Fear The Chorizo
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Everything posted by Fear The Chorizo
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By the looks of RR's reaction and Uecker's commentary, Ransom either missed a sign or tried to bunt for a base hit on his own and horribly failed.
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He's a 10-5 player and has a contract with a no trade clause - essentially he has the right to choose where he will be traded. Everything I'm hearing is that he wants to be traded to the Dodgers, or otherwise he'll just stay in Chicago. Unfortunate for the Cubs, because the Braves' offer was more than I thought they could get for trading Dempster because his contract status means that any team that would lose him via free agency won't get any draft pick compensation, if I remember correctly. That diminishes his trade value. If I'm the Dodgers and I know Dempster's only wanting to be traded to them, I offer the Cubs a middling prospect for him and call it a day. The Cubs are backed into a corner if they want to trade Dempster, and it's not Epstein's or Dempster's fault. 'no trade' clause contracts and 10-5 rights really hamper player movement.
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*Neftali. And Matt Harrison. Your right, my Felizes weren't properly organized! Also, kind of pointless to be citing the long line of Braves pitching prospects that didn't pan out after being traded without mentioning that it happened under John Scheurholz's reign as Braves' GM. The current GM actually has traded a bunch of solid arms in recent years for deadline deals.
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wasn't Pedro Feliz part of the Teixeira trade with the Rangers a few years ago?
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Mike Fiers - Your 2009, 22nd round pick
Fear The Chorizo replied to Bombers's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
If anything, Fiers has given the Brewers a fantastic rotation option they weren't expecting to have going into next season. It's to the point where he's practically penciled his name into the 2013 rotation barring injury or drastic performance regression. IMO, you trade Greinke for the best package available if it's apparent that he won't be signing an extension now. There's always the chance you can get him resigned in the offseason (unlikely). Then, I think you see if/how Marcum comes back this season. If he ends it relatively healthy, offer him a 1-2 year deal that won't break the bank - his injury risk pretty much sets the market for him in that regard, anyway. A rotation of: Gallardo Fiers Marcum and two of: Peralta/Thornburg/Estrada/Narveson/FA starting pitcher. Not exactly terrible - I think they still need to try and find a quality starting pitcher in free agency to put towards the top of their rotation. -
I think we should be sellers but I just don't see it as realistic if we win 2 out of 3 in this series. If we are still one good winning streak away from the playoffs I just don't see ownership selling at that point. The Dodgers are scuffling, I'm not buying the Pirates at all. The Cardinals aren't playing all that great as of late. Votto is hurt. The Mets have tanked. If you assume the Braves are going to get one wild card it is perfectly reasonable to think that we only have to beat out 2 of the 3 teams ahead of us in the division to make a playoff game. I just don't see them selling with those conditions. Exactly what I've been thinking since the AS break - the Brewers are currently behind a ton of NL teams, but ALL of them have big question marks. I think the Brewers stand pat, or maybe make a trade or two that rearranges their ML roster but doesn't include them shipping any prospects. Unless they go in the tank for the next week, selling won't happen. I'd be more concerned with all the teams in front of them if there was 3 weeks of season left - there's over 2 months.
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teams ahead of the Brewers for the wild card. Pirates/Reds - one would have the division lead, and Pittsburgh hasn't had a winning season in almost 2 decades. Braves - quality team that's fighting through injuries, but has pitching issues Dodgers - getting Kemp back obviously helps them, but they've been scuffling for quite awhile after a great start Cardinals - Good team that always seems to play well in the 2nd half, but not world-beaters Mets - after a surprisingly good start, they are off the rails and plummeting in the standings Brewers are 7 back of the wild card and of the division lead...If they win this weekend's series or somehow manage to sweep, the whole NL gets even more muddied and the division is in play. Even if it's the right thing to do longterm for the franchise, it would be very difficult for Melvin to sell at the deadline.
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KRod pitching for the 4th straight day and 5th out of the last 6...not good!
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just look at the # of total pitches thrown this game between MIL and STL...180-115!
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With Thornburg getting this spot start today while Greinke "recharges his batteries" (That's apparently Melvin-speak for "waits to be traded"), it's apparent that the Brewers' intent may have been to let Thornburg into the rotation much sooner than they initially let on.
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The Bullpen - Would You Make Henderson the Closer
Fear The Chorizo replied to slappzilla's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Alot has been made of how the Brewers weren't a 96 win team on paper last season, and that good luck was on their side. I'd argue most of that good luck was tied to their bullpen being great for them, especially down the stretch. Having 2-3 shutdown relievers really does shorten the game and limit the opponent's opportunities to win games. People argue whether designated 7th & 8th inning guys and designated "closers" are valuable from a payroll standpoint using statistical analysis, and I tend to think the only time that's a solid way to manage a bullpen is if the manager has quality relievers to fill those roles. Last season RR got great (and unsustainable) production out of Axford & KRod, plus quality innings from Hawkins, Saito, and Loe (once he was put in a role that fit him). This season, I'd argue that even with the injuries, the Brewers aren't a sub-.500 team if their bullpen was league average. It's not the only reason the Brewers aren't 15 games over .500 currently, but the disappointing bullpen is the main reason the Brewers haven't been able to get themselves into contention in a wide open NL this season. -
The Bullpen - Would You Make Henderson the Closer
Fear The Chorizo replied to slappzilla's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Even blown saves that end up being Brewer wins have an effect, because relievers end up logging more innings that lead to them wearing down as the season moves along. so many different variables to consider, but I think we're all in agreement with the notion that if the bullpen had been even league average at this point, the Brewers would be near the top of the division and probably looking to be buyers to get them over the hump with a solid shot at one of the wildcards - pretty much right where many on this board had them pegged at the start of the season. The myriad of injuries and the loss of Fielder sure hasn't helped, but the bullpen is the reason why this team has been so inconsistent with no signs of turning it around. -
If Axford doesn't walk two guys that inning, the Brewers win the game. A random walk here and there is one thing, but the guy's been putting people on routinely via the walk, and pitching from behind in the count. If he can't spot his fastball or command his curveball, he's a bartender who throws really hard...pretty much what he was before the Brewers picked him up off the scrap heap.
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Axford may as well give Greinke a ride to the airport after that performance so he can wait there until he's dealt...what was shaping up to be a night where the Brewers would make up ground on everyone in the division, he pretty much reminds us all exactly why the Brewers are 4 games under 0.500 right now.
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If Wolf is somehow traded the Brewers might as well send Kottaras with him. Otherwise, when Lucroy comes back I'd send MM back down to AAA to continue getting regular AB's and keep Kottaras with the big league club. Wolf may also be a decent possibility for a waiver trade in August for some contending team that suffers pitching issues and is just looking for a healthy arm with a track record.
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Greinke scratched Wednesday
Fear The Chorizo replied to Marc Newfield of Dreams's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Maybe they figured that he needed to get back on schedule after two abbreviated starts, the AS break, and a less than stellar outing his last start. The rest of the rotation basically got a full week off to reset - Greinke didn't. It stinks that Greinke isn't available for these games against the Cards and Reds, but it's not like there's only 15 games left this season and the Brewers need to sweep these games - if they win the next two series and continue to climb up the standings (both division and WC), Melvin's going to have a very tough decision to make next week. I don't think the Brewers can be buyers, but I do think they can plan to stand pat unless a team blows them out of the water for Greinke, or is willing to trade for Wolf. Getting Lucroy back soon and hopefully Marcum at some point over the next few weeks would make this division really interesting if the Brewers are 3-5 games out at the end of July. -
The scheduling gods have once again done the Brewers a favor - 9 games against the 3 teams they trail in there division. Granted, they're currently behind a pile of NL teams for the wildcard spots, but the entire NL is a jumbled mess. Go on a hot streak against teams in front of you for 10 days and you shoot up the standings. Two optimistic scenarios can play out... 1. The team plays well and finishes this stretch 6-3 or better, cuts the overall division lead in 1/2 and sets up a 4-team race in the NL Central while also climbing into legit wild card position. 2. The team struggles and finishes below 0.500 during this stretch, falls out of realistic contention, and forces Brewers' management to become sellers at the trade deadline. I think the worst scenario is for the Brewers to go 4-5 or 5-4, and have management hemming and hawing about what to do.
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So the Brewers bring up Thornburg to start off in a bullpen role. That limits his innings during the dog days of the season - If the Brewers fall out of contention and decide to trade a FA starter or two before the deadline, Thornburg shifts into the rotation and easily reaches his hypothetical innings limit of 160, half of which come in the major leagues (which sets up well to giving him every opportunity to start 2013 in Milwaukee's rotation). If by some twist of fate the Brewers play well between now and the trade deadline and are in legitmate playoff contention, it would be very easy to send Thornburg back down to make room for Marcum coming off the DL, where Thornburg could still easily reach his hypothetical innings limit in the minors + arizona fall league. Plus Tim "Kurk-gem" Dillard is no longer throwing gasoline at open flames in the Brewers' bullpen. How is this a bad move again?
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I think Hart's days of bouncing back and forth between 1B and RF are numbered...he's probably their every first baseman moving forward this season. If that's true, management needs to make some roster adjustments to give RR more flexibility on platooning (Green needs to backup more IF positions than first to get more AB's, Ishikawa and one of Morgan/Gomez is trade bait)...oh, and DFA/trade Izturis.
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Maybe with Johnson starting for the Marlins tomorrow, another righty, RR wanted to alternate center field duties for consecutive day games with oppressive heat indeces, especially with Morgan playing the past 2 games without an off day. Lots of lefty starters coming up before the break, so Gomez's day off is probably tomorrow. I think it has more to do with playing conditions and preventing fatigue than anything - on paper Gomez shouldn't be playing in front of Morgan when comparing careers against RHP, but there are other factors that aren't taken into account that managers need to weigh. And as I write this, Gomez gets thrown out at 3rd with no outs....never mind!
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So because Roenicke started Ransom at SS instead of Izturis, today's bash the manager in-game thread can focus squarely on playing Gomez instead of Morgan in CF against a righty starter... Gomez over the last 7 games: 4-16 2 HR, 1 2b, 1 3b 0 walks, 6 strikeouts 1.063 OPS Morgan over the last 7 games: 2-19 2 singles 2 walks, 4 strikeouts .296 OPS I get that Morgan has been a much better hitter vs. righties throughout his career than Gomez, but I have no problem with Roenicke playing a guy that's been hitting better than Morgan all season long. Especially in a day/afternoon game where defense is going to be a priority with Miller Park shadows, and Gomez is the best defensive outfielder the Brewers have. Plus, a few games ago everyone stumbled over themselves griping about another stupid play by Morgan and how he should be benched. Should Gomez be leading off? No, but Morgan shouldn't be, either.
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This team is so obviously a .500 team at this point, it's not even funny. But naturally to Melvin, that's just one 15-game winning streak away from getting right back in this race! What makes it tough for Melvin is that this division is so obviously mediocre it's tough to proclaim the Brewers as a seller, even if they can't get out of their own way to contend. What stinks is that the Brewers are where they're at prior to playing the NL East. Reminds me of the seasons that the Cards or Cubs were winning the division with mid-80's win totals. Somebody's gotta make the playoffs from the NL Central - I think it's trending to not having either of the two wild cards though, which is actually tough to do when the NL Central teams get to play against Cubs and Astros almost 40 times in 162 games.
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Designated Hitter "Proposal"
Fear The Chorizo replied to Dollarbill13's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Not even sure I'd be for this thought, but it's a different twist that keeps offense-only players on MLB rosters...sort of like having a dH in both leagues while still having pitchers hit. With today's game focusing more and more emphasis on defense, what about eliminating the dh and instead creating a designated fielder/specialist for both leagues? Pitchers would have to hit, as purists of the game have always wanted. But, teams could carry a defensive specialist to play anywhere on the field but not have to hit - like having a dh for a position player. This would be a great way for teams to give regular position players (especially offensive-minded catchers) needed days off in the field while still getting them at bats, eliminating the dreaded "Sunday forfeit lineups", and teams could keep a dh-type player on their roster that would get regular playing time. Plus, the gametimes and inning stress on pitchers would decrease because they'd have the pitcher's spot to pitch to, although pitching changes and pinch hitters would remain part of the in-game strategy. You may be able to incorporate rules with the designated fielder to have to hit based on a pitching or lineup change, also. I think the main goal in any DH discussion is that both leagues need to play by the same set of rules - not doing so creates roster disparities that I think aren't good for the game. -
10-11 so far this June with 3 road games against the 1st place Reds. If the Brewers had taken care of business earlier this month, they'd really be in the mix. Unfortunately the dreadful series in KC and continued inconsistency took the wind out their sails in the middle of the month. Unless the Brewers get swept I think it's hard for Melvin to throw in the towel after this series because of just how average the NL Central appears to be this year. Problem is the Brewers aren't good enough to warrant becoming buyers either. Their bullpen and inconsistent offense has turned them into a mediocre at best club this year that absolutely should be looking to sell as the trade deadline approaches. Too bad Marcum's on the DL, because he would have netted good value via trade before his injury.
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Clemens was found "Not Guilty" by a jury. I'm not going to throw Clemens under the "juicer bus" at this point I will continue to throw Clemens under the juicer bus - OJ Simpson was found not guilty by a jury, too (please don't think I equate steroid use with murder, just making a point about the fallability of jury verdicts. Clemens' trial was about whether he lied to congress or not, and perjury is extremely difficult to prove guilt. Looking at Clemens' career arc, he took steroids. he got practically another dominant decade after Boston parted ways with him when he was on the downside of his non-PED career.