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Fear The Chorizo

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Everything posted by Fear The Chorizo

  1. Don't sleep on the Cards having problems the rest of this month despite their recent extended run of winning baseball - If the Cubs don't implode the rest of September for them looks pretty daunting compared to their last ~20 games. They've got Rockies on the road (CO isn't a great team, but that stadium kills good pitching), followed by Brewers, Nationals, Cubs, Dbacks, Cubs...It wouldn't surprise me if headed into the season's last weekend that the division and at least one wild card sport are up for grabs among the Cards, Cubs, and Brewers. The Cubs, while still in wildcard position, are a battered team right now that can't rely on its starting rotation nearly as much as they need to. That said, they still have the talent to prevent a tailspin, so they will be a factor until the end. Brewers need to win series, and they'll be a postseason participant.
  2. This cub team is on more fumes than the brewers right now...plus they have 7 against a cards team on a roll at the end of the month. Get it to within two games of them tomorrow and I think the dbacks are the bigger threat to keep the brewers out of the wildcard than the cubs.
  3. Was hoping that atrocious defensive cub OF would bite them!
  4. Cubs on still needs to get 6 more outside, so this isnt over...sure would stink to have the game decided by walking in a run. The decision to go with pomeranz in that spot is just baffling
  5. Unbelievable. I really think the league needs to take a hard look at this - wasn't new England rumored to be one of the teams interested in trading for brown, but there was no way the Steelers would have dealt him there? Kinda convenient for him to crazy his way out of the raiders to then fall into the Patriots's lap for far less guaranteed money.
  6. I doubt he gets enough carries to go crazy...members of the band should be playing more than Taylor by the 4th quarter today
  7. Punt it out of bounds
  8. Too close to not being able to challenge that atrocity of a call...La Fleur should keep that in mind next time he thinks about challenging an offensive pi at a seemingly innocent point in the action.
  9. Biggest thing that jumps off the screen is the packers have speed everywhere on D, and their secondary has the personnel to play man coverage and let the safeties fly around instead of sitting 40 yards downfield to cover up blown coverages. When your talent is better you don't have to get too cute overscheming.
  10. Savage.is.going.to.be.a.STUD
  11. Guy's gotta get his posts in while he can before the next pitching staff blowup dampens the September callup narrative that he's been parroting for the past 3 months falls apart.
  12. Looks like he hasn't had too many hits since that 1st one. I'm already convinced that yelich has already outperformed what these 4 guys will do in their entire mlb careers, and the brewers still have yelich a couple more seasons. This trade was highway robbery
  13. I think Taylor ranks higher than Stokes simply because he has the ability to play all three OF positions well defensively. He's the best defender of the three. Probably the most upside as an all-around hitter as well. That said, none of those guys had very good seasons, other than Taylor for about the last 3 weeks or so. Taylor and Ray are very good, but the former had a LOT of health problems over the years and was apparently overmatched until 2018 (when he was at Colorado Springs) and the latter regressed after a superb 2018, which was preceded by some rough years prior to that (his highest OPS outside 2018 is .679). The LOWEST OPS Stokes posted over his career was a .694 in Arizona, but he posted a .363 OBP that year. In fact, Ray's highest OBP over the years in the Brewers system, .323, is 18 points LOWER than the lowest OBP Stokes posted during his tenure. Taylor does edge above Stokes' lowest mark in the OBP department in 2017 and 2019, but in both cases, he got assists due to rehab assignments in Maryvale. Detroit got the kind of prospect the Brewers can't afford to let go for free. Stokes hasn't had a season where he ops'd over .800, and he plays a corner OF position - he is exactly the type of prospect just about every organization lets go for free at some point. Hoping Stokes makes the most out of his opportunity with the tigers, but reality is that there are dozens of players with Stokes' chance of becoming a mlb regular - most all of them dont.
  14. But isn't it the bad/losing teams that have given the Brewers problems this year? 1-2 v. Miami (48-88) 1-2 v. Seattle (58-81) 0-3 v. LA Angels (65-73) 0-3 v. Padres (64-73) Had they merely split those games against bottom of the barrel teams, they'd be in position for the wild card right now with a legit shot at the division. Accordingly, to suggest that they have a run in them yet this year because they play some weaker clubs ignores the facts. Outside of Pittsburgh they haven't played well against losing teams. What happened in the past doesn’t matter in baseball. This is a different team than what we had even a week ago, a better team, especially their pitching, and I would argue that you were ignoring that most important fact. The 2019 Brewers have a team ERA of 4.63 over the entire season. Over the last 7 games, their team ERA is 4.00 (includes 2 shutouts but also the 12 run blowup against the Cards 7 games ago - now over a half run of pitching improvement is significant even though it's a small sample size. Problem with this roster is that during the same stretch, the Brewers are dead last across MLB in terms of runs scored, so the pitching improvement hasn't dramatically shifted this team from winning 6 of 7...they are actually 3-4 because they aren't scoring enough.
  15. That's the problem with this year's club - I just don't see them being solid enough to go on a run like that against anyone. We all spent the first two months of this year acting somewhat impressed with them hovering 10-12 games over 0.500 despite playing a tough early slate of games, and looking forward to getting on a big roll in June headed to the all star break. They then proceeded to play 0.500 ball during a super easy slate of games and went backwards after the AS Break. Fact is despite their 7-1 start out of the gates, this team is basically a 0.500 level club that may finish 10 games over or 10 games under 0.500 if they replay the season 50 times. I think their talent level on paper was better than that when spring training started but injuries hampered their pitching staff and a combination of injuries and key position players having terrible offensive years have limited their roster's ability to pick up the slack. That 7-1 start even included a few late inning comebacks or improbable victories that could easily have been losses.
  16. Pretty much comes down to him still being a AAAA level catcher when he faces mlb pitching, probably. Here's hoping he stays hot and provides some meaningful hits down the stretch, and he becomes a viable option as 2nd catcher on the 2020 roster after Grandal likely leaves. Rooting for the guy to do well, but being realistic on how much he is actually going to play - if they felt he was a better option than what they had on the mlb roster on aud 31st, he would have been up long ago.
  17. On the upswing of what? Yay for going from a dumpster fire to a smoldering dumpster with more room to fit pitchers in the bullpen who couldn't perform well enough stay up in Milwaukee during earlier stints, I guess. I really could care less what these guys are doing in San Antonio - it's not MLB. Banking on Suter suddenly becoming a 3 inning "relief ace" for 2-3 games a week is crazy no matter how good his #'s in limited action look against minor leaguers as he's rehabbing. Last year Burnes scuffled in CO Springs before being converted to a reliever and pitched great in that role. Woodruff jumped back and forth in 2018 before getting added to the pen in September and excelled down the stretch after it appeared he turned a corner. Knebel got healthy and was lights out for two months (likely helping what was left of his UCL give way pitching into late October, IMO). Lyles was a good roster addition for September. Peralta hardly pitched in September due to his innings limit and other starters regaining health to contribute. What's probably most important is that Hader 2019 isn't anywhere close to as dominant as he was last year. Bottom line - This isn't last year, and trying to relive September 2018 with this year's crop of arms is foolish even if names on the backs of jerseys are somewhat similar.
  18. I think it's more likely that woodruff doesn't pitch again in milwaukee this season than return in a few weeks, and I think houser is going to miss at least one start. I'd take the other teams' staffs over the brewers, too. A well rested jeffress is still a bad pitcher this season in late inning/high leverage spots. All the supposed arms coming up in september are down on the farm right now because they didn't deserve a 25 man roster spot due to either being injured, pitching poorly, or in many cases both. I'll gladly agree to disagree with a poster who can't even find a clock to accidentally be right twice a day based on his track record
  19. Yes, hopeful for sure. How many NL contenders vying for the wild card or central have as many arms on the way as we do? I would argue none. Peralta Suter Nelson will help big time, Freitas to give some rest for Grandal is big. Spangenberg has already added a spark with his speed and hustle, Guerra and his splitter, Jackson and his slider vs select RHH, Pomeranz’s experience, Hader and his slider, then Woodruff for the last couple weeks, with a possible rejuvenated Burnes, how can one not get excited. Add all that to a team that knows September is their time to shine, and chomping at the bit to get hot anyhow, wild card probable, division still possible, imo. Most teams actually do - most other contenders actually have much better arms already on the 25 man roster and arent desperate to find even league average options on the back end of their 40 mam roster to log meaningful september innings.
  20. Trying to figure out why Derek Johnson is still making Lyles good when he is a brewer...wish he would still be working with all the other brewer pitchers he was solely responsible for being good last year.
  21. They should sign freitas to an 8 year extension before sept 1st so he doesn't price himself out of milwaukee after hitting 35 hr in in september
  22. Yelich Hader > 8-9 top 100 prospects Moose Grandal Albers > 3 prospects all outside of the top 700 prospects 10% of the top 100 for 2 guys..... These scenarios keep getting more and more fantastic. He's. A. Troll.
  23. Cain's thumb injury has definitely affected his offensive performance this year - easy to forget he had the 2nd highest WAR value in 2018 among position players behind Yelich in the NL. It would be silly to try trading him this offseason unless there's concern his thumb issue is a permanent problem. To me it's worth the "risk" to hope an offseason of rest or rehab away from the daily grind of 162 games can get Cain's thumb right and expect him to perform closer to career norms at the plate in 2020.
  24. Hiura probably has more value to the brewers organization right now than yelich given how many more years of control they have with him and the option of getting even more with an initial contract extension, and that's despite the fact his defense is bad. As others have pointed out, let Hiura have some time to improve his defense to hopefully become below average at 2nd...he's basically at the low A level of defensive development because he didn't play in the field for 2+ yrs between college and initial few months in the minors due to his arm troubles. If he can stick at 2b and improve marginally defensively, he has the ceiling of an mvp candidate with the offensive numbers he'll put up. Move him to 1st or OF and he's probably limited to becoming an above league average player at those positions, and probably still isnt great defensively. Sure, if the dh shows up in the nl, he'd be a great fit in that role, too. But it would be dumb to try trading him to an AL team now as a DH.. you would never get anywhere close to equal value in return. Despite his defensive problems, Hiura solves the 2b offensive black hole this organization has had since Weeks' career was limited by wrist and ankle injuries. Why in the world would the brewers trade that away less than 1 season into his career?
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