From a trade value standpoint all the above is true, but then again how many 37-38 year old QBs were traded right after they won MVP? As for Rodgers' trade value right now vs 1 year from now, I'd actually argue it will be higher in 1 season because more teams could plausibly set themselves up to swing that kind of trade, both from a draft pick/player compensation standpoint and from a salary cap standpoint. Right now there's maybe two teams (Broncos, Raiders) that come up frequently when speculating trade partners this offseason - but with all the young QBs that will be making starts in 2021, there's a good chance a few flame out or at least fall on their faces, and then GMs are going to be scrambling to try and get a quality veteran QB in the fold to try and 'win now'. I'm thinking additional teams like the 49ers, Giants, Eagles, Dolphins, Redskins. Plus, you'll also have a few teams who may be looking to replace their own veteran QB's next offseason due to retirement or discontent if their season goes poorly (Seahawks, Steelers, Texans, Titans, Falcons). That winds up being roughly a third of the league possibly in the market for a 38 yr old but still great quarterback instead of a couple - that along would drive up trade value even after Rodgers got a year older and sat out a full season with teams knowing he isn't going to play for Green Bay in 2022. The one thing really working against a 2022 trade value would be the salary cap hit his current contract would remain on the Packers, who will already be hardpressed to resign some key players (Alexander, Adams, etc) in the next year without Rodgers counting almost $40M against the 2022 cap and not playing.