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Fear The Chorizo

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Everything posted by Fear The Chorizo

  1. Fear The Chorizo
    but what would be considered overly high at this point, when many people are already beyond the breaking point with current prices, and even the "ideal" inflation rate between 1-2% year over year still keeps ratcheting up those costs while the true labor market is contracting? I agree rate cuts should be completely off the table, but standing pat seems alot like this to me, too:
  2. Fear The Chorizo
    Policy is driving all of the sustained inflationary pressures, unfortunately - we are long past self-correcting supply and demand cycles. What really sucks is the policies driving things over the economic cliff won't change until after the crash landing, in large part because those policies are the only thing still propping up sectors that have to this point prevented an official macro economic recession. When those sectors run out of gas and the rest of the sectors are still suffering/stagnant due to price pressures....ish. When you look at it, we're getting pretty darn close to celebrating the 100 yr old birthday of the worst economic period in US history....and this current period actually has alot of similarities to those roaring 20s.
  3. Fear The Chorizo
    CPI higher than expected, inflation for March higher than expected.... shocker
  4. Fear The Chorizo
    Yep...a 725 OPS Turang is a borderline all star with his defense. Right now he's in the unsustainable 1.000 OPS range - great to see him start the season hot and hoping the adjustments lead to the eventual cold streaks keeping him at or above that level
  5. Fear The Chorizo
    It will be more than a $0.45/gallon increase this summer, and the only way it won't be is if the economy goes in the crapper sooner than what many are expecting and demand craters.
  6. Fear The Chorizo
    When the people who made performing TJ surgeries famous are flat out saying it's because pitchers are starting out far too young trying to max out velocity and spin rates of breaking balls, I don't really see the need to keep digging much deeper looking for other root causes. In a way it's similar to when football players were first wondering how bashing heads together constantly somehow led to CTE - unnatural physical actions performed either too often or too hard lead to those body parts breaking. A generation ago many of these guys who throw upper 90s would've been down around 90 mph, based on how they learned to pitch without going max effort in order to stay healthy and durable given the innings load that was going to be expected of them - particularly starters. The progressive expansion of MLB pitching staffs, including having a 26 man roster, has also led to teams having no issue stockpiling a ton of high 90s arms and just churning through them as they get injured or prove that they can't get MLB hitters out - to the point where most starting pitchers aren't expected to log much more than 125 innings pitched in a healthy season.
  7. Fear The Chorizo
    Maddux pushed the limit with his command, for sure - but it's not like if umpires weren't giving him 4 inches off the plate that he couldn't locate his same pitches to get called strikes, either. I don't buy that today's strike zone would make Maddux less effective. People don't realize how effective a pitcher can be that doesn't throw high 90s if he has the right mix of movement and command on multiple pitches and can also change speeds. And who also can take the ball every 5 days, give a team 7 +ip consistently, and not spend half the time you have him under contract rehabbing from injuries that are primarily caused by excessively high velo.
  8. Fear The Chorizo
    I get your points, all of them - and to an extent I agree that there is a wide gap between main street and wall street in terms of what this economy feels like....and the biggest problem in my opinion is the fact prices have solidified at levels that aren't sustainable and the only way to drive them back down to a decent level is for wall street to get the same kick in the teeth that main street has had to deal with. That means a significant recession and all that comes with it, too....but I think that's better in the longterm than propping up a stagnant economy everywhere else with monetary policy focused far more on benefitting wall street than it is on main street.
  9. Fear The Chorizo
    If Greg Maddux was in his early 20s right now he would be lucky to sniff MLB in today's game....yet he would likely replicate his career in todays game if given the chance because he would eat up launch angles and the current overarching hitting philosophy.
  10. Fear The Chorizo
    1000% this....if pitchers worked more on pitching rather than defying the laws of biomechanics to the point of blowing out their arms, they wouldn't get injured as much. Pre Tommy John surgery, if you blew out your elbow by overthrowing, your career was done. I'm not saying it's a bad thing pitchers careers are lengthened by surgical advancements, but at some point if your body physically can't stand up to the strain overthrowing puts on your arm, maybe you shouldn't be striving to throw triple digits and instead improve command and secondary pitches. The pitch clock shouldn't get altered because pitchers are refusing to adjust not having 1 minute between pitches to allow them to throw max effort every time.
  11. Fear The Chorizo
    I think the biggest issue is the fact there's an election in about 6 months and regardless of what party is in control of washington, the govmint will be leaning extremely hard on the fed not to do what they should be doing right now (continuing to RAISE rates, not stand pat and definitely not lower them) so the economy doesnt cycle into the recession it needs to get prices back in line with reality before votes start getting cast. It's the status quo to keep kicking the can down the highway and hope it doesn't get smashed by the oncoming semi truck when they kick it one time too far and can't get it back.
  12. Fear The Chorizo
    This all assumes that people don't act like, well, people and that technology doesn't break down. Because when they do, this process turns into a cluster. If any part of the system isn't functioning well, lines pile up and it's more of a hassle because there aren't the same number of staff to support what is supposed to be an automated process. To me, this sort of new system adjustment should be rolled out gradually - perhaps introducing it on a few early spring homestands/weeknight games with lower crowds to work out the kinks than just throwing it out there on Opening Day and dealing with a sellout crowd right from jump.
  13. Fear The Chorizo
    The ball is already smaller, so I don't think lowering the hoops/shortening the court to further congest things would improve the aesthetics of watching women's games very much - and it may make it even more awkward and limit the opportunities for skill to show out. Trying to alter things to resemble the gameplay/pace of a D1 or professional men's game is never going to work and never draw more eyeballs to the television. They are two completely different games due to the difference in athleticism, and they should be viewed as such. I'm not certain about what Clark is making by being all over TV commercials at present and any NIL funds, but it's way more than any WNBA salary. I think the highest WNBA salaries are around $250K per year right now, and the #1 overall draft pick starting salary is like $80K - last I checked Clark has over $3M per year in NIL money. Only LeBron's kid, Deion's kid, and Olivia Dunne make more in NIL money than Clark.
  14. Fear The Chorizo
    An awful lot of the Caitlin Clark hate is actually coming from women. It's tough for women to 'win' when they're constantly kneecapping each other.
  15. Fear The Chorizo
    UConn looks like the obvious choice to win twice more and cut down the nets....which is why I'm taking the field. For as dominant as the Huskies have been through most of the season, they've still found a way to lose 3 games.
  16. Fear The Chorizo
    There's a reason why he's in the comparables conversations with guys like Acuna, Soto, Harper, etc when it comes to rocketing through the minors and debuting in MLB as a kid. He is different.
  17. Fear The Chorizo
    I feel like the advent of shifting has gotten middle infielders much closer to 2nd, so those force plays have them acting more like 1B standing stationary on the bag instead of moving through it or being able to catch the ball and quickly bounce off the base to avoid the slide thats coming. McNeil could've made it a non issue by simply backing off the bag as soon as he caught the ball, but instead he stood there like a statue and did try to transfer to his throwing arm to make a play to 1st. It's a totally clean and legal slide, and if McNeil is upset at almost getting hurt he should have practiced taking throws at 2nd more in spring training so he doesn't get himself racked up.
  18. Fear The Chorizo
    Rusty Hardin's email must've had an out of office reply...sheesh
  19. Fear The Chorizo
    Better for Smith that he's behind Ohtani...guys in front of him tend to get tossed under buses
  20. Fear The Chorizo
    You know who's probably most pissed about all these opt out/1 year deals for pitchers? Burnes, yet another Boras client. Get ready for another looooong free agency period next winter and spring
  21. Fear The Chorizo
    He's also his scapegoat, which is the most important role to him at this point.
  22. Fear The Chorizo
    Problem is that we've previously been down that road with Mitchell in other seasons, too.
  23. Fear The Chorizo
    this is so frustrating....but as Jopal notes, arguably the most important tool a player needs to have in order to be a longterm everyday mainstay in an organization is health - if you can't stay on the field, you can't permanently take up a 40 man roster spot. Hoping he heals up and is at least an option to get back to Milwaukee before the all star break.
  24. Fear The Chorizo
    The nationals organization is also paying Strasburg 30+M dollars a season to be retired for the next few years. A 459 slg percentage on a 324 BA in spring training is actually pretty terrible. Winker's last game or two of plate appearances have softened those numbers a decent amount, too. Hiura's 2024 deal makes sense for him to get routine opportunities to get back into the majors if he continues to rake in the Tiger minor leagues. The Nats are likely vying for another few seasons of picking in the top 5, so them having Winker on their mlb roster to start this season is a "who cares" event.
  25. Fear The Chorizo
    Feels like people have 20/80 vision retrospectively on previous year's rotation quality because of names that aren't around anymore. The Brewers' rotation last season was a weakness....not as much of one as their offense most of last season, but it's not like we saw 4-5 straight months of consistent starts going 6+ IP giving up 2 runs or less, either. Gasser starting in the minors is due to service time manipulation - he'll be up by May. Excited to see Hall develop and throwing every 5th day. It feels a ton to me like the 2019 season, when the Brewers first let Woody/Freddy/Peralta get extended shots in the rotation - that was the year Burnes was among the worst starters in baseball, btw. There will be growing pains with young arms, but you gotta let them work through it at some point.
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