Jump to content
The trade deadline is one day away, and 76 of our top 80 are still on the board. Click here to stay up-to-date! ×
Brewer Fanatic

LouisEly

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    11,782

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    14

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

News

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospects Ranking

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

Milwaukee Brewers Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. LouisEly
    What doesn't change is that TOR doesn't have to mess around with it with 20 other teams, a number of whom are also in contention. They don't have to risk Gausman nixing it for any reason at all.
  2. LouisEly
    That risk subsides once a pitcher reaches his physical peak of age 27. The ramp-up risk is for younger pitchers. Ryan threw 104 innings in 2023.
  3. LouisEly
    Last year they traded for Priester in April and Vaughn in June. They also traded for Danny Jansen three days before the deadline. Nobody moved faster than them.
  4. LouisEly
    Nothing happened until last night, and nothing was going to happen until Skubal was dealt. This is a different year. The Skubal domino had to fall first, and as already stated, Gausman had the Brewers on his NTC.
  5. LouisEly
    Proactive reminder that the Brewers were one of 8-10 teams on Gausman's no trade list.
  6. LouisEly
    I keep reading this "River Ryan is almost 28, he's not a prospect" BS. Counterpoint - being almost 28 makes him more valuable. Why? The Tigers have team and salary control during his peak years (ages 27-32). He's not going to become a FA as soon as he hits his peak - he's not going to become a FA until he's 32.
  7. LouisEly
    They face Skubal and the Dodgers on Tuesday. Good luck with that win streak.
  8. LouisEly
    I'm just wondering if they were a little deflated or didn't sleep well after hearing about Skubal going to the Dodgers. Need an acquisition or two tomorrow to give them a mental boost.
  9. LouisEly
    The silver lining: Skubal's first start for the Dodgers is against the Cubs on Tuesday. After that, he can blow out his elbow for all I care.
  10. LouisEly
    Exactly. I think there's a lot of endowment effect going on here. People seem to forget that while Henderson is younger, he has quite the injury history. His value has to be discounted for that. If you want, substitute Brandon Sproat who is about to turn 26. But Henderson and Sproat are the closest to River Ryan in terms of stuff and major league readiness whether people like it or not. And River Ryan made the majors at age 25 despite being drafted at age 22, then he got hurt. It's not like it took him until age 28 to knock on the major league door. Pena is still in high-A. He hasn't proven that he can make the jump to AA yet, and he has some health concerns as well. Those have to discount his value. Meanwhile, Hope has a .899 OPS in AA. Pull out any A-ball SP comp you want. Smith is averaging 13.7 K/9 to only 3.6 BB/9 this year, mostly at low-A. I'm struggling to find a Brewers SP prospect who at 21 years old averaged >11 K/9 and less than 4 BB/9 in any meaningful sample of innings. Smith was a 3rd round pick who got $700K. It's a much better comp than people think.
  11. LouisEly
    Of course it's enormous right now. It's going to be enormous until 4:45PM CT Monday. In other news, grass is green.
  12. LouisEly
    That's what I've been wondering. Not from a PED standpoint, but from a "are Midwest League/Southern League pitchers this bad" causing us irrational exuberance standpoint.
  13. LouisEly
    Based on the reaction from some, it needs to be brought to you by North Shore Adult Diapers.
  14. LouisEly
    Quero hasn't caught in over a month. No other catchers on the 40-man in case of injury to Contreras or Sanchez. I don't think it's anything more than needing a 3rd catcher in case of emergency.
  15. LouisEly
    I think this is the answer. Quero hasn't caught in a little over a month (6/26) for a reason.
  16. LouisEly
    Tucker Kraft officially activated off of the PUP list and will start practicing (light duty/individual drills for now) today. Important because we are still six weeks from the first game. Should be enough time to get ramped up.
  17. LouisEly
    Shows you just how big "small samples" can be in baseball.
  18. LouisEly
    Last year in the regular season, the Brewers hit 1 HR every 37.5 PAs. Against the Cubs in the NLDS, the Brewers hit 1 HR every 25.4 PAs. (That 1 HR every 25.4 PAs was exactly the same rate as the Dodgers in the 2025 regular season.) The Brewers had a significantly higher HR rate in the playoffs versus the Cubs than in the regular season. If you want to factor in the Dodgers series, the Brewers hit 1 HR every 38.5 PAs, or just slightly less than the regular season. The Brewers HR rate in the playoffs declined by 2.7%. The Dodgers HR rate in the regular season was 1 HR every 25.4 PAs. Their HR rate in the playoffs was 1 every 31.3 PAs. Their HR rate declined by 23%. So, the notion that the Brewers don't hit enough HRs to win in the playoffs isn't supported by the data. That leaves only one of two conclusions: It was specific to the Dodgers pitching staff It is just the randomness of baseball in a 4-game series
  19. LouisEly
    They hike rates when demand is driving inflation. Demand is not driving inflation - it's the price of oil/gas and getting goods to market. Q2 GDP growth rate was only 1.5%, and PCE fell 0.1%. Core PCE (ex-food/energy) was up only 0.1%. That's why they didn't raise rates. The rise in oil prices earlier this year is already baked into the YoY inflation.
  20. LouisEly
    What's your definition of "consistency" and what teams do it better than the Brewers?
  21. LouisEly
  22. LouisEly
    Mitchell still has a .914 OPS for July. It's baseball, almost everyone has a 2-week slump or three during the season.
  23. LouisEly
    Jett is in AAA and is still only 22 years old. He's 4.1 years younger than league average. He's far from a finished product. He's younger than Blake Burke, and the same age as Fischer and Dinges who were both in A-ball six weeks ago. Turang didn't break into the majors until he was 23, and didn't become positive in offensive WAR until age 25. To think that Jett can't become a meaningful player is a bit short-sighted, and while he may not currently be a top 100 prospect (top 100 prospect lists tend to have a bias towards the shiny new toy - how many of those who displace Jett will still be on the list a year from now?), I don't think there's a shortage of GMs who think he can still become a very good major league player.
  24. LouisEly
    I think that there's a good chance that the threat of a lockout next season changes the Brewers approach. Trading for a player with multiple years of control loses its value if there is no season next year. If there are changes to how many years of control a team has on a player, that could affect the value of prospects. If there's a season that the Brewers pay the price for a top rental, this is it.
  25. LouisEly
    Well, now Luis Lara can get in the lineup. WOAH SOLVDD.
×
×
  • Create New...