LouisEly
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Everything posted by LouisEly
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MLF said today in his press conference that "every conversation I've been involved in with Gutey and Russ and Mark, we're all on the same page (about wanting Rodgers back). There's no debate." He also said "there's no plan for a rebuild" and that there's a plan in place to get under the salary cap and get their contributors all back for next season. I don't think it will be "all" contributors, but whether or not Z. Smith and Cobb are considered as "contributors" is up for debate. I think those two will need to be cut, and they can extend/restructure Jaire, P. Smith, Amos, Rodgers, Turner, and Lowry to get the additional cap savings they need.
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I saw two teams try to choke the game away multiple times in bigger fashions than the Packers did.
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Right now the Packers are about $40M over the 2022 cap. Trading Rodgers pre-6/1 will result in $19.6M in 2022 cap savings. Here's the max they could save with each player: Z. Smith - $15.3M P. Smith - $13.7M R. Cobb - $8.1M (post-6/1 release) A. Amos - $7.9M Lowry - $5.8M (post-6/1 release or trade) B. Turner - $5.8M (post-6/1 release or trade) K. King - $3M (post-6/1 release) M. Crosby - $3.1M (post-6/1 release) The total cap savings of those players is $62.7M ($82.3M including Rodgers), so they can cut Bakh but I don't see the point. Why "sell low" on Bakh? Love is going to need a good LT, and Bakh isn't going to have a significant impact, if any impact, on how many games they win. And as I said earlier, if the Packers suck and they don't have Rodgers, what FA is going to want to come here? They can also extend Amos and Alexander and lower their $12M and $13.3M cap numbers significantly, so they could create space by extending those two along with P. Smith and possibly be able to get Rodgers and Adams back for one more run.
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And watching them take the Packers to the playoffs would be even more hilarious.
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They probably couldn't. They're already $44M over the cap in '22; Bakhtiari's contract calls for a $22.8M cap hit in '22; cutting him would put them $60M over the cap plus they'll need almost $10M to sign their draft picks. With pulling forward all of the prorated signing bonuses they might not be able to cut $70M. And if the team is terrible, no free agent is going to want to come here so having cap space is useless. That, and the best way for Love to develop is to give him time in the pocket with a good LT. They said best case would be a year for Bakh to return and it's been a year. Give him another 8 months to rehab and see where he's at.
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Divisional Round: 49ers @ Packers - Saturday, January 22nd 7:15PM
LouisEly replied to homer's topic in Other Sports
It came down to four plays: 1) Blocked punt 2) Blocked field goal - I rewatched it this morning and the 49ers had six rushers left of the snapper and the Packers only had four blockers. Before the timeout they had the same thing, and the only adjustment the Packers made was to have Davis and Lancaster swap sides. The Packers didn't move a lineman over to that side in the timeout and still had four blockers to six rushers - the other side had three rushers (the other two defenders were off the LOS) and four blockers. That if anything is grounds for firing the special teams coordinator. 3) Lewis' fumble - big momentum shift, the 49ers were on their heels 4) Aaron Jones not going out of bounds on the 75-yard pass play at the end of the first half. For some reason he runs at the defender trying to juke him when the defender is still 10 yards away and gets tackled in-bounds. If he runs full-tilt down the sidelines he goes out of bounds around the 10-yard line and the clock will stop with 26 seconds left and they don't have to use their last timeout. With 26 seconds and a timeout they have three shots at the end zone for a TD from the 10-yard line; with a TO left they can even try a short play to get inside the 5 and have two plays from short yardage for a TD. I might even put this at #3 ahead of Lewis' fumble. -
Yes, it is crazy. They'll incur $39M in dead cap space if they release him. Best case scenario is they trade him after 6/1 in which they will incur $8.8M in dead cap in 2022 and $17.5M in dead cap in 2023, but that requires a trade partner and I don't know if anyone is going to take on his contract coming off of an injury and not being able to play in this playoff game.
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Divisional Round: 49ers @ Packers - Saturday, January 22nd 7:15PM
LouisEly replied to homer's topic in Other Sports
not only was he wide open but he probably would have run all the way to field goal range Except he wasn't wide open when Rodgers threw the ball - he was wide open after the throw was made. Look at the :04 mark of that video - Lazard has one defender behind him and one in front of him and Rodgers was already in his throwing motion when Lazard made his break. Now, Rodgers had another second to let the play develop and Lazard would have been open. But when he looked over at Lazard early in the play he wasn't open. -
So this is what it was like to be an Atlanta Braves fan in the 90's and 2000's. Best starting pitching in baseball, but only one championship to show for it.
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Except that Turner wasn't the problem (and he was the LT, not the LG). Bosa had two sacks and two QB hits - he was LDE and lined up across from Kelly. Armstead had two sacks and two QB hits - he's the LDT and lined up across from Patrick. Ebukam was lined up across from Turner and he had one sack and one QB hit, but Bosa and Armstead were the much bigger problems.
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Divisional Round: 49ers @ Packers - Saturday, January 22nd 7:15PM
LouisEly replied to homer's topic in Other Sports
Everyone at 1265 Lombardi Ave. I don't even buy that. I think there's a part of Brian Gutekunst that will never go public to anybody that is at least a little bit OK with tonight's events if it leads to a very easy Rodgers departure. I'm sure MLF would love to have him back. The job of a GM is to win games and go to the playoffs. I guarantee that Gutekunst has a helluva lot more job security with Rodgers than he does with Love. No GM whose team was the #1 seed wants to tear it down. Ever. -
Divisional Round: 49ers @ Packers - Saturday, January 22nd 7:15PM
LouisEly replied to homer's topic in Other Sports
Everyone at 1265 Lombardi Ave. -
Divisional Round: 49ers @ Packers - Saturday, January 22nd 7:15PM
LouisEly replied to homer's topic in Other Sports
I think the only people who feel that way are not employed by the Green Bay Packers. -
If there's little to no dropoff from your starters to your bench, you can give your starters an extra 5 minutes of rest each game and have fresher legs, especially the 2nd game of the weekend. If you can get by with your starters playing 32 minutes a game instead of 37 that's a big advantage in the Saturday/Sunday games.
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Davis and Davison combined outscored all five MSU starters. The problem was MSU's bench. If you would have told me that MSU's starting five would score 43 points I would have taken it. Having depth like that will be valuable come tourney time.
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Why were the Villanova fans getting on Kolek's case?
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At Texas you're third fiddle to football and baseball. Plus, Texas is the USC of the midwest - super-wealthy alumni and boosters who are never satisfied and get coaches fired every four years.
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Chris Orr, Director of Player Development, isn't technically a coach, but knows a thing or two about playing ILB.
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Between this and the likely cuts of the Smiths for cap purposes, they are going to have to invest high draft capital on the defensive front seven yet again.
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Rankings are all relative. Might be an overall down year in CBB, so a 2-seed this year might be the equivalent of a 4-seed in other years.
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That's because you have a 15-year loan. You're hardly paying any interest at all and extra payments will reduce the principal on a 15-year a lot more than on a 30-year, where you are paying a lot more in interest in the first 15 years. It works on a 30-year, not a 15-year refinance.
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And Jay Shaw, a 2nd Team All Pac-12 CB by AP and PFF. 5'11", 190, 6 INTs and 147 INT return yards including taking one to the house over the last three seasons along with two forced fumbles.
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1) HELOC interest is still tax deductible, so long as it's used on something to improve your home. Not sure what you have to provide or document to prove what you are doing with it, but the interest on a $25K HELOC is only ~$90/month so it's not a significant deduction. Deducting it would save you about $250/year on your taxes, but as I demonstrated earlier, when used over the first 10 years of a loan it can eliminate around 70 payments (which in my example is over $120K in payments). I'll give back $250/year in tax deductions for eliminating $120K in payments. 2) With a HELOC, you only have to pay interest during the 10-year draw period. You do not have to pay back the principal until after 10 years. 3) I explained how it works with my real-life example earlier in the thread. If you don't believe it, get a mortgage schedule (Excel can generate one for you) and run it for yourself. I ran it on my mortgage schedule ($400K loan, 3.25% interest with a $25K HELOC at ~4.3% interest) and it eliminated ~70 payments, or over $120K in payments in the first 10 years. 4) It was compared to making extra payments on a mortgage. It's way, way, better than making extra payments on a mortgage.
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12 minutes left, plenty of time for two more possessions.
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You use the HELOC to pay down the principal of your mortgage. First you take out the mortgage, then the HELOC, then use the HELOC to pay down the principal on the mortgage. HELOC's can have either fixed or variable. General rule of thumb - don't use a home equity loan to pay for anything not attached to your home.
