani Woods, TE, Virginia – former QB who put up some impressive combine and pro day performances, Woods had good production but is still a bit raw with technique and the tape doesn’t quite match the athleticism. There is upside here, and IMO the Packers don’t need a TE, but he might be too good to pass up here. Don’t be surprised if it’s: Eyioma Uwazurike, DT, Iowa State – a mountain of a man (6’6”, 319) with length (35” arms, 86” wingspan), perhaps nobody took advantage of his extra year more than he did having accounted for 9 sacks and 12 TFLs this past season. Explosive as well, had the top vertical (33”) at the combine for DL and his 4.75 in the short shuttle is impressive for a man his size. Pad level gets away from him, but is the ideal 5-tech. 5th round (#171): Tanner Conner, WR/H-Back, Idaho State – two-sport athlete who also competes in the hurdles on the track team, he’s perhaps the most athletic freak in the draft. Played WR but has the size of a LB (6’3”, 230) and ran a 4.37 at Washington's pro day with a 40” vertical. A bit raw on the route-running, but nobody his size runs like he does and he has an elite work ethic. Could easily add a few pounds and move to H-Back, but wherever he ends up playing he’ll be a matchup nightmare. Excels at special teams and as a senior captain played on as many special teams units as he could. Will be a special teams demon while he develops. (replaces ESB) If he’s still available: JT Woods, S, Baylor – former track star with sprinter’s speed, he ran a blistering 4.36 40 at the combine and was productive as well with nine interceptions over the last two seasons. He’s versatile and played in all of Baylor’s safety positions, but had too many busted assignments in single high coverage, had issues with angles and finishing tackles, and subsequently didn’t have a good PFF grade last year (67.0). Don’t be surprised if it’s: Velus Jones, Jr., WR/RB/KR, Tennessee – flashed big-time speed, but never really put it together as a WR until his sixth season in college. Outstanding returner, the Packers need reliability and production back there. Note how I listed RB – he has decent size (6’0”, 203), and the Packers could see him in a Tyler Ervin type of role on offense. 7th round (#228): Ryan Van Demark, OT, Connecticut – has outstanding length (35.5” arms, 85.5” wingspan), but has concerns about strength and playing too upright. He answered questions about his agility and athleticism at their pro day, showing great footwork and a 7.39 3-cone time, which is great for his height and size, along with adequate strength. The Packers need to replace two OTs, and I think they’ll draft two. (replaces Dennis Kelly) If he’s still available: Samori Toure, WR, Nebraska – Badgers fans will remember Toure being wide open during the Nebraska game, and Toure then did the same thing at the Shrine game. Toure transferred from Montana where he dominated FCS, and showed he could do the same at FBS. Outstanding route runner who is fluid in and out of his breaks, creating great separation. Reportedly ran in the 4.4’s at their pro day. Not as big as advertised (6’1”, 191), but puts in great effort in blocking. Don’t be surprised if it’s: Eric Johnson, DT, Missouri State – small school prospect with good size (6’4”, 299) and length (34” arms) who ran an impressive 4.86 40 at his pro day. Impressed enough at the NFLPA Collegiate Bowl to earn an invite to the Senior Bowl, and carries almost no bad weight on him. With only five DL on the roster they could double-up with one pick early and one late. 7th round (#249): Joey Blount, S, Virginia – productive four-year starter who accumulated 9 interceptions, 3 forced fumbles, 19.5 TFLs and 5.5 sacks over his career, for some reason he was left off of the combine list but more than made up for it at their pro day. Ran a 4.38 40, 6.76 3-cone, 4.16 short shuttle, 30” vertical, and 20 reps on the bench. (replaces Henry Black) If he’s still available: Kyron Johnson, LB, Kansas - Johnson was a bit miscast as an OLB at Kansas as he doesn't have the size to play edge, but teams will be looking at him as an off-ball LB after he ran a 4.40 at his pro day with a 39" vertical. 2nd team all Big 12 last year with eight career forced fumbles. At the minimum will be a great special teams player, and gave Abraham Lucas fits in Senior Bowl practices. Don’t be surprised if it’s: Faion Hicks, CB, Wisconsin – UW’s defense finished fifth in the nation in passer rating against, and the play of their corners was a big reason for it. Hicks blew up their pro day, running a 4.37 40, 3.94 short shuttle (which would have tied McCollum for best of any player at any position at the combine), 6.78 3-cone, and left many wondering why he wasn’t at the combine. Hicks is better suited for the slot than the outside where he played at UW. 7th round: (#258): Scott Patchan, Edge, Colorado State – over the last two years Patchan was one of the most productive edge rushers in FBS, accumulating 17 sacks and 27 TFL in 16 games. Typical high-motor guy, there were questions about his athleticism that he answered at their pro day – he put up 29 reps on the bench, which would have been tops among all edge rushers at the combine, and ran a very good 40. (replaces Rivers/Hamilton/Mercilus) If he’s still available: Juanyeh Thomas, S, Georgia Tech – Thomas is more of a box safety/big nickel, but he did that well. Three year starter who forced six fumbles in his career, his best opportunity might be on special teams where he excelled. He’s returned 34 kicks in his career, including taking two to the house as a freshman, plus a handful of punts. Don’t be surprised if it’s: Isaac Taylor-Stewart, CB, USC – size/length/speed prospect who didn’t always play up to his ability at USC, he’s worth a flyer for his traits but needs to improve his technique. Could become an effective press man corner. Players who I'll probably regret leaving out: George Karlaftis, Channing Tindall, Romeo Doubs, Dominique Robinson, Carson Wells UDFAs: Zander Horvath, RB/H-Back, Purdue Bryant Koback, RB, Toledo Andrew Ogletree, TE, Youngstown St. Jack Sorenson, WR, Miami (OH) Jalen Virgil, WR/RB/KR, Appalachian State Alec Anderson, T/G, UCLA Josh Seltzner, G, Wisconsin John Ojukwu, OT, Boise St. Daron Bland, CB, Fresno State Tayler Hawkins, CB/S, San Diego State Scott Nelson, S, Wisconsin Tariq Carpenter, S/LB, Georgia Tech Storey Jackson, LB, Liberty Aaron Mosby, OLB, Fresno State Ralfs Rusins, DT, Liberty Kevin Atkins, DT, Fresno State Blake Hayes, P, Illinois
  16. I understand the need for ads. Couple of requests/questions: For desktop, what I don't mind is freezing the right 20-25% or so of the screen and having a fixed ad space that stays there as you scroll. Not sure if this is possible, but it's much better than placing ads between posts (and as a marketer, I would hypothesize that it is more effective). For God's sake, please do not put in any of those Outbrain/Tabloola/clickbait ads like you see on SBNation sites. Please only have legitimate ads from legitimate companies. Another option might be having to watch a 15-second ad before going to the site/article. I would be OK with that if it keeps ads out of the forums.
  17. That's just one of the four guys on NFL.com. Zierlein is the best over there, probably followed by Schrager who has GB going with Burks at #22 and Wyatt at #28, which I think is very, very possible.
  18. Now, we're starting to hear about his teammate who is clearly also highly thought of. Will be curious to see where and when he ends up. You need to start following people other than Pauline. Most others (PFF, The Draft Network, NFL.com, etc.) have had Goedeke in their top 100-150 since the end of the season. PFF has Goedeke at #100. NFL.com has a grade of 6.22 which puts him roughly in that same range (mid-3rd to early 4th). Most are projecting him to guard because of his short-ish arms (32 1/4").
  19. This is exactly it. They need one guy to open up the field, but Lazard has caught a lot of balls in this offense for a reason and it isn't because of his speed.
  20. Nope. Grill the hot dog (whatever type of hot dog you wish) Put on a hot dog bun Add mustard or Stadium Secret Sauce Add diced raw onions (preferably yellow) Add shredded cheese (if it's not a cheese dog) That's a Wisconsin dog. None of that jalapeno BS.
  21. Nope. Grill the hot dog (whatever type of hot dog you wish) Put on a hot dog bun Add mustard or Stadium Secret Sauce Add diced raw onions (preferably yellow) Add shredded cheese (if it's not a cheese dog) That's a Wisconsin dog. None of that jalapeno BS.
  22. No, he's not unheralded or under the radar at all - there's a good chance he will not be on the board on Day 3. NFL.com has a grade of 6.14 on him; for reference, their grade on Christian Watson (who you think is not likely to be there when the Packers pick late in the 2nd), is 6.27. No way he makes it past the 4th round. You've been gushing over Watson, but McCollum's numbers are better than Watson's across the board except for broad jump - 4.33 40, 39.5" vertical, and a ridiculous 6.48 3-cone and 3.94 short-shuttle, both best of any player at any position at the combine. I don't think he makes it past the Packers 3rd round pick, much less their 4th round picks (spoiler alert)...
  23. Can we please not post PFF mock drafts? They take up too much screen space, and they are not terribly accurate in terms of who will be available when. IMO, the guys at NFL.com (Zierlein, etc.) are more accurate as they have more access to NFL scouts and player personnel executives.
  24. That seems to be the case this year. I don't know that the QB class is good enough for Houston to take one 3rd overall, but it might make a lot of sense for Houston to move up from #37 to #28 and leapfrog DET (who has #32 and #34) to get one. Same with Washington at #42, they may want to leapfrog DET and HOU. A trade that might make a lot of sense is for GB and HOU to swap picks #28 and #37, with GB and HOU swapping 3rd round picks (#92 and #68) and HOU adding one or two of their 6th round picks. If GB can move up to #68, perhaps one of those top 60 guys will still be there or GB can give up a day 3 pick to move up into the top 60 giving GB three of those 15-60 picks. A trade with WAS might be GB's #28 and #171 for WAS #42 and #73. That being said, those teams may want to leapfrog TB at #27 too because they will be looking for a QB. But if TB grabs one, that may increase the demand to get whoever is left at #28.
  25. As for the TEs in this class, size does not appear to be correlated with blocking skills. Kolar is considered to be a willing blocker but poor technique and pad level and loses leverage quickly and easily. The best blocking TE in the draft might be one of the smallest and someone nobody is talking about - San Jose State's Derrick Deese, Jr., listed at 6'4", 235. Yes, his father is that Derrick Deese, thus why he may be the best blocking TE in the draft. He also caught 47 passes for 735 yards this past season. Second best blocking TE is probably Oregon State's Teagan Quitoriano. Both guys should be available later on day 3. My hope is that the QBs are slim pickings at the end of the first and someone wants to trade up to the Packers spot to get whoever is left, with GB moving down to early in the 2nd and getting a 3rd or couple of 4ths. Then GB takes from whichever of the DTs are still available (Leal, Wyatt, Jones, Mathis, Winfrey) and then goes WR/Edge/ILB/OT. There's a big dropoff in DT talent after the top six, and Barry likes to be able to pressure with his front four and drop seven, so I think GB goes DT no later than their 2nd round pick. A CB will be in there somewhere, maybe two - Douglas, King, and Sullivan are free agents and Douglas may have priced himself out of a return. Edge will need to be in there with Z. Smith likely gone, possibly P. Smith, and nothing for backups. GB will have lots of roster spots to fill, so day 3 draft picks may be based more on roster quantity than quality.
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